FinalWin Prob.pScore
653%93
101
1547%92
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.58985.4
HOU logo HOU
113.18487.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)101
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0HOUMISS McGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)101
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)100
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUMcGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot (37 PTS)99
98.9%
95
1.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)99
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)98
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS)97
99.1%
92
0.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)97
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)97
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0HOUMISS Baxter 6' Hook Shot97
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)97
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)96
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)95
98.7%
89
1.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)95
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWade 13' Jump Bank Shot (26 PTS)95
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 1:21HOUHayes Layup (6 PTS)93
97.6%
87
2.4%
Q4 - 1:22HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)93
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 1:23HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot93
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 1:27MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)93
98.3%
85
1.7%
Q4 - 1:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 1:29HOUMISS McGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.9%
85
1.1%
Q4 - 1:45HOUBaxter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
97.8%
85
2.2%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 293
97.9%
85
2.1%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 293
98.3%
85
1.7%
Q4 - 2:09HOUBaxter Layup (5 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)93
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 2:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)93
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q4 - 2:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)92
98.8%
83
1.2%
Q4 - 2:46HOUAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Head 3 AST)91
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 2:54MIAHead STEAL (1 STL)91
98.9%
80
1.1%
Q4 - 2:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)91
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 3:00HOUMISS Alston Layup91
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 3:22MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)91
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q4 - 3:51HOUBaxter Reverse Layup (3 PTS)89
97.5%
80
2.5%
Q4 - 3:53HOUBaxter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 3:55HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.6%
78
1.4%
Q4 - 4:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)89
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 4:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)88
98.1%
78
1.9%
Q4 - 4:16HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)87
97.6%
78
2.4%
Q4 - 4:16HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)87
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q4 - 4:16HOUMcGrady Free Throw Technical (29 PTS)87
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 4:19HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)87
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 287
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 287
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 4:36MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)87
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 4:37HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 4:51HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)87
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 187
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 5:09HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)85
97.4%
75
2.6%
Q4 - 5:09HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS)85
97.4%
75
2.6%
Q4 - 5:10HOUMISS Alston Layup85
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 5:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)85
98.1%
73
1.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 284
97.8%
73
2.2%
Q4 - 5:37HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)84
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q4 - 5:37HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)84
98.3%
72
1.7%
Q4 - 5:38HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)84
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q4 - 5:39HOUMISS Head Reverse Layup84
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 5:47HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper84
98.8%
71
1.2%
Q4 - 5:55MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)84
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot84
98.8%
71
1.2%
Q4 - 6:09HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
98.6%
71
1.4%
Q4 - 6:09HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 284
98.7%
70
1.3%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)84
98.5%
70
1.5%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)83
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q4 - 6:34HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)82
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)82
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 7:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
94.2%
70
5.8%
Q4 - 7:13HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
92.3%
70
7.7%
Q4 - 7:13HOUMISS Hayes Tip Shot79
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q4 - 7:14HOUMISS McGrady 6' Jump Shot79
