FinalWin Prob.pScore
1358%96
91
3042%93
85
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.88679.4
CHA logo CHA
98.88693.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA91
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)90
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHACarroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Felton 11 AST)89
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 289
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)88
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHAFelton Driving Layup (15 PTS)86
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHAEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 286
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHABrezec Layup (19 PTS)85
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0CHAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 0:47.0CHAMISS Jones Driving Layup85
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)85
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)84
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal Layup (22 PTS)84
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot82
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
98.7%
76
1.3%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot82
97.9%
76
2.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Walker Layup82
97.8%
76
2.2%
Q4 - 1:24CHABrezec Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)82
97.8%
76
2.2%
Q4 - 1:29MIAJones STEAL (2 STL)82
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 1:42CHABrezec Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 1:42CHABrezec Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 1:53CHAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 2:14MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 2:17CHAMISS Felton Layup82
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 2:23CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 2:26CHAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 2:33CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 3:00MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 3:01CHAMISS Brezec 17' Jump Shot82
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 3:17MIAPayton Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)82
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
97.7%
71
2.3%
Q4 - 3:33CHAMISS Felton Layup80
97.4%
71
2.6%
Q4 - 3:47MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)80
96.8%
71
3.2%
Q4 - 4:14CHACarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)78
95.7%
71
4.3%
Q4 - 4:20MIABrezec STEAL (1 STL)78
97.9%
68
2.1%
Q4 - 4:37MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
98.6%
68
1.4%
Q4 - 4:39CHAMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 178
98.5%
68
1.5%
Q4 - 4:49MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)78
99.0%
66
1.0%
Q4 - 5:19CHABrezec 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Felton 9 AST)75
97.0%
66
3.0%
Q4 - 5:27CHAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
97.8%
64
2.2%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot75
98.0%
64
2.0%
Q4 - 5:50CHAFelton Driving Layup (11 PTS)75
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMourning Layup (6 PTS)75
98.3%
62
1.7%
Q4 - 6:19CHAEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
97.9%
62
2.1%
Q4 - 6:19CHAEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 6:39MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)73
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q4 - 6:50MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
97.2%
60
2.8%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
96.4%
60
3.6%
Q4 - 7:10MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q4 - 7:14CHAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
96.0%
60
4.0%
Q4 - 7:22CHABOBCATS Rebound70
95.0%
60
5.0%
Q4 - 7:22CHAMISS Felton Layup70
96.0%
60
4.0%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)70
95.1%
60
4.9%
Q4 - 7:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
93.8%
60
6.2%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
92.5%
60
7.5%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
92.5%
60
7.5%
Q4 - 8:24CHAMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
92.0%
60
8.0%
Q4 - 8:51MIAWalker Layup (9 PTS)68
90.6%
60
9.4%
Q4 - 9:12MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
87.3%
60
12.7%
Q4 - 9:13CHAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
86.4%
60
13.6%
Q4 - 9:32MIAWalker 10' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)66
84.2%
60
15.8%
Q4 - 9:38MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
80.9%
60
19.1%
Q4 - 9:40CHAMISS Brezec 20' Jump Shot64
79.7%
60
20.3%
Q4 - 9:54CHABOBCATS Rebound64
76.8%
60
23.2%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
78.1%
60
21.9%
Q4 - 10:18CHARobinson Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)64
79.9%
60
20.1%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWalker Layup (5 PTS)64
75.7%
60
24.3%
Q4 - 10:55CHAVoskuhl 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)62
71.7%
60
28.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIAVoskuhl STEAL (1 STL)62
65.7%
60
34.3%
Q4 - 11:22CHAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)62
