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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic40%9494
27Knicks60%9897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.1
41.2
37.4
10
45%
14
1
1
1
1
2
4
10
4-5
80%
3-9
6-11
33%
52%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.9
40.5
37.7
16
63%
4
6
0
1
0
5
1
3
6-6
100%
2-6
4-10
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.9
39.3
33.3
36
78%
2
5
1
1
0
4
1
1
9-9
100%
9-16
4-9
56%
45%
3-3
100%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
27.7
29.6
6
100%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
4-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.8
25.7
30.1
10
46%
3
0
0
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
45%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.7
25.5
24.2
6
23%
5
1
1
1
0
6
2
3
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
1-7
14%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.4
18.8
20.0
5
46%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.9
13.1
11.5
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-3
33%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.8
8.1
2.1
2
36%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.0
13.2
1
2-4
49%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.5
4.0
0
0-1
39%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.0
3.7
0
0-1
40%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.4
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.8
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.9
39.7
36.6
8
46%
2
7
2
1
0
3
0
2
4-6
67%
2-5
6-12
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24.9
36.7
17.2
11
61%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 23.1
34.2
28.7
27
64%
10
0
1
0
0
5
6
4
11-14
79%
8-15
5-10
53%
55%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.8
24.4
21.8
0
0%
0
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.2
17.7
24.6
6
50%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.7
28.9
21.1
18
47%
7
0
2
0
1
0
5
2
4-9
44%
7-15
4-8
47%
53%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
28.9
39.2
21
61%
3
1
3
1
0
1
0
3
6-7
86%
6-9
4-9
67%
46%
1-5
20%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.2
13.4
12.3
6
46%
8
1
3
0
0
2
3
5
6-8
75%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
10.3
13.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.7
3.8
17.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 20.9
1.9
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.2
7.3
0
1-2
44%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.2
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.6
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.