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q4 - 7:26HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
92.3%
70
7.7%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Posey 19' Jump Shot79
93.0%
70
7.0%
Q4 - 7:47HOUMcGrady 6' Jump Shot (28 PTS)79
94.3%
70
5.7%
Q4 - 7:49HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
95.5%
68
4.5%
Q4 - 7:50HOUMISS McGrady Layup79
96.3%
68
3.7%
Q4 - 7:54HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
95.5%
68
4.5%
Q4 - 7:56HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
96.3%
68
3.7%
Q4 - 8:02MIAHayes STEAL (1 STL)79
94.4%
68
5.6%
Q4 - 8:19HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (26 PTS)79
95.6%
68
4.4%
Q4 - 8:29HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
96.6%
66
3.4%
Q4 - 8:31MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
96.8%
66
3.2%
Q4 - 8:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
97.4%
66
2.6%
Q4 - 8:54HOUMISS Baxter Free Throw 2 of 279
97.3%
66
2.7%
Q4 - 8:54HOUBaxter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
96.8%
66
3.2%
Q4 - 8:54HOUBaxter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 8:55HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q4 - 8:58HOUHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 9:00HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q4 - 9:09HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot79
97.0%
65
3.0%
Q4 - 9:28HOUAlston 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)79
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q4 - 9:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)79
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q4 - 10:05HOUMcGrady Free Throw 3 of 3 (24 PTS)78
97.5%
63
2.5%
Q4 - 10:05HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 3 (23 PTS)78
97.6%
62
2.4%
Q4 - 10:05HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 378
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 10:12MIAAlston STEAL (3 STL)78
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 10:25HOUAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)78
98.4%
61
1.6%
Q4 - 10:38HOUROCKETS Rebound78
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 10:39HOUMISS Hayes Layup78
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q4 - 10:57HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)78
98.2%
61
1.8%
Q4 - 11:05HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)78
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q4 - 11:16HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Fitch 10' Jump Shot78
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q4 - 11:41MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q4 - 11:43HOUMISS Hayes Layup78
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 11:45HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q4 - 11:47HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot78
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound78
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Fitch 8' Running Jump Shot78
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)78
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
97.8%
60
2.2%
Q3 - 1:02MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)78
97.7%
59
2.3%
Q3 - 1:15HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)75
96.7%
59
3.3%
Q3 - 1:20HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
97.7%
56
2.3%
Q3 - 1:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
98.1%
56
1.9%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot75
97.9%
56
2.1%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Wade Layup75
97.9%
56
2.1%
Q3 - 1:28HOUSwift Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)75
98.2%
56
1.8%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)75
97.8%
56
2.2%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
97.3%
56
2.7%
Q3 - 1:56HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
96.7%
56
3.3%
Q3 - 1:56HOUMISS Hayes Tip Shot73
97.1%
56
2.9%
Q3 - 1:57HOUMISS McGrady 13' Running Jump Shot73
97.1%
56
2.9%
Q3 - 2:14MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)73
96.1%
56
3.9%
Q3 - 2:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
94.5%
56
5.5%
Q3 - 2:26HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
94.2%
56
5.8%
Q3 - 2:41HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
93.4%
56
6.6%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot70
93.8%
56
6.2%
Q3 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
94.6%
56
5.4%
Q3 - 3:01HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
93.7%
56
6.3%
Q3 - 3:12HOUWesley Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)70
92.9%
56
7.1%
Q3 - 3:12MIAMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)70
94.0%
55
6.0%
Q3 - 3:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)70
95.0%
55
5.0%
Q3 - 3:14HOUMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot70
94.7%
55
5.3%
Q3 - 3:18HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
94.0%
55
6.0%
Q3 - 3:20HOUMISS McGrady 14' Running Jump Shot70
94.7%
55
5.3%
Q3 - 3:39MIAHaslem Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)70
94.0%
55
6.0%
Q3 - 4:00HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)68
93.0%
55
7.0%
Q3 - 4:14HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
93.3%
53
6.7%
Q3 - 4:15MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot68
93.7%
53
6.3%
Q3 - 4:35HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)68
94.5%
53
5.5%
Q3 - 4:46MIAPayton Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)68
95.2%
51
4.8%
Q3 - 4:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)68
96.0%
51
4.0%
Q3 - 4:51HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
95.8%
51
4.2%
Q3 - 5:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)68
94.7%
51
5.3%
Q3 - 5:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)67
94.4%
51
5.6%
Q3 - 5:19HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
93.9%
51
6.1%
Q3 - 5:19HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