70.6%
60
29.4%
Q4 - 11:42MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)62
65.7%
60
34.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA60
61.0%
60
39.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)60
56.2%
60
43.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0CHABrezec Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)58
51.0%
60
49.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAFitch Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)58
45.8%
60
54.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0CHABrezec Layup (10 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)56
40.7%
60
59.3%
Q3 - 1:18MIAPayton 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)56
46.8%
58
53.2%
Q3 - 1:25MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
42.1%
58
57.9%
Q3 - 1:26CHAMISS Burleson 15' Jump Shot54
40.6%
58
59.4%
Q3 - 1:43MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)54
37.2%
58
62.8%
Q3 - 2:09CHABrezec 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
29.9%
58
70.1%
Q3 - 2:29MIAPayton Running Layup (4 PTS)51
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q3 - 2:37MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
29.8%
56
70.2%
Q3 - 2:39CHAMISS Burleson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q3 - 2:50MIAFitch Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)49
25.8%
56
74.2%
Q3 - 2:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
29.8%
56
70.2%
Q3 - 2:54CHAMISS Voskuhl 16' Jump Shot49
28.5%
56
71.5%
Q3 - 3:10MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)49
27.1%
56
72.9%
Q3 - 3:29CHAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Burleson 1 AST)49
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q3 - 3:45CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)49
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q3 - 3:46MIABrezec BLOCK (1 BLK)49
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q3 - 3:55CHACarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q3 - 3:55CHAMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 249
44.1%
52
55.9%
Q3 - 3:58CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)49
43.1%
52
56.9%
Q3 - 4:00CHAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot49
46.4%
52
53.6%
Q3 - 4:12MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (18 PTS)49
43.6%
52
56.4%
Q3 - 4:36CHACarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Voskuhl 1 AST)47
40.0%
52
60.0%
Q3 - 4:54MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)47
47.9%
49
52.1%
Q3 - 5:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
44.8%
49
55.2%
Q3 - 5:15CHAMISS Voskuhl 16' Jump Shot45
43.4%
49
56.6%
Q3 - 5:26CHACarroll Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)45
40.4%
49
59.6%
Q3 - 5:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
44.4%
48
55.6%
Q3 - 5:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)44
42.6%
48
57.4%
Q3 - 5:53CHACarroll Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)43
40.7%
48
59.3%
Q3 - 5:57CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
36.4%
48
63.6%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot43
37.7%
48
62.3%
Q3 - 6:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
41.5%
48
58.5%
Q3 - 6:15CHAMISS Carroll 18' Jump Shot43
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q3 - 6:31CHABOBCATS Rebound43
37.3%
48
62.7%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
38.6%
48
61.4%
Q3 - 6:51CHAJones 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Felton 8 AST)43
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q3 - 6:56CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
45.1%
46
54.9%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot43
46.4%
46
53.6%
Q3 - 7:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
49.5%
46
50.5%
Q3 - 7:09CHAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot43
48.1%
46
51.9%
Q3 - 7:30MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)43
45.0%
46
55.0%
Q3 - 7:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
41.8%
46
58.2%
Q3 - 7:37CHAMISS Ely 5' Turnaround Jump Shot41
40.5%
46
59.5%
Q3 - 7:51CHABOBCATS Rebound41
37.5%
46
62.5%
Q3 - 7:51CHAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot41
40.5%
46
59.5%
Q3 - 8:10MIAHaslem 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS)41
38.4%
46
61.6%
Q3 - 8:21MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)39
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q3 - 8:35CHAFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)38
31.9%
46
68.1%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHaslem Dunk (9 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)38
28.3%
46
71.7%
Q3 - 9:01CHABrezec 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)36
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q3 - 9:15MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)36
29.4%
44
70.6%
Q3 - 9:31CHACarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)33
23.8%
44
76.2%
Q3 - 9:42MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)33
29.4%
41
70.6%
Q3 - 10:03CHACarroll Layup (4 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)30
25.1%
41
74.9%
Q3 - 10:08MIAFelton STEAL (1 STL)30
27.5%
39
72.5%
