FinalWin Prob.pScore
343%99
107
557%102
98
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo PHX
110.397100.7
MIA logo MIA
100.09894.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0PHX107
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)107
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Fitch Layup107
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)107
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0PHXMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 2106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0PHXMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem Layup (16 PTS)106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Kapono 8' Jump Shot106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0PHXMISS Barbosa Layup106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16PHXMarion Dunk (18 PTS) (Nash 14 AST)106
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:20PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)104
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Posey Layup104
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 1:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)104
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 1:40PHXMISS Marion 9' Turnaround Jump Shot104
99.1%
94
0.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAPayton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)104
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)104
98.5%
94
1.5%
Q4 - 2:06PHXMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot104
98.8%
94
1.2%
Q4 - 2:29MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)104
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2104
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)104
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Payton 6' Jump Shot104
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 2:45PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)104
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 2:59PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
97.1%
93
2.9%
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
96.6%
93
3.4%
Q4 - 3:15MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)101
95.0%
93
5.0%
Q4 - 3:17PHXMISS Diaw 12' Turnaround Jump Shot101
95.8%
93
4.2%
Q4 - 3:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)101
94.8%
93
5.2%
Q4 - 3:58PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)101
92.9%
93
7.1%
Q4 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)98
86.6%
93
13.4%
Q4 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)98
87.4%
92
12.6%
Q4 - 4:23PHXNash Traveling Turnover (P5.T14)98
90.3%
91
9.7%
Q4 - 4:34MIAO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)98
93.3%
91
6.7%
Q4 - 4:53PHXNash Driving Layup (15 PTS)98
95.2%
89
4.8%
Q4 - 5:16PHXSuns Rebound96
90.7%
89
9.3%
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
89.7%
89
10.3%
Q4 - 5:48PHXMarion 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)96
87.4%
89
12.6%
Q4 - 6:09MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T11)94
80.7%
89
19.3%
Q4 - 6:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)94
74.8%
89
25.2%
Q4 - 6:26PHXMISS Marion 19' Jump Shot94
76.8%
89
23.2%
Q4 - 6:43MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)94
80.9%
89
19.1%
Q4 - 7:06PHXBell 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nash 13 AST)94
85.8%
86
14.2%
Q4 - 7:23MIAWade Dunk (20 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)92
82.7%
86
17.3%
Q4 - 7:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)92
85.9%
84
14.1%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot92
88.3%
84
11.7%
Q4 - 7:35PHXWalker STEAL (1 STL)92
85.9%
84
14.1%
Q4 - 7:38PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
89.3%
84
10.7%
Q4 - 7:40PHXMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
87.1%
84
12.9%
Q4 - 7:46PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
89.3%
84
10.7%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
88.4%
84
11.6%
Q4 - 8:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
83.9%
84
16.1%
Q4 - 8:04PHXMISS Nash 17' Jump Shot92
85.0%
84
15.0%
Q4 - 8:11PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
87.1%
84
12.9%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 292
86.8%
84
13.2%
Q4 - 8:13MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)92
85.2%
84
14.8%
Q4 - 8:13MIAHEAT Rebound92
87.1%
83
12.9%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
89.0%
83
11.0%
Q4 - 8:25MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
87.2%
83
12.8%
Q4 - 8:27PHXMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot92
88.0%
83
12.0%
Q4 - 8:47MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
89.9%
83
10.1%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 292
90.2%
82
9.8%
Q4 - 8:48PHXPosey STEAL (3 STL)92
89.8%
82
10.2%
Q4 - 8:57MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)92
92.0%
82
8.0%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 292
92.4%
81
7.6%
Q4 - 9:22PHXThomas Tip Shot (8 PTS)92
90.5%
81
9.5%
Q4 - 9:23PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
88.4%
81
11.6%
Q4 - 9:24PHXMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)90
86.5%
81
13.5%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMourning Driving Layup (3 PTS)90
88.4%
81
11.6%
Q4 - 10:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
89.1%
79
10.9%
Q4 - 10:05PHXMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
89.8%
79
10.2%
Q4 - 10:20MIAWalker Layup (7 PTS)90