94.1%
50
5.9%
Q3 - 5:36MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)66
94.8%
49
5.2%
Q3 - 5:51HOUWesley 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)64
94.0%
49
6.0%
Q3 - 6:15MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)64
94.2%
47
5.8%
Q3 - 6:30MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
92.3%
47
7.7%
Q3 - 6:31HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot61
91.9%
47
8.1%
Q3 - 6:45MIAPayton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)61
91.0%
47
9.0%
Q3 - 6:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)58
88.1%
47
11.9%
Q3 - 6:59HOUMISS McGrady 9' Fadeaway Jumper58
87.5%
47
12.5%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)58
85.2%
47
14.8%
Q3 - 7:42HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. O'Neal: Tip to Payton58
87.3%
47
12.7%
Q3 - 7:44HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
86.7%
47
13.3%
Q3 - 7:59MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)58
85.2%
47
14.8%
Q3 - 8:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)56
83.1%
47
16.9%
Q3 - 8:13HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 156
82.8%
47
17.2%
Q3 - 8:20MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)56
84.8%
45
15.2%
Q3 - 8:21HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
82.8%
45
17.2%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot55
83.5%
45
16.5%
Q3 - 8:42HOUHoward 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)55
85.1%
45
14.9%
Q3 - 9:05MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (21 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)55
86.1%
43
13.9%
Q3 - 9:18HOUMcGrady Dunk (15 PTS)53
84.3%
43
15.7%
Q3 - 9:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)53
86.1%
41
13.9%
Q3 - 9:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)52
85.3%
41
14.7%
Q3 - 9:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
84.3%
41
15.7%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot51
82.9%
41
17.1%
Q3 - 9:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
84.4%
41
15.6%
Q3 - 9:54HOUMISS McGrady 8' Running Jump Shot51
83.8%
41
16.2%
Q3 - 10:05MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)51
81.6%
41
18.4%
Q3 - 10:20HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)49
79.7%
41
20.3%
Q3 - 10:20HOUROCKETS Rebound49
77.0%
41
23.0%
Q3 - 10:20HOUMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot49
78.9%
41
21.1%
Q3 - 10:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)49
77.0%
41
23.0%
Q3 - 10:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)48
75.9%
41
24.1%
Q3 - 10:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
74.7%
41
25.3%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot47
72.6%
41
27.4%
Q3 - 11:09HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)47
74.3%
41
25.7%
Q3 - 11:10HOUROCKETS Rebound47
71.5%
41
28.5%
Q3 - 11:13HOUMISS Wesley 12' Jump Shot47
73.5%
41
26.5%
Q3 - 11:37MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (15 PTS)47
71.5%
41
28.5%
Q3 - 11:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
68.7%
41
31.3%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Payton 7' Jump Shot45
66.5%
41
33.5%
Q3 - 11:43MIAHeat Rebound45
68.7%
41
31.3%
Q3 - 11:44MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)45
66.5%
41
33.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
68.7%
41
31.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound45
68.7%
41
31.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 29' 3PT Jump Shot45
66.5%
41
33.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
67.8%
41
32.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
67.2%
41
32.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
65.7%
41
34.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Payton 7' Running Jump Shot45
66.4%
41
33.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)45
67.9%
41
32.1%
Q2 - 1:05HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
73.8%
38
26.2%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
74.2%
38
25.8%
Q2 - 1:35HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 1:54MIAPosey Illegal Screen Turnover (P2.T4)45
80.6%
35
19.4%
Q2 - 2:07HOUAlston 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)45
81.4%
35
18.6%
Q2 - 2:23HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
85.0%
32
15.0%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
85.5%
32
14.5%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
86.4%
32
13.6%
Q2 - 2:40HOUMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot45
86.0%
32
14.0%
Q2 - 3:06MIAPayton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)45
84.0%
32
16.0%
Q2 - 3:34HOUAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)42
80.8%
32
19.2%
Q2 - 3:45HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
84.0%
29
16.0%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot42
84.6%
29
15.4%
Q2 - 3:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 3:57HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
85.3%
29
14.7%
Q2 - 3:59HOUROCKETS Rebound42
84.1%
29
15.9%
Q2 - 4:00HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot42
85.3%
29
14.7%
Q2 - 4:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)42
83.4%
29
16.6%
Q2 - 4:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)41
82.7%
29
17.3%
Q2 - 4:26HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
81.8%
29
18.2%
Q2 - 4:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
83.4%
27
16.6%
Q2 - 4:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)39
83.1%
27
16.9%
Q2 - 4:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
81.8%
27
18.2%
Q2 - 4:43HOUMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot38
81.2%
27
18.8%
Q2 - 5:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
79.6%
27
20.4%
Q2 - 5:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
78.7%
27
21.3%
Q2 - 5:25HOUWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)36
77.8%
27
22.2%