Q3 - 10:20MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
30.8%
39
69.2%
Q3 - 10:22CHAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
29.7%
39
70.3%
Q3 - 10:29CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
27.5%
39
72.5%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot30
28.4%
39
71.6%
Q3 - 10:59CHAFelton 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
30.7%
39
69.3%
Q3 - 11:21CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
34.7%
37
65.3%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot30
35.7%
37
64.3%
Q3 - 11:41CHABrezec 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)30
38.0%
37
62.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA30
41.1%
35
58.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHABOBCATS Rebound30
41.1%
35
58.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
43.6%
35
56.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)30
42.7%
35
57.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAHeat Rebound30
45.0%
35
55.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot30
43.4%
35
56.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
45.0%
35
55.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHAMISS Ely Free Throw 2 of 230
44.7%
35
55.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHAEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)30
42.8%
35
57.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0CHABOBCATS Rebound30
45.9%
34
54.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Fitch 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
46.6%
34
53.4%
Q2 - 1:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
48.4%
34
51.6%
Q2 - 1:04CHAMISS Felton 21' Jump Shot30
47.8%
34
52.2%
Q2 - 1:28CHAEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
46.7%
34
53.3%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
47.2%
34
52.8%
Q2 - 1:52CHAVoskuhl Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)30
48.3%
34
51.7%
Q2 - 2:13CHAEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
46.5%
34
53.5%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Fitch 18' Jump Shot30
47.4%
34
52.6%
Q2 - 2:35CHACarroll 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
49.3%
34
50.7%
Q2 - 2:40CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
52.8%
32
47.2%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
53.6%
32
46.4%
Q2 - 3:00CHAVoskuhl 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)30
55.5%
32
44.5%
Q2 - 3:07CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
58.9%
30
41.1%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 130
59.3%
30
40.7%
Q2 - 3:15MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
56.3%
30
43.7%
Q2 - 3:17CHAMISS Brezec 20' Jump Shot28
55.3%
30
44.7%
Q2 - 3:34MIAHaslem Dunk (7 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)28
53.0%
30
47.0%
Q2 - 3:53CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)26
50.3%
30
49.7%
Q2 - 3:53CHABOBCATS Rebound26
46.9%
30
53.1%
Q2 - 3:53CHAMISS Felton 18' Jump Shot26
49.3%
30
50.7%
Q2 - 4:21MIAPayton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)26
47.8%
30
52.2%
Q2 - 4:42CHAKnight Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)24
44.9%
30
55.1%
Q2 - 4:54MIAFitch 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
42.1%
30
57.9%
Q2 - 5:07CHAJones 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)22
40.0%
30
60.0%
Q2 - 5:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)22
42.5%
28
57.5%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 221
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q2 - 5:26MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 5:29CHAMISS Ely Alley Oop Layup21
41.8%
28
58.2%
Q2 - 5:53MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)21
39.8%
28
60.2%
Q2 - 6:14CHAEly 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)19
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q2 - 6:22CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot19
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q2 - 6:39CHAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T4)19
43.6%
26
56.4%
Q2 - 6:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)19
40.3%
26
59.7%
Q2 - 7:07MIAHeat Rebound16
36.8%
26
63.2%
Q2 - 7:07CHAMISS Brezec 18' Jump Shot16
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q2 - 7:17CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
34.2%
26
65.8%
Q2 - 7:21MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)16
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q2 - 7:38CHABrezec Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q2 - 7:38MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)16
34.1%
26
65.9%
Q2 - 7:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q2 - 7:41CHAMISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
35.9%
26
64.1%
Q2 - 8:01MIAPayton Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)16
34.3%
26
65.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
37.0%
26
63.0%
Q2 - 8:10CHAMISS Felton Layup16
36.2%
26
63.8%
Q2 - 8:33MIAFitch 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
34.3%
26
65.7%
Q2 - 8:46MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot14
30.6%
26
69.4%
Q2 - 9:03MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot14
31.4%
