FinalWin Prob.pScore
2121%85
89
279%95
103
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
109.98182.9
DAL logo DAL
121.28583.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL89
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0UTABrown Layup (18 PTS)89
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0UTABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0UTAMISS Owens 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0UTAOwens REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0UTAMbenga BLOCK (1 BLK)87
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0DALPowell Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0UTAMISS Owens 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0UTAMISS Humphries 13' Jump Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09DALMbenga Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45DALStackhouse Driving Layup (11 PTS)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01UTAMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 284
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01UTABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13DALStackhouse Reverse Layup (9 PTS)83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (14 PTS)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40UTAMISS Okur 11' Jump Shot81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 281
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16UTAMISS Giricek 8' Running Hook Shot81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)81
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:03UTAOkur 7' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS)81
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 4:22DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)79
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 4:22DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)79
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:41UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:41UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:00DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:00DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 277
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 5:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 5:24UTAMISS Giricek 22' Jump Shot77
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 5:36DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 5:36DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)77
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 5:49UTAKirilenko Foul Turnover (P4.T17)77
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 6:13DALTerry 5' Hook Shot (18 PTS)77
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 6:14DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 6:16DALMISS Terry 11' Jump Shot77
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 6:19DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 6:21UTAMISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 6:38DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)77
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 7:02UTAGiricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)77
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 7:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 7:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 7:21UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 7:21UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 273
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 7:37DALHoward 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)73
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 7:56UTAGiricek 29' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)73
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 8:22DALTerry 16' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)70
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 8:41UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q4 - 8:41UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q4 - 8:50UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q4 - 8:52DALMISS Griffin Layup68
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 8:57DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 8:59UTAMISS D. Williams 7' Jump Shot68
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 9:16UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 9:18DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 9:37DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 9:39DALMISS Van Horn 14' Jump Shot68
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 10:00UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)68
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 10:01UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 10:03UTAMISS Palacio Free Throw 2 of 265
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 10:03UTAMISS Palacio Free Throw 1 of 265
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 10:20DALVan Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)65
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 10:23DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 10:27UTADaniels BLOCK (1 BLK)65
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 10:32DALDampier Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)65
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 10:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 10:34UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 10:56DALDampier Foul Turnover (P2.T13)65
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 11:02DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 11:04UTAMISS D. Williams 16' Jump Shot65
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q4 - 11:16UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q4 - 11:18UTAMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot65
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q4 - 11:41DALVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)65
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA65
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound65
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Brown 49' 3PT Jump Shot65
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALGriffin Layup (2 PTS)65
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 0:11.0DALTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)63
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0UTABrown Driving Layup (13 PTS) (McLeod 6 AST)63
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0UTAMcLeod REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALMISS Van Horn 17' Jump Shot61
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 1:01UTAMcLeod 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)61
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 1:17DALVan Horn Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)59
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 1:28DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 1:29UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 1:29UTAMISS Humphries Layup59
