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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats23%9397
13Wizards77%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.6
43.1
32.0
18
52%
4
13
3
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
40%
1-3
33%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.4
38.0
24.7
13
50%
2
0
2
1
0
3
2
0
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
44%
3-6
50%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.3
35.0
30.7
27
70%
12
0
1
0
0
0
1
11
3-5
60%
12-17
6-11
71%
51%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.7
34.6
27.7
11
40%
3
4
0
1
2
2
0
3
1-4
25%
5-12
4-8
42%
45%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
26.0
33.6
6
43%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
2-6
33%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.1
26.7
17.6
12
60%
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
6-7
86%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
16.6
12.4
8
44%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
42%
2-4
50%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
12.5
16.8
2
25%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
7.6
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.2
24.2
2
4-8
42%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
12.4
1
2-3
51%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.7
8.5
0
1-2
42%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.3
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.8
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
41.6
43.4
34
65%
1
3
1
2
0
3
0
1
13-14
93%
9-16
7-14
56%
49%
1-4
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.9
39.9
41.1
6
33%
9
3
0
2
0
1
0
9
0-0
-
3-8
7-15
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
37.2
40.4
23
58%
13
1
0
1
0
2
2
11
0-2
0%
4-11
7-14
36%
48%
5-8
63%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.2
28.3
21.8
10
63%
8
4
1
1
0
2
2
6
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.2
22.3
32.4
8
66%
6
3
0
1
2
3
4
2
2-7
29%
3-3
4-8
100%
55%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.9
28.6
30.8
11
67%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
5-5
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.8
21.3
7.2
12
60%
5
2
0
0
2
0
1
4
6-7
86%
3-7
1-2
43%
52%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.5
16.5
3.8
3
22%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-6
0-1
17%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.0
4.3
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.7
4.5
0
0-1
47%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.4
3.1
0
1-1
50%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.7
0.6
0
0-0
53%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.8
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.