Q2 - 5:45HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
81.4%
24
18.6%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Fitch 23' Jump Shot36
81.9%
24
18.1%
Q2 - 5:52MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
83.1%
24
16.9%
Q2 - 5:54HOUMISS Alston 6' Running Jump Shot36
82.6%
24
17.4%
Q2 - 6:12HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
80.8%
24
19.2%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot36
81.4%
24
18.6%
Q2 - 6:35HOUHoward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)36
82.8%
24
17.2%
Q2 - 6:47MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)36
80.8%
24
19.2%
Q2 - 7:05HOUAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Head 2 AST)34
78.5%
24
21.5%
Q2 - 7:13MIAAlston STEAL (2 STL)34
81.8%
21
18.2%
Q2 - 7:15MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
83.4%
21
16.6%
Q2 - 7:17HOUMISS Head Layup34
82.9%
21
17.1%
Q2 - 7:38MIAFitch 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)34
81.8%
21
18.2%
Q2 - 7:52MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
78.6%
21
21.4%
Q2 - 7:53HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
78.0%
21
22.0%
Q2 - 8:16MIAWalker Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)31
76.1%
21
23.9%
Q2 - 8:31MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
74.4%
21
25.6%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q2 - 8:53MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
74.4%
21
25.6%
Q2 - 8:55HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot29
73.8%
21
26.2%
Q2 - 9:20MIAFitch Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
71.7%
21
28.3%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Fitch Free Throw 1 of 228
71.3%
21
28.7%
Q2 - 9:38MIAHeat Rebound28
72.0%
21
28.0%
Q2 - 9:38HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
71.3%
21
28.7%
Q2 - 9:52HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
69.7%
21
30.3%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
70.4%
21
29.6%
Q2 - 10:09HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
71.6%
21
28.4%
Q2 - 10:24MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)28
75.3%
18
24.7%
Q2 - 10:36HOUHayes Foul Turnover (P1.T3)25
71.6%
18
28.4%
Q2 - 10:58HOUROCKETS Rebound25
69.3%
18
30.7%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
70.0%
18
30.0%
Q2 - 11:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
71.0%
18
29.0%
Q2 - 11:04HOUMISS Swift Dunk25
70.4%
18
29.6%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)25
69.0%
18
31.0%
Q2 - 11:28HOUMcGrady 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
71.1%
18
28.9%
Q2 - 11:47MIAWalker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fitch 3 AST)25
73.1%
16
26.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
71.1%
16
28.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound23
71.1%
16
28.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
69.7%
16
30.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0HOUNorris 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)23
70.4%
16
29.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0HOUROCKETS Rebound23
72.8%
14
27.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Fitch 21' Jump Shot23
73.2%
14
26.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0HOUHoward 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Head 1 AST)23
74.2%
14
25.8%
Q1 - 1:02HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
76.3%
12
23.7%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot23
76.7%
12
23.3%
Q1 - 1:15MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
77.6%
12
22.4%
Q1 - 1:17HOUMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot23
77.2%
12
22.8%
Q1 - 1:36MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Fitch 2 AST)23
76.3%
12
23.7%
Q1 - 1:56HOUSwift Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)21
74.2%
12
25.8%
Q1 - 2:12MIAWade 9' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)21
72.6%
12
27.4%
Q1 - 2:27HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
70.6%
12
29.4%
Q1 - 2:27HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 219
71.0%
11
29.0%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Fitch 1 AST)19
70.7%
11
29.3%
Q1 - 2:59HOUAlston 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
68.6%
11
31.4%
Q1 - 3:21HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
69.9%
9
30.1%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 217
70.2%
9
29.8%
Q1 - 3:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
71.0%
9
29.0%
Q1 - 3:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
70.2%
9
29.8%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS O'Neal Layup16
68.7%
9
31.3%
Q1 - 3:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
70.2%
9
29.8%
Q1 - 3:56HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
68.1%
9
31.9%
Q1 - 3:56HOUMISS Mutombo Tip Shot16
69.5%
9
30.5%
Q1 - 3:57HOUMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot16
69.6%
9
30.4%
Q1 - 4:12HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
67.7%
9
32.3%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot16
68.4%
9
31.6%
Q1 - 4:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
70.0%
9
30.0%
Q1 - 4:36MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
68.4%
9
31.6%
Q1 - 4:53HOUWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
70.0%
9
30.0%
Q1 - 4:53HOUMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 216
70.3%
8
29.7%
Q1 - 5:13MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (6 PTS)16
69.1%
8
30.9%
Q1 - 5:32HOUAlston Reverse Layup (2 PTS)14
67.4%
8
32.6%
Q1 - 5:33HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
69.1%
6
30.9%
Q1 - 5:35HOUMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot14
70.5%
6
29.5%
Q1 - 5:52MIAWade Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)14
69.1%
6
30.9%
Q1 - 6:00HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
67.5%
6
32.5%
Q1 - 6:03HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
