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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20SuperSonics15%9391
2Mavericks85%106110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
41.2
35.7
17
44%
4
1
3
1
0
4
0
4
3-3
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
46%
2-6
33%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.2
37.8
28.7
12
76%
9
1
1
0
3
0
5
4
2-2
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
49%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
37.5
34.0
9
31%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
7-8
88%
1-8
5-10
13%
48%
0-3
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
35.5
33.9
12
51%
7
2
2
1
3
3
0
7
1-2
50%
4-10
4-9
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
14.5
22.2
7
44%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
20.3
16.9
10
102%
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.1
18.8
17.3
14
78%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
7-9
2-4
78%
46%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
18.3
18.3
8
43%
4
1
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
3-8
2-6
38%
42%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.0
10.2
18.0
2
100%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.3
5.0
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.4
0.9
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.7
6.1
0
1-1
47%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.6
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.9
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.8
38.8
35.0
23
60%
8
2
0
1
1
2
2
6
2-3
67%
9-16
6-12
56%
53%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.4
38.4
35.7
22
58%
2
5
3
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
53%
4-9
44%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
37.0
35.7
17
43%
8
4
0
1
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
8-19
7-14
42%
52%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.6
21.7
26.7
3
61%
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.0
12.7
21.3
2
100%
6
0
1
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
26.9
18.7
11
59%
14
1
1
0
0
0
8
6
3-3
100%
4-8
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.2
26.3
23.6
17
60%
2
7
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
18.8
13.1
11
76%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.3
18.4
17.1
4
29%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-3
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.1
0.9
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
59%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
13.9
1
2-4
52%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.6
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.0
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.1
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.