91.3%
79
8.7%
Q4 - 10:29PHXPosey STEAL (2 STL)90
92.9%
77
7.1%
Q4 - 10:43MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)90
94.3%
77
5.7%
Q4 - 11:04PHXBarbosa Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)90
95.6%
74
4.4%
Q4 - 11:08PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q4 - 11:09PHXMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)90
95.9%
74
4.1%
Q4 - 11:29MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)90
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q4 - 11:40PHXPosey STEAL (1 STL)90
97.1%
72
2.9%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)90
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX90
97.1%
72
2.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
97.5%
72
2.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0PHXJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)90
96.5%
72
3.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0PHXJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)89
96.4%
72
3.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0PHXJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)88
96.2%
72
3.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
94.8%
72
5.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot87
94.5%
72
5.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0PHXDiaw 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
93.8%
72
6.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
92.5%
72
7.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0PHXMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot85
91.4%
72
8.6%
Q3 - 1:03MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS)85
91.3%
72
8.7%
Q3 - 1:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
92.7%
70
7.3%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
93.6%
70
6.4%
Q3 - 1:20PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
92.8%
70
7.2%
Q3 - 1:20PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
92.5%
70
7.5%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMourning Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)83
91.4%
70
8.6%
Q3 - 1:41PHXBell Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)83
89.7%
70
10.3%
Q3 - 1:52PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
83.0%
70
17.0%
Q3 - 1:53PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
80.9%
70
19.1%
Q3 - 1:58PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
83.0%
70
17.0%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot79
82.1%
70
17.9%
Q3 - 2:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
78.1%
70
21.9%
Q3 - 2:21PHXMISS Marion 7' Jump Shot79
79.2%
70
20.8%
Q3 - 2:32PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
81.4%
70
18.6%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS O'Neal Layup79
80.5%
70
19.5%
Q3 - 2:51PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)79
78.2%
70
21.8%
Q3 - 3:08MIAHaslem Dunk (14 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)76
70.6%
70
29.4%
Q3 - 3:27PHXWade STEAL (2 STL)76
74.0%
68
26.0%
Q3 - 3:50MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)76
77.5%
68
22.5%
Q3 - 4:03MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
81.5%
65
18.5%
Q3 - 4:05PHXMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot76
82.5%
65
17.5%
Q3 - 4:22PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
84.4%
65
15.6%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot76
83.6%
65
16.4%
Q3 - 4:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)76
81.7%
65
18.3%
Q3 - 4:45PHXMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot76
82.6%
65
17.4%
Q3 - 4:58PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
84.5%
65
15.5%
Q3 - 5:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 276
84.2%
65
15.8%
Q3 - 5:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 276
83.2%
65
16.8%
Q3 - 5:23PHXBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)76
80.7%
65
19.3%
Q3 - 5:37MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)73
75.3%
65
24.7%
Q3 - 5:50PHXThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T7)73
80.8%
62
19.2%
Q3 - 5:53PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
83.4%
62
16.6%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS O'Neal Layup73
82.6%
62
17.4%
Q3 - 6:12MIAHEAT Rebound73
79.5%
62
20.5%
Q3 - 6:13PHXMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot73
80.3%
62
19.7%
Q3 - 6:27MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)73
82.2%
62
17.8%
Q3 - 6:34PHXPayton STEAL (1 STL)73
86.3%
59
13.7%
Q3 - 6:38PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
88.2%
59
11.8%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Payton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot73
87.7%
59
12.3%
Q3 - 6:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
86.3%
59
13.7%
Q3 - 6:58PHXMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot73
86.9%
59
13.1%
Q3 - 7:12MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)73
87.2%
59
12.8%
Q3 - 7:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
90.1%
56
9.9%
Q3 - 7:27PHXMISS Marion 16' Jump Shot73
90.6%
56
9.4%
Q3 - 7:38MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T8)73
91.6%
56
8.4%
Q3 - 7:45MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
90.2%
56
9.8%
Q3 - 7:47PHXO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)73
90.6%
56
9.4%
Q3 - 7:57PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
91.6%
56
8.4%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
91.2%
56
8.8%
