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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors43%102107
16SuperSonics57%104111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
42.1
35.4
18
53%
16
2
3
1
0
2
5
11
6-7
86%
3-10
5-10
30%
47%
2-4
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.8
41.9
37.2
35
55%
3
9
1
2
0
5
1
2
9-13
69%
7-12
5-11
58%
47%
4-14
29%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
35.5
24.4
15
63%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
3-5
60%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.4
27.2
19.4
2
14%
6
4
1
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.9
11.0
25.5
3
104%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.8
32.4
13.2
16
66%
8
3
1
0
0
1
2
6
2-5
40%
7-10
1-2
70%
59%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.5
26.9
31.3
16
73%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
44%
2-4
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.3
12.9
17.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
7.0
11.1
2
35%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
3.2
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.0
19.4
1
3-6
51%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.5
2.6
0
0-1
48%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
41.9
35.8
32
72%
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-5
80%
8-10
5-10
80%
48%
4-10
40%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
38.5
35.7
17
58%
2
6
0
1
0
4
0
2
5-6
83%
6-11
4-10
55%
45%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
33.6
34.2
26
58%
6
4
2
1
1
0
3
3
8-8
100%
9-18
5-10
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.2
27.4
25.5
10
57%
9
0
0
1
1
0
2
7
2-4
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
26.4
23.3
10
48%
11
1
0
1
1
4
2
9
0-1
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
46%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
21.6
15.1
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
53%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.0
14.9
19.1
2
50%
5
0
0
0
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.1
14.8
17.8
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
10.2
21.3
9
73%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.4
5.4
1.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.2
5.3
7.4
3
54%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.7
8.5
0
1-2
50%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.6
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.9
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.