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 1:31UTAMISS Okur 11' Hook Shot59
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 1:56DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 1:56DALDampier Tip Shot (2 PTS)59
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 1:59DALMISS Dampier Layup59
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 2:01DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 2:03DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot59
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q3 - 2:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 2:21UTAMISS McLeod 18' Jump Shot59
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 2:38UTAJazz Rebound59
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 2:38DALMISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot59
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q3 - 2:57UTAGiricek Foul Turnover (P2.T16)59
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 3:02UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 3:04UTAMISS Giricek 21' Jump Shot59
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 3:16UTAOkur Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)59
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 3:27DALStackhouse Foul Turnover (P3.T11)58
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 3:32UTAMcLeod 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)58
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 3:50DALArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 3:50DALArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
4.4%
66
95.6%
Q3 - 4:00UTAGiricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McLeod 5 AST)56
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 4:23DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)53
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 4:23DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)53
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q3 - 4:42UTABrown Driving Layup (11 PTS)53
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 5:02DALStackhouse Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)51
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 5:15UTAOkur Running Layup (11 PTS)51
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 5:38DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 5:38DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 5:54UTAKirilenko Foul Turnover (P3.T15)49
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q3 - 6:11UTAJazz Rebound49
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 6:13UTAMISS Okur 21' Jump Shot49
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q3 - 6:29DALDiop Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)49
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 6:29DALMISS Diop Free Throw 1 of 249
4.5%
60
95.5%
Q3 - 6:47UTACollins 13' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)49
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q3 - 7:02UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 7:04UTAMISS Giricek 15' Jump Shot47
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q3 - 7:20UTAJazz Rebound47
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 7:21DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 7:27DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q3 - 7:30UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 7:30UTAMISS Okur Layup47
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q3 - 7:32UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 247
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 7:32UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 7:48DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)46
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 8:08DALJump Ball Diop vs. Kirilenko: Tip to Griffin46
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 8:08UTADiop BLOCK (2 BLK)46
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q3 - 8:20DALHoward Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)46
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 8:24DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
6.0%
55
94.0%
Q3 - 8:26UTAMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot46
6.3%
55
93.7%
Q3 - 8:37UTAJazz Rebound46
7.0%
55
93.0%
Q3 - 8:38UTAMISS Giricek 22' Jump Shot46
6.3%
55
93.7%
Q3 - 8:54DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
7.0%
55
93.0%
Q3 - 8:54DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 246
7.2%
54
92.8%
Q3 - 8:57UTAHoward STEAL (1 STL)46
6.9%
54
93.1%
Q3 - 9:08UTAMcLeod REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q3 - 9:11DALMISS Terry Driving Layup46
7.6%
54
92.4%
Q3 - 9:24UTAGiricek 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McLeod 4 AST)46
6.9%
54
93.1%
Q3 - 9:40UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
6.1%
54
93.9%
Q3 - 9:42DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 244
6.0%
54
94.0%
Q3 - 9:42DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q3 - 10:00UTAKirilenko Layup (10 PTS) (McLeod 3 AST)44
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q3 - 10:11DALDiop Foul Turnover (P2.T9)42
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q3 - 10:21DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 10:23UTAMISS Okur 22' Jump Shot42
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q3 - 10:38DALGriffin Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)42
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q3 - 10:44DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 10:46UTANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)42
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q3 - 11:02UTAMcLeod REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q3 - 11:04UTAMISS Collins Layup42
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q3 - 11:18DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)42
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q3 - 11:36UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)42
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q3 - 11:36UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q3 - 11:36UTAMISS Collins 19' Jump Shot42
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL42
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 22' Jump Shot42
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0UTAJazz Rebound42
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0DALMISS Stackhouse Driving Layup42
6.9%
51
93.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound42
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0UTAMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0UTABrown Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)42
8.3%
49
91.7%
Q2 - 1:00UTABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 1:02DALMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot42
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 1:17UTATerry STEAL (1 STL)42
8.7%
49
91.3%
Q2 - 1:36DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 1:54DALMAVERICKS Rebound42