26
68.6%
Q2 - 9:28CHAEly 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS)14
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q2 - 9:47CHABOBCATS Rebound14
35.0%
24
65.0%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 214
35.3%
24
64.7%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 214
36.5%
24
63.5%
Q2 - 10:15CHAEly 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)14
37.8%
24
62.2%
Q2 - 10:38CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
39.9%
22
60.1%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot14
40.7%
22
59.3%
Q2 - 10:54CHAFelton Layup (7 PTS)14
42.6%
22
57.4%
Q2 - 10:56CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
44.7%
20
55.3%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Walker Layup14
45.6%
20
54.4%
Q2 - 11:07MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q2 - 11:11CHAMISS Knight Layup14
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q2 - 11:23CHAEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
45.3%
20
54.7%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
46.0%
20
54.0%
Q2 - 11:39CHAKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
47.6%
20
52.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA14
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHABOBCATS Rebound14
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0CHAJump Ball Voskuhl vs. Mourning: Tip to Knight14
45.7%
20
54.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
47.6%
20
52.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0CHAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0CHAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
45.8%
19
54.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)13
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
49.9%
18
50.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
49.9%
18
50.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot13
48.6%
18
51.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Walker Layup13
48.6%
18
51.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
49.9%
18
50.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0CHAMISS Voskuhl 19' Jump Shot13
49.3%
18
50.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHABOBCATS Rebound13
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Fitch 19' Jump Shot13
48.6%
18
51.4%
Q1 - 1:06MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
50.1%
18
49.9%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
48.8%
18
51.2%
Q1 - 1:30MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
50.0%
18
50.0%
Q1 - 1:32CHAMISS Voskuhl 17' Jump Shot13
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 1:56MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fitch 1 AST)13
48.2%
18
51.8%
Q1 - 2:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
46.0%
18
54.0%
Q1 - 2:11CHAMISS Voskuhl 20' Jump Shot11
45.3%
18
54.7%
Q1 - 2:19CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 2:21CHAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot11
45.3%
18
54.7%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 3:07MIAHeat Rebound9
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q1 - 3:08CHAMISS Carroll 8' Jump Shot9
41.5%
18
58.5%
Q1 - 3:15CHAEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 3:17CHAMISS Carroll 21' Jump Shot9
41.5%
18
58.5%
Q1 - 3:32MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)9
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 3:51CHAFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 4:12CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
46.8%
15
53.2%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 4:30CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
49.5%
15
50.5%
Q1 - 4:30CHAVoskuhl Layup (2 PTS)9
49.5%
15
50.5%
Q1 - 4:31CHAMISS Felton Layup9
53.0%
13
47.0%
Q1 - 4:43CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
51.2%
13
48.8%
Q1 - 4:45MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 5:06CHAEly 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
54.2%
13
45.8%
Q1 - 5:24CHABOBCATS Rebound9
56.1%
11
43.9%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
56.8%
11
43.2%
Q1 - 5:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 5:56CHAMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot9
57.7%
11
42.3%
Q1 - 6:15MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
56.3%
11
43.7%
Q1 - 6:34CHAEly 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
58.3%
11
41.7%
Q1 - 6:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
60.2%
9
39.8%
Q1 - 6:53MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (6 PTS)9
60.2%
9
39.8%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot7
56.9%
9
43.1%
Q1 - 7:12CHAEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
58.7%
9
41.3%
Q1 - 7:12CHAEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
59.3%
8
40.7%
Q1 - 7:12CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
60.3%
7
39.7%
Q1 - 7:12CHAMISS Felton Layup7
61.7%
7
38.3%
Q1 - 7:20CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
60.3%
7
39.7%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot7
61.0%
7
39.0%
Q1 - 7:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
62.3%
7
37.7%
Q1 - 7:34CHAMISS Brezec 15' Turnaround Jump Shot7
61.7%
7
38.3%
