FinalWin Prob.pScore
830%94
73
570%101
101
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
78.59393.2
MIA logo MIA
107.49493.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA73
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0CLEWilks Running Layup (2 PTS)73
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)71
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0CLEMISS L. Jackson 18' Jump Shot71
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0CLECavaliers Rebound71
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0CLEMISS Andriuskevicius 7' Jump Bank Shot71
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0CLEAndriuskevicius REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0CLEMISS Pavlovic 19' Jump Shot71
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)71
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:05MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:06CLEMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 271
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:06CLEMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 271
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:28MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)71
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:38CLESimien STEAL (1 STL)71
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:47CLEHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Simien 15' Jump Shot71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09CLEL. Jackson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIASimien Layup (2 PTS)69
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIAHEAT Rebound69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Simien Layup69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56CLEMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 269
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56CLEMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 269
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57CLEHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 169
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01CLEWade STEAL (4 STL)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03CLEHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05CLEMISS Varejao Layup69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MIAO'Neal Dunk (19 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Walker Dunk69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49CLEO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09CLECavaliers Rebound69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19CLEMISS Wilks 21' Jump Shot69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33CLEL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 169
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40CLEMISS Pavlovic 6' Hook Shot69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 269
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33CLEPavlovic Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)68
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)68
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00MIAHEAT Rebound68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Walker Finger Roll68
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:06CLEWade STEAL (3 STL)68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19CLEL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot68
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41CLEMISS Snow 6' Jump Shot68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot68
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 7:15MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)68
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:17CLEMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:27CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 7:37MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38CLEMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)68
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 8:01MIAWade Driving Layup (22 PTS)68
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 8:09CLEMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot68
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 8:21MIAWalker Driving Layup (12 PTS)68
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 8:35MIAHEAT Rebound68
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 8:36CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 9:03MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)68
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 9:10CLEMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)68
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 9:16CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 9:18CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 268
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 9:18CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 268
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 9:31MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)68
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 9:46CLEVarejao 18' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)68
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 9:48CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 9:50CLEMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)66
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 9:59CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 10:16MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)66
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q4 - 10:18CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 10:29CLECavaliers Rebound66
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 10:30CLEMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot66
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 10:39CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 10:41CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 11:03CLECavaliers Rebound66
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 11:24CLEJames 7' Running Hook Shot (29 PTS)66
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 11:48MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)64
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 42' 3PT Jump Shot64
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0CLEPavlovic Foul Turnover (P3.T9)64
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)64
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0CLEJames Layup (27 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)64
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)62
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)62
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0CLEMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper62
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 1:04MIAPosey 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 1:31CLEVarejao Layup (3 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)62