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 1:56DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 1:56DALMISS Diop Layup42
11.4%
47
88.6%
Q2 - 1:58DALMISS Daniels 9' Running Jump Shot42
11.4%
47
88.6%
Q2 - 2:17UTAD. Williams 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)42
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 2:39DALHoward 12' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q2 - 3:03UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
10.8%
45
89.2%
Q2 - 3:03UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
10.5%
45
89.5%
Q2 - 3:22DALHoward Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)38
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q2 - 3:28UTADaniels STEAL (1 STL)38
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 3:30UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 3:33DALMISS Terry 10' Running Jump Shot38
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 3:47DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 3:49DALMISS Howard Layup38
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 4:15UTAGiricek 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)38
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 4:37DALDaniels Driving Layup (2 PTS)36
9.7%
43
90.3%
Q2 - 5:00UTAD. Williams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
10.8%
41
89.2%
Q2 - 5:14DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)34
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 5:19DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 5:21UTADiop BLOCK (1 BLK)34
12.3%
38
87.7%
Q2 - 5:25DALDiop Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)34
13.2%
38
86.8%
Q2 - 5:28UTADiop STEAL (1 STL)34
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 5:29UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
13.2%
38
86.8%
Q2 - 5:32DALMISS Howard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot34
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 5:52UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 5:52UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
11.6%
38
88.4%
Q2 - 6:08DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)32
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 6:25UTAOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)32
9.7%
38
90.3%
Q2 - 6:39DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 6:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
7.2%
38
92.8%
Q2 - 7:00UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 229
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 7:00UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 229
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 7:00UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 7:01UTAMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot29
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 7:25DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)29
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 7:30DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
10.0%
35
90.0%
Q2 - 7:33UTANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)29
10.3%
35
89.7%
Q2 - 7:58DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 8:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q2 - 8:02DALMISS Howard Layup29
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 8:22UTABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q2 - 8:22UTABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 8:44UTABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q2 - 8:46DALMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q2 - 9:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 9:10UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (6 PTS)27
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 9:12UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup25
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q2 - 9:23DALArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 9:37UTADampier STEAL (1 STL)25
8.3%
33
91.7%
Q2 - 9:55DALVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)25
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 10:06UTABrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)25
11.1%
30
88.9%
Q2 - 10:13UTAJazz Rebound22
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q2 - 10:13UTADampier BLOCK (1 BLK)22
8.8%
30
91.2%
Q2 - 10:23DALVan Horn 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)22
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q2 - 10:37UTABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
10.2%
28
89.8%
Q2 - 10:37UTABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
10.0%
28
90.0%
Q2 - 10:44UTAGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
9.4%
28
90.6%
Q2 - 10:48DALMISS Dampier 4' Hook Shot20
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q2 - 11:02UTABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
8.5%
28
91.5%
Q2 - 11:02UTABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q2 - 11:05DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q2 - 11:11UTAGriffin STEAL (3 STL)18
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q2 - 11:23DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q2 - 11:38UTABrown Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)18
9.3%
25
90.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL18
10.1%
25
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound18
9.3%
25
90.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0UTAPalacio Foul Turnover (P2.T5)18
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0DALGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
10.0%
25
90.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0DALMISS Dampier Running Dunk18
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALMISS Van Horn Layup18
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0UTAGriffin STEAL (2 STL)18
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
10.0%
25
90.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 218
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 1:13UTAKirilenko 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)18
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 1:36DALStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)16
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q1 - 1:49DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 1:50UTAMISS Okur 13' Jump Shot16
11.4%
21
88.6%
Q1 - 1:55UTAPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q1 - 1:58UTAMISS Brown 17' Fadeaway Jumper16
11.4%
21
88.6%
Q1 - 2:13UTAPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.0%
21
88.0%
Q1 - 2:15DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q1 - 2:30UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 2:30UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
10.9%
21
89.1%
Q1 - 2:53DALHoward Driving Layup (8 PTS)14
10.2%
21
89.8%
Q1 - 3:09UTAMcLeod 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
11.1%
19
88.9%
Q1 - 3:33DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)12
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 3:57UTAOkur 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)12
