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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Nuggets43%9290
20Jazz57%94103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
35.5
31.5
15
79%
3
9
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-8
63%
5-6
4-9
83%
47%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.1
33.5
32.8
18
64%
6
0
2
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
9-14
6-12
64%
49%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
33.1
34.0
20
41%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
4-6
67%
8-21
7-15
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
27.2
23.3
8
82%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
2-3
67%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.9
25.6
14.8
10
63%
4
1
3
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
48%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
28.8
23.3
4
33%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.6
25.7
23.7
8
57%
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.7
18.2
25.1
3
30%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-8
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.1
8.1
3.7
4
52%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
4.2
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.7
5.6
0
0-1
53%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.7
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.4
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
42.2
39.1
21
72%
5
5
0
2
5
1
0
5
6-8
75%
6-9
5-10
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.7
39.9
35.8
28
74%
11
1
2
1
2
3
4
7
8-9
89%
7-11
5-11
64%
48%
2-4
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.2
32.5
28.8
8
106%
4
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.2
30.6
24.0
18
65%
6
4
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-4
50%
5-9
2-5
56%
41%
2-3
67%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.0
30.1
19.0
12
61%
5
7
0
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.6
29.4
14.4
5
36%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
1-2
50%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.7
19.1
19.2
11
74%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
50%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
5.9
6.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
5.9
20.2
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.9
3.6
12.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
0.7
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.6
21.3
0
4-7
47%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.2
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.9
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.