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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets23%8295
5Grizzlies77%9186
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.3
39.6
30.6
18
77%
9
1
1
1
1
0
3
6
6-6
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
44%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
38.8
31.6
19
60%
12
3
2
1
1
0
3
9
1-2
50%
9-15
6-13
60%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.7
36.7
32.6
13
43%
3
8
1
2
0
4
0
3
11-12
92%
1-8
4-9
13%
44%
0-2
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.3
30.9
28.6
10
33%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-5
80%
3-12
4-9
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.7
28.7
22.8
10
83%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
2-2
100%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.7
30.6
25.3
20
51%
2
5
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
9-18
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.6
16.8
6.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
15.2
22.5
5
83%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.6
2.8
4.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.4
8.9
0
1-2
43%
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.0
4.1
0
0-1
40%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.7
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
46.1
38.6
25
76%
16
3
0
1
1
4
2
14
7-8
88%
9-12
7-13
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.9
36.6
31.0
22
65%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
46%
4-10
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.4
36.5
33.4
6
29%
5
2
0
1
2
0
2
3
2-3
67%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.3
29.9
34.4
8
48%
5
3
1
1
1
1
0
5
3-3
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
18.3
27.0
3
80%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.9
28.0
32.0
11
43%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
1-6
17%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.6
15.9
4.3
4
52%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.5
13.9
19.0
3
35%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-3
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
5.4
6.2
2
36%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.9
5.4
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
4.0
4.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.6
8.8
0
1-2
48%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.4
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.