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)60
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q3 - 1:56CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)60
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 1:57CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 1:59MIAMISS Haslem Layup57
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Posey Driving Finger Roll57
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 2:27CLEPavlovic Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T8)57
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 2:45MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T9)57
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 2:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 2:55CLEMISS James 9' Jump Shot57
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 3:14MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)57
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 3:34CLEPavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)57
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q3 - 3:47MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 254
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 4:08CLEJames 7' Running Hook Shot (22 PTS)54
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 4:30MIAWade Layup (20 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)52
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 4:48CLEMarshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)52
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 5:00CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
2.8%
65
97.2%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 249
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 5:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 5:21CLEPavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 6 AST)49
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 5:35MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T8)46
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 5:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q3 - 5:40CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot46
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 5:56MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS)46
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 5:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot46
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q3 - 6:17CLEGooden Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)46
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 6:34MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)44
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 6:47MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 6:49CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 6:57CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot44
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q3 - 7:21CLEGooden Tip Shot (6 PTS)44
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 7:22CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q3 - 7:23CLEMISS James Driving Layup42
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 7:35CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot42
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 7:59CLEPavlovic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)42
2.2%
60
97.8%
Q3 - 8:13CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot40
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q3 - 8:32CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)40
1.8%
60
98.2%
Q3 - 8:40CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot37
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q3 - 8:53CLESnow 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)37
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q3 - 9:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)35
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 235
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q3 - 9:15CLEIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)35
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q3 - 9:36MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)33
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 9:51CLESnow Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)33
1.2%
56
98.8%
Q3 - 10:05MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)33
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q3 - 10:16MIAHEAT Rebound33
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 10:41CLEIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T6)33
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q3 - 10:51CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot33
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q3 - 10:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
1.7%
54
98.3%
Q3 - 10:58CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q3 - 11:18MIAO'Neal 10' Hook Shot (10 PTS)33
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q3 - 11:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
2.5%
52
97.5%
Q3 - 11:38CLEMISS Ilgauskas 8' Hook Shot33
2.6%
52
97.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA33
2.8%
52
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound33
2.5%
52
97.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 18' Fadeaway Jumper33
2.7%
52
97.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Rebound33
2.8%
52
97.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 233
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 233
2.7%
52
97.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0CLEJames Driving Dunk (17 PTS)33
2.8%
52
97.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)31
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0CLEMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)31
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T6)31
2.3%
52
97.7%
Q2 - 1:12CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)31
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q2 - 1:23CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 228
1.7%
52
98.3%
Q2 - 1:23CLEVarejao Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 1:27CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
1.5%
52
98.5%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
1.5%
52
98.5%
Q2 - 1:53CLEJames 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)27
1.4%
52
98.6%
Q2 - 1:56CLECavaliers Rebound25
1.2%
52
98.8%
Q2 - 1:57CLEO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)25
1.1%
52
98.9%
Q2 - 2:14MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)25
1.3%
52
98.7%
Q2 - 2:27CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
1.5%
50
98.5%
Q2 - 2:27CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
1.5%
50
98.5%
Q2 - 2:36CLEHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
1.3%
50
98.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
1.3%
50
98.7%
