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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz21%8589
2Mavericks79%95103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.7
40.3
37.1
16
44%
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
3-3
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
47%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
38.9
39.3
17
64%
10
1
3
2
1
4
6
4
9-12
75%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.6
38.2
13.5
15
54%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-11
2-5
27%
46%
3-3
100%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.2
30.1
23.2
10
62%
6
2
0
0
0
2
2
4
6-7
86%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.2
21.5
21.4
6
60%
3
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
39%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
29.6
26.1
18
67%
3
1
1
1
1
4
1
2
9-10
90%
3-6
3-7
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.6
20.7
17.3
7
45%
0
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.0
13.4
21.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
0-0
3-6
-
44%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
5.9
13.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
1.5
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.7
19.6
0
3-6
48%
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.8
4.5
0
1-1
46%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.2
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.9
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.4
37.9
33.7
18
75%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.8
35.6
33.1
24
64%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
8-13
62%
8-13
6-11
62%
50%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
31.8
37.4
21
91%
5
0
1
1
2
0
1
4
8-8
100%
5-6
7-15
83%
49%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.0
28.3
18.9
1
27%
6
1
1
1
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.6
23.3
28.6
2
50%
4
2
3
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.2
21.7
26.2
11
59%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-3
67%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.3
16.4
12.3
15
63%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
48%
3-5
60%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
16.4
23.7
2
25%
4
1
1
0
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
12.9
34.2
5
53%
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-3
5-10
33%
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.6
12.7
6.5
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
1.5
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.1
1.5
1.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.9
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.0
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.