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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat53%93101
15Rockets47%9295
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.0
42.6
29.8
6
38%
6
2
1
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
2-7
29%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
42.2
39.1
32
61%
6
9
0
2
0
3
1
5
16-19
84%
8-18
8-16
44%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.5
40.0
32.3
12
55%
5
6
1
1
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
50%
4-8
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
32.2
30.7
24
67%
14
1
0
0
1
1
3
11
12-18
67%
6-10
7-13
60%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
31.6
31.2
9
70%
9
1
0
1
0
1
2
7
1-1
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
16.4
22.8
10
63%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
2-5
40%
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
16.1
17.1
4
29%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.0
15.8
14.5
4
100%
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.2
3.1
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.0
17.2
0
1-3
43%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.6
1.8
0
0-0
42%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
45.0
35.2
37
45%
12
6
3
1
1
0
2
10
7-10
70%
9-22
8-18
41%
47%
4-15
27%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.5
42.6
38.6
26
66%
7
3
3
1
0
3
2
5
5-6
83%
3-9
3-6
33%
44%
5-8
63%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.2
32.4
37.6
7
48%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.0
28.7
22.3
10
51%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.6
21.8
17.1
2
35%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.6
22.9
24.1
6
44%
10
0
1
1
0
1
6
4
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
19.8
20.2
0
0%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.0
14.2
19.8
5
64%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.2
8.4
16.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
3.5
2.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.2
0.7
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.5
3.5
0
0-0
44%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.