12.0%
16
88.0%
Q1 - 4:10UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
11.1%
16
88.9%
Q1 - 4:11DALMISS Van Horn Layup10
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 4:15DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.1%
16
89.9%
Q1 - 4:23UTAMISS McLeod 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 4:39DALVan Horn Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)10
11.1%
16
88.9%
Q1 - 5:02DALMAVERICKS Rebound10
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 5:03UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 5:16UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.7%
14
87.3%
Q1 - 5:19DALMISS Stackhouse 15' Fadeaway Jumper10
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 5:39UTAGiricek 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McLeod 2 AST)10
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 6:12DALTerry 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 6:34DALMAVERICKS Rebound8
11.8%
12
88.2%
Q1 - 6:35UTAMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
12.0%
12
88.0%
Q1 - 6:59DALTerry 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)8
12.7%
12
87.3%
Q1 - 7:03UTANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)8
13.4%
10
86.6%
Q1 - 7:16DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 7:30UTAMcLeod Backcourt Turnover (P1.T2)8
13.4%
10
86.6%
Q1 - 7:40DALHoward Driving Layup (6 PTS)8
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 7:43DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 7:47UTAMISS Giricek 19' Fadeaway Jumper8
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 8:10DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
16.2%
8
83.8%
Q1 - 8:10DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
16.4%
7
83.6%
Q1 - 8:29UTAOkur 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)8
17.1%
6
82.9%
Q1 - 8:44UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 8:47DALMISS Nowitzki Running Dunk6
15.9%
6
84.1%
Q1 - 9:07UTAOkur 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 9:21DALHoward 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)4
14.2%
6
85.8%
Q1 - 9:33UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
14.9%
4
85.1%
Q1 - 9:33UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 9:46UTAGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.2%
4
85.8%
Q1 - 9:49DALMISS Howard 6' Running Jump Shot2
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 10:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.1%
4
86.9%
Q1 - 10:05UTAMISS Giricek 21' Jump Shot2
13.4%
4
86.6%
Q1 - 10:19DALNowitzki 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 10:32UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
14.9%
2
85.1%
Q1 - 10:32UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 10:54UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 10:55DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 20
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 10:55DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 20
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 10:59UTAGriffin STEAL (1 STL)0
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 11:20DALTerry 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 11:40DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.9%
0
85.1%
Q1 - 11:42DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot0
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Collins: Tip to Howard0
14.9%
0
85.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.00 50.0%
DAL
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
8
18
44%
DAL
13
25
52%
Midrange
UTA
14
36
39%
DAL
16
27
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
DAL
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
UTA
30
38
79%
DAL
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Brown1864%9.0 / 14
A. Kirilenko1761%8.5 / 14
M. Okur1644%8.0 / 18
G. Giricek1554%7.5 / 14
J. Collins1063%5.0 / 8
D. Williams744%3.5 / 8
K. McLeod660%3.0 / 5
M. Palacio0-0.0 / 1
K. Humphries0-0.0 / 2
A. Owens0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2463%12.0 / 19
D. Nowitzki2188%10.5 / 12
J. Terry1875%9.0 / 12
K. Van Horn1563%7.5 / 12
J. Stackhouse1161%5.5 / 9
M. Daniels550%2.5 / 5
A. Griffin250%1.0 / 2
E. Dampier225%1.0 / 4
D. Armstrong250%1.0 / 2
D. Mbenga2100%1.0 / 1
D. Diop125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
65
+20
-16
85
DAL
70
+12
-15
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.00 50.0%
DAL
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
111.3
UTA 109.9
DAL 121.2 +11.3
Pace
88.3
88.2
UTA 82.9
DAL 83.1 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
17.4
16.9
UTA 17.4
DAL 17.3 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
49.5%
UTA 42.8%
DAL 60.8% +18.0%
TO %
16.6%
14.4%
UTA 16.5%
DAL 15.9% +0.6%
ORB %
32.4%
31.9%
UTA 41.0% +4.0%
DAL 37.0%
FTrt
39.7
36.4
UTA 55.1 +5.9
DAL 49.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
50.0%
UTA 55.6% +8.4%
DAL 47.2%
STL %
7.2%
8.1%
UTA 7.4%
DAL 10.6% +3.2%
BLK %
10.3%
9.4%
UTA 7.7%
DAL 13.0% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
53.3%
UTA 50.0%
DAL 62.0% +12.0%
Rim FG%
56.5%
55.4%
UTA 44.4%
DAL 52.0% +7.6%
Mid FG%
37.5%
43.4%
UTA 38.9%
DAL 59.3% +20.4%
3P %
33.6%
37.4%
UTA 33.3%
DAL 53.8% +20.5%
FT %
71.9%
78.3%
UTA 78.9% +3.9%
DAL 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
32.5%
UTA 26.1%
DAL 38.5% +12.4%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
50.0%
UTA 52.2%
DAL 41.5% +10.6%
3P Att. %
14.9%
17.5%
UTA 21.7% +1.7%
DAL 20.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions8185
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points89103
Rebounds3333
Assists1517
Steals69
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)17 (3)23 (3)
Field Goals27-6936-65
At-the-Rim FG8-1813-25
Midrange FG14-3616-27
2-Point FG22-5429-52
3-Point FG5-157-13
Free Throws30-3824-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 260 · 27
40.3
16
44%
5
2
0
0
0
5
3
2
3-3
100%
5-13
38%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
38.9
17
61%
10
1
3
1
4
4
6
4
9-12
75%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 29
38.2
15
54%
2
1
0
0
2
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-11
27%
3-3
100%
C · 6'11" 249 · 27
30.1
10
63%
6
2
0
0
2
6
2
4
6-7
86%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
21.5
6
60%
3
6
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
29.6
18
64%
3
1
1
1
4
3
1
2
9-10
90%
3-6
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
20.7
7
44%
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
13.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
2
3
1
1
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
5.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 230 · 30
C · 6'10" 260 · 24
#5 · F · 6'9" 258 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'6" 220 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#00 · C · 7'2" 280 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
50%
33
15
6
4
16
0
16
17
30-38
79%
22-54
41%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.