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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 30, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets24%8277
5Grizzlies76%9186
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.5
41.0
39.4
7
44%
6
7
1
1
0
5
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
41%
0-3
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
39.9
38.4
23
42%
10
6
2
1
0
2
3
7
1-3
33%
8-18
8-18
44%
45%
2-8
25%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.2
39.8
35.1
6
41%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.0
36.6
25.3
18
73%
7
3
2
0
0
1
4
3
2-3
67%
8-11
4-9
73%
44%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.4
32.5
25.1
15
48%
8
1
0
0
1
2
2
6
1-4
25%
7-14
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
18.9
20.1
5
36%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
40%
1-4
25%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.2
13.6
14.1
3
54%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
1-4
25%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.6
12.8
23.3
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
4.9
3.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.6
18.8
0
1-2
45%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.0
17.4
0
2-4
44%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.2
2.5
0
0-0
38%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.9
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
44.6
40.3
16
39%
11
5
1
1
2
3
2
9
6-10
60%
5-16
7-13
31%
52%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.5
37.4
16.9
19
72%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
3-7
43%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.4
32.5
33.9
12
82%
3
2
0
1
2
1
1
2
3-3
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
27.4
24.0
6
40%
8
1
2
1
0
1
2
6
0-1
0%
3-7
3-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.3
23.0
32.3
5
51%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.9
33.4
30.3
17
63%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-1
0%
7-8
3-6
88%
54%
1-5
20%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.9
17.7
32.2
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.6
13.1
6.3
8
100%
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
5.7
5.8
3
39%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.9
5.3
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.6
8.0
0
1-2
49%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.