Q2 - 2:53MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)23
1.2%
50
98.8%
Q2 - 2:55CLEMISS L. Jackson 16' Jump Bank Shot23
1.2%
50
98.8%
Q2 - 3:08CLEHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
1.5%
50
98.5%
Q2 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot23
1.5%
50
98.5%
Q2 - 3:21MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
1.3%
50
98.7%
Q2 - 3:23CLEMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot23
1.4%
50
98.6%
Q2 - 3:48MIAO'Neal 11' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)23
1.5%
50
98.5%
Q2 - 4:10CLEIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)23
1.9%
48
98.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAPayton Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)21
1.7%
48
98.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)21
1.9%
46
98.1%
Q2 - 4:35CLEMISS James Layup21
1.9%
46
98.1%
Q2 - 4:40CLEHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
2.1%
46
97.9%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot21
2.0%
46
98.0%
Q2 - 4:55CLEJames Driving Layup (10 PTS)21
1.9%
46
98.1%
Q2 - 5:07CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
1.8%
46
98.2%
Q2 - 5:08MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 219
1.7%
46
98.3%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
1.6%
46
98.4%
Q2 - 5:20CLEL. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
1.7%
45
98.3%
Q2 - 5:20CLEL. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
1.7%
45
98.3%
Q2 - 5:33MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)17
1.6%
45
98.4%
Q2 - 5:44CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
1.7%
43
98.3%
Q2 - 5:44CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)16
1.7%
43
98.3%
Q2 - 6:03CLECavaliers Rebound15
1.7%
43
98.3%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Walker Layup15
1.6%
43
98.4%
Q2 - 6:11MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)15
1.5%
43
98.5%
Q2 - 6:13CLEMISS L. Jackson Reverse Layup15
1.6%
43
98.4%
Q2 - 6:37MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)15
1.7%
43
98.3%
Q2 - 6:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
1.9%
41
98.1%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot15
2.0%
41
98.0%
Q2 - 7:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
2.1%
41
97.9%
Q2 - 7:03CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
2.2%
41
97.8%
Q2 - 7:19MIAWalker Layup (6 PTS)15
2.4%
41
97.6%
Q2 - 7:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
2.6%
39
97.4%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot15
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 7:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
2.6%
39
97.4%
Q2 - 7:31CLEMISS Gooden 8' Jump Shot15
2.7%
39
97.3%
Q2 - 7:49CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
2.9%
39
97.1%
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup15
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 7:57CLEWade STEAL (2 STL)15
2.6%
39
97.4%
Q2 - 8:08MIAWalker 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
3.0%
39
97.0%
Q2 - 8:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
3.3%
37
96.7%
Q2 - 8:17CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
3.4%
37
96.6%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
3.7%
37
96.3%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
3.8%
36
96.2%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q2 - 8:49CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot15
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q2 - 9:02CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
4.7%
35
95.3%
Q2 - 9:05CLEMISS Marshall 7' Hook Shot15
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q2 - 9:28MIAWade Driving Dunk (11 PTS)15
4.6%
35
95.4%
Q2 - 9:32CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)15
5.0%
33
95.0%
Q2 - 9:46MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)15
5.6%
33
94.4%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q2 - 9:52CLEMISS James 8' Jump Shot15
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q2 - 10:05MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 10:10MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q2 - 10:12CLEMISS James 17' Jump Shot15
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q2 - 10:26MIAWade Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)15
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 10:44MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q2 - 10:45CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 215
7.6%
29
92.4%
Q2 - 10:45CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 215
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q2 - 11:04MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)15
8.4%
29
91.6%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q2 - 11:18CLEMISS Pavlovic 16' Jump Shot15
10.3%
26
89.7%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
10.9%
26
89.1%
Q2 - 11:39MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q2 - 11:41CLEMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)15
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE15
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound15
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot15
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot15
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
12.1%
24
87.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0CLEMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T4)15
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 1:06MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q1 - 1:08CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q1 - 1:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 1:37CLEJames Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)15
15.6%
21
84.4%
Q1 - 1:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q1 - 2:04CLEJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)13
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 2:26MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 2:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 2:33CLEMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 2:38CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot10
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 2:46MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 2:48CLEMISS James 19' Turnaround Jump Shot10
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
13.5%
19
86.5%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
13.8%
18
86.2%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot10
15.3%
17
84.7%
Q1 - 3:40MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 3:41CLEMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot10
14.8%
17
85.2%
Q1 - 4:01MIAPayton Driving Layup (6 PTS)10
15.7%
17
84.3%
Q1 - 4:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 4:10CLEMISS Gooden 11' Turnaround Jump Shot10
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 4:26MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)10