64.9%
6
35.1%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper12
65.4%
6
34.6%
Q1 - 6:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
66.8%
6
33.2%
Q1 - 6:17HOUMISS Howard 10' Hook Shot12
66.2%
6
33.8%
Q1 - 6:38HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
64.9%
6
35.1%
Q1 - 6:39HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
66.2%
6
33.8%
Q1 - 6:56MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
64.9%
6
35.1%
Q1 - 7:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
62.7%
6
37.3%
Q1 - 7:11HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot10
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 7:21HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
60.7%
6
39.3%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot10
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 7:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
62.7%
6
37.3%
Q1 - 7:32HOUMISS Mutombo 11' Jump Shot10
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 7:51HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
60.7%
6
39.3%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot10
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 7:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
62.7%
6
37.3%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)10
61.7%
6
38.3%
Q1 - 8:19HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)10
63.0%
6
37.0%
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 8:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 8:51HOUMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
62.4%
4
37.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAAlston STEAL (1 STL)8
60.7%
4
39.3%
Q1 - 9:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 9:23HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
62.3%
4
37.7%
Q1 - 9:39MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
60.8%
4
39.2%
Q1 - 10:00MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
57.6%
4
42.4%
Q1 - 10:02HOUMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
56.7%
4
43.3%
Q1 - 10:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 24
54.9%
4
45.1%
Q1 - 10:35HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
55.5%
4
44.5%
Q1 - 10:35HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
56.0%
3
44.0%
Q1 - 10:52MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)4
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 11:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
55.3%
2
44.7%
Q1 - 11:11HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot2
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 11:29MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
53.6%
2
46.4%
Q1 - 11:48HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. O'Neal: Tip to Howard0
53.6%
0
46.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
HOU
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
19
68%
HOU
8
19
42%
Midrange
MIA
9
29
31%
HOU
14
38
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
HOU
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
30
40
75%
HOU
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3259%16.0 / 27
S. O'Neal2463%12.0 / 19
G. Payton1255%6.0 / 11
A. Walker1063%5.0 / 8
U. Haslem975%4.5 / 6
J. Posey638%3.0 / 8
G. Fitch429%2.0 / 7
A. Mourning4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3746%18.5 / 40
R. Alston2665%13.0 / 20
J. Howard1050%5.0 / 10
D. Wesley750%3.5 / 7
C. Hayes643%3.0 / 7
L. Baxter563%2.5 / 4
D. Mutombo233%1.0 / 3
M. Norris2100%1.0 / 1
L. Head0-0.0 / 4
S. Swift0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+14
-12
91
HOU
76
+19
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
HOU
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
101.4
MIA 113.5 +0.4
HOU 113.1
Pace
92.2
88.2
MIA 85.4
HOU 87.7 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.1
MIA 16.9
HOU 16.4 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
47.1%
MIA 51.4% +8.4%
HOU 43.0%
TO %
15.0%
15.4%
MIA 12.2%
HOU 9.3% +2.9%
ORB %
26.8%
25.5%
MIA 27.8%
HOU 30.0% +2.2%
FTrt
36.3
31.7
MIA 58.0 +26.6
HOU 31.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
58.3%
MIA 74.2% +30.4%
HOU 43.8%
STL %
6.9%
8.1%
MIA 4.5%
HOU 9.5% +5.0%
BLK %
8.5%
6.6%
MIA 8.8% +2.5%
HOU 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
50.3%
MIA 54.9% +6.9%
HOU 48.0%
Rim FG%
64.2%
56.1%
MIA 68.4% +26.3%
HOU 42.1%
Mid FG%
38.9%
39.3%
MIA 31.0%
HOU 36.8% +5.8%
3P %
34.5%
33.2%
MIA 42.9% +8.4%
HOU 34.5%
FT %
70.0%
75.9%
MIA 75.0%
HOU 77.8% +2.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
32.1%
MIA 27.5% +5.4%
HOU 22.1%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
45.3%
MIA 42.0% +2.2%
HOU 44.2%
3P Att. %
22.7%
22.6%
MIA 30.4%
HOU 33.7% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions8984
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points10195
Rebounds4541
Assists2314
Steals48
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)26 (2)
Field Goals31-6932-86
At-the-Rim FG13-198-19
Midrange FG9-2914-38
2-Point FG22-4822-57
3-Point FG9-2110-29
Free Throws30-4021-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
42.6
6
38%
6
2
1
0
3
4
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
42.2
32
59%
6
9
0
0
3
1
1
5
16-19
84%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
40.0
12
55%
5
6
1
0
3
3
3
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
4-8
50%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
32.2
24
63%
14
1
0
1
1
4
3
11
12-18
67%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
31.6
9
75%
9
1
0
0
1
2
2
7
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
16.4
10
63%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
16.1
4
29%
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
15.8
4
100%
1
0
0
3
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
#49 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
55%
45
23
4
5
12
0
10
35
30-40
75%
22-48
46%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.