Q1 - 7:46CHAEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
60.3%
7
39.7%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
60.9%
7
39.1%
Q1 - 8:04CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)7
62.8%
7
37.2%
Q1 - 8:04CHABOBCATS Rebound7
60.9%
7
39.1%
Q1 - 8:04CHAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot7
62.2%
7
37.8%
Q1 - 8:33MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)7
60.8%
7
39.2%
Q1 - 8:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
59.2%
7
40.8%
Q1 - 8:53CHAMISS Felton 21' Jump Shot5
58.6%
7
41.4%
Q1 - 9:12MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)5
56.8%
7
43.2%
Q1 - 9:28MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
59.2%
7
40.8%
Q1 - 9:29CHAMISS Brezec Free Throw 1 of 15
58.9%
7
41.1%
Q1 - 9:35CHAEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
60.5%
5
39.5%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
61.2%
5
38.8%
Q1 - 9:49MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
62.8%
5
37.2%
Q1 - 9:52CHAMISS Ely 6' Hook Shot5
62.1%
5
37.9%
Q1 - 9:59CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
60.6%
5
39.4%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
61.2%
5
38.8%
Q1 - 10:20CHAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)5
62.6%
5
37.4%
Q1 - 10:31CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS O'Neal Layup5
66.4%
2
33.6%
Q1 - 10:51CHAFelton Layup (2 PTS)5
67.7%
2
32.3%
Q1 - 11:14MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)5
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 11:26MIAHeat Rebound3
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 11:26CHAMISS Knight 21' Jump Shot3
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 11:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
65.9%
0
34.1%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Ely vs. O'Neal: Tip to Kapono0
62.5%
0
37.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
CHA
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
25
64%
CHA
12
23
52%
Midrange
MIA
15
29
52%
CHA
14
38
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
CHA
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
14
20
70%
CHA
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2364%11.5 / 18
U. Haslem1777%8.5 / 11
A. Walker1550%7.5 / 15
G. Payton1146%5.5 / 12
J. Posey744%3.5 / 8
G. Fitch643%3.0 / 7
A. Mourning660%3.0 / 5
J. Kapono536%2.5 / 7
W. Simien1-0.0 / 0
D. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Carroll2083%10.0 / 12
P. Brezec1963%9.5 / 15
R. Felton1544%7.5 / 17
M. Ely1568%7.5 / 11
J. Jones1238%6.0 / 16
J. Voskuhl429%2.0 / 7
B. Knight0-0.0 / 4
K. Burleson0-0.0 / 2
A. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+12
-13
85
CHA
75
+16
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
CHA
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
102.6
MIA 105.8
CHA 98.8 +7.0
Pace
92.2
93.4
MIA 79.4
CHA 93.8 +14.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
14.9
MIA 18.1
CHA 15.3 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
46.4%
MIA 50.7% +5.1%
CHA 45.6%
TO %
15.0%
14.4%
MIA 14.2%
CHA 13.0% +1.2%
ORB %
26.8%
27.2%
MIA 29.7% +7.2%
CHA 22.5%
FTrt
36.3
31.9
MIA 26.3 +6.3
CHA 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
58.0%
MIA 58.3%
CHA 60.6% +2.3%
STL %
6.9%
10.6%
MIA 4.7%
CHA 8.1% +3.4%
BLK %
8.5%
6.9%
MIA 8.2% +4.5%
CHA 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.59 and 3.59.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
49.4%
MIA 53.5% +6.8%
CHA 46.7%
Rim FG%
64.2%
55.0%
MIA 64.0% +11.8%
CHA 52.2%
Mid FG%
38.9%
38.0%
MIA 51.7% +14.9%
CHA 36.8%
3P %
34.5%
33.9%
MIA 22.7%
CHA 36.8% +14.1%
FT %
70.0%
72.9%
MIA 70.0%
CHA 75.0% +5.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
35.4%
MIA 32.9% +4.1%
CHA 28.7%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
46.2%
MIA 38.2% +9.3%
CHA 47.5%
3P Att. %
22.7%
18.4%
MIA 28.9% +5.2%
CHA 23.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes26.022.0
Points9185
Rebounds4235
Assists2120
Steals47
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)9 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)26 (6)
Field Goals36-7633-80
At-the-Rim FG16-2512-23
Midrange FG15-2914-38
2-Point FG31-5426-61
3-Point FG5-227-19
Free Throws14-2012-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
41.8
11
46%
5
8
1
0
3
0
0
5
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
37.1
17
77%
7
3
1
0
1
3
1
6
3-3
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
33.5
23
64%
7
5
0
3
3
3
4
3
5-7
71%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 215 · 25
27.8
5
36%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
25.5
7
44%
6
1
0
0
3
3
0
6
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
26.4
6
43%
8
1
2
1
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
23.3
15
50%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
3-8
38%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
14.2
6
60%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
6.0
1
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
4.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#49 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
54%
42
21
4
5
13
0
11
31
14-20
70%
31-54
57%
5-22
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.