18.2%
15
81.8%
Q1 - 4:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 4:41CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot10
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 4:48CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
18.2%
15
81.8%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot10
17.7%
15
82.3%
Q1 - 5:12CLEJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
16.7%
15
83.3%
Q1 - 5:23MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 5:39CLEIlgauskas Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
14.5%
15
85.5%
Q1 - 5:40CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 5:42CLEMISS Snow Driving Finger Roll6
12.9%
15
87.1%
Q1 - 5:49CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot6
13.3%
15
86.7%
Q1 - 6:01CLEPosey STEAL (1 STL)6
12.8%
15
87.2%
Q1 - 6:25MIAPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 6:37CLEJames Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 6:46CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot4
13.5%
13
86.5%
Q1 - 7:01CLEPavlovic Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
13.2%
13
86.8%
Q1 - 7:21MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 7:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 7:36CLEMISS Gooden 9' Jump Shot4
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 7:52MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 8:09CLEGooden Reverse Layup (4 PTS)4
16.9%
9
83.1%
Q1 - 8:18CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.0%
9
84.0%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot2
15.7%
9
84.3%
Q1 - 8:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 8:34CLEMISS Ilgauskas 12' Turnaround Jump Shot2
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 8:44CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.0%
9
84.0%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 8' Hook Shot2
15.7%
9
84.3%
Q1 - 8:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 8:53CLEMISS Ilgauskas Tip Shot2
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 8:54CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
16.0%
9
84.0%
Q1 - 8:57CLEMISS Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 9:10MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)2
16.0%
9
84.0%
Q1 - 9:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 9:21CLEMISS James Tip Shot2
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 9:22CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 9:24CLEMISS James Driving Finger Roll2
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 9:39CLECavaliers Rebound2
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 9:41CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot2
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 9:58MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 10:17CLEIlgauskas Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 10:39MIAPayton Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 10:53CLEGooden 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 11:07CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk0
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 11:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 11:22CLEMISS Ilgauskas Driving Layup0
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)0
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Haslem0
22.8%
0
77.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.77 38.4%
MIA
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
13
27
48%
MIA
29
39
74%
Midrange
CLE
10
39
26%
MIA
8
29
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
CLE
9
19
47%
MIA
9
17
53%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2950%14.5 / 29
S. Pavlovic836%4.0 / 11
Z. Ilgauskas833%4.0 / 12
D. Gooden850%4.0 / 8
A. Varejao643%3.0 / 7
L. Jackson440%2.0 / 5
D. Marshall325%1.5 / 6
D. Jones321%1.5 / 7
E. Snow233%1.0 / 3
M. Wilks250%1.0 / 2
A. Henderson0-0.0 / 2
M. Andriuskevicius0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2457%12.0 / 21
S. O'Neal2166%10.5 / 16
G. Payton1478%7.0 / 9
A. Walker1260%6.0 / 10
J. Posey1161%5.5 / 9
U. Haslem750%3.5 / 7
A. Mourning6150%3.0 / 2
J. Williams418%2.0 / 11
W. Simien233%1.0 / 3
J. Kapono0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
80
+15
-13
95
MIA
80
+13
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.77 38.4%
MIA
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
108.0
CLE 78.5 +29.0
MIA 107.4
Pace
89.7
92.2
CLE 93.2
MIA 93.8 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.9
CLE 15.5
MIA 15.4 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
51.7%
CLE 37.2%
MIA 55.4% +18.2%
TO %
14.8%
15.0%
CLE 12.1% +1.3%
MIA 13.4%
ORB %
28.4%
26.8%
CLE 17.9%
MIA 19.4% +1.5%
FTrt
36.2
36.3
CLE 22.1 +1.6
MIA 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.6%
55.7%
CLE 48.3% +1.8%
MIA 46.5%
STL %
7.6%
6.9%
CLE 5.4%
MIA 6.4% +1.0%
BLK %
7.6%
8.5%
CLE 5.9%
MIA 12.1% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
53.9%
CLE 38.4%
MIA 54.3% +15.9%
Rim FG%
58.8%
64.2%
CLE 48.1%
MIA 74.4% +26.3%
Mid FG%
38.1%
38.9%
CLE 25.6%
MIA 27.6% +2.0%
3P %
33.9%
34.5%
CLE 30.0%
MIA 40.0% +10.0%
FT %
72.9%
70.0%
CLE 47.4%
MIA 52.9% +5.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.6%
39.3%
CLE 31.4%
MIA 47.0% +15.6%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
38.0%
CLE 45.3%
MIA 34.9% +10.4%
3P Att. %
22.8%
22.7%
CLE 23.3% +5.2%
MIA 18.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points73101
Rebounds3953
Assists1420
Steals56
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)7 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)46 (1)
Field Goals29-8643-83
At-the-Rim FG13-2729-39
Midrange FG10-398-29
2-Point FG23-6637-68
3-Point FG6-206-15
Free Throws9-199-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 21
39.3
29
50%
5
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3-3
100%
10-24
42%
2-5
40%
G · 6'7" 235 · 22
37.5
8
36%
1
1
0
0
4
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
17%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 205 · 33
27.2
2
33%
3
1
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 31
24.2
8
33%
8
0
0
1
3
2
2
6
2-2
100%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 24
18.5
8
50%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
22.6
3
25%
4
2
2
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
22.2
3
21%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
F · 6'11" 260 · 23
18.8
6
43%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24
12.2
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33
9.0
0
0%
6
0
0
1
2
2
1
5
0-4
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 180 · 27
5.5
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 240 · 20
3.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#14 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G · 6'5" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
38%
39
14
5
4
13
0
10
29
9-19
47%
23-66
35%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.