Q3 - 8:21PHXBell 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 12 AST)73
89.6%
56
10.4%
Q3 - 8:26PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
86.7%
56
13.3%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot70
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 8:30PHXHaslem STEAL (1 STL)70
84.6%
56
15.4%
Q3 - 8:34MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)70
86.7%
56
13.3%
Q3 - 8:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
84.6%
56
15.4%
Q3 - 8:41PHXMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot70
85.3%
56
14.7%
Q3 - 8:48MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)70
86.7%
56
13.3%
Q3 - 8:51MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
88.1%
54
11.9%
Q3 - 8:53PHXMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot70
88.7%
54
11.3%
Q3 - 9:08MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)70
88.8%
54
11.2%
Q3 - 9:27PHXBell 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)70
90.2%
52
9.8%
Q3 - 9:44MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T6)68
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q3 - 9:47PHXWade STEAL (1 STL)68
87.3%
52
12.7%
Q3 - 10:00PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
87.6%
52
12.4%
Q3 - 10:11MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
86.3%
52
13.7%
Q3 - 10:13PHXMISS Nash Driving Layup68
86.9%
52
13.1%
Q3 - 10:31MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)68
88.1%
52
11.9%
Q3 - 10:37MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
90.7%
49
9.3%
Q3 - 10:39PHXMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
91.1%
49
8.9%
Q3 - 10:43PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
91.9%
49
8.1%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup68
91.6%
49
8.4%
Q3 - 10:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
90.7%
49
9.3%
Q3 - 10:53PHXMISS Diaw 16' Jump Shot68
91.1%
49
8.9%
Q3 - 11:16MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)68
91.2%
49
8.8%
Q3 - 11:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
90.0%
49
10.0%
Q3 - 11:25PHXMISS Nash 5' Turnaround Jump Shot68
90.4%
49
9.6%
Q3 - 11:35MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)68
91.3%
49
8.7%
Q3 - 11:47PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
92.3%
47
7.7%
Q3 - 11:47PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
92.1%
47
7.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA66
91.3%
47
8.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)66
90.1%
47
9.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot66
90.9%
47
9.1%
Q2 - 0:11.0PHXJones 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)66
89.3%
47
10.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)63
86.1%
47
13.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
88.0%
45
12.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
87.8%
45
12.2%
Q2 - 1:01MIAPayton Layup (6 PTS)61
85.1%
45
14.9%
Q2 - 1:14PHXJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
87.4%
43
12.6%
Q2 - 1:14PHXJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
87.1%
43
12.9%
Q2 - 1:14PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
85.1%
43
14.9%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Haslem Layup59
84.9%
43
15.1%
Q2 - 1:28PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
84.3%
43
15.7%
Q2 - 1:28PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
84.1%
43
15.9%
Q2 - 1:33MIAPayton 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
81.6%
43
18.4%
Q2 - 1:59PHXMarion Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)57
84.3%
41
15.7%
Q2 - 2:05PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
81.0%
41
19.0%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot55
80.5%
41
19.5%
Q2 - 2:24PHXThomas 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)55
79.2%
41
20.8%
Q2 - 2:29PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
76.9%
41
23.1%
Q2 - 2:31MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot53
76.3%
41
23.7%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)53
74.8%
41
25.2%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot53
76.3%
41
23.7%
Q2 - 2:50PHXJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)53
74.9%
41
25.1%
Q2 - 2:58PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
69.6%
41
30.4%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Haslem Finger Roll50
68.9%
41
31.1%
Q2 - 3:15PHXNash 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
65.7%
41
34.3%
Q2 - 3:44MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
63.3%
41
36.7%
Q2 - 3:58PHXJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)48
65.8%
39
34.2%
Q2 - 4:12MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
59.4%
39
40.6%
Q2 - 4:12MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
59.9%
38
40.1%
Q2 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
62.2%
37
37.8%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot45
64.0%
37
36.0%
Q2 - 4:37PHXJones 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
62.2%
37
37.8%
Q2 - 4:47PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
59.5%
37
40.5%
Q2 - 4:49PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
57.5%
37
42.5%
Q2 - 5:10PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
59.2%
37
40.8%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot43
58.2%
37
41.8%
Q2 - 5:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
56.2%
37
43.8%
Q2 - 5:28PHXMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot43
57.1%
37
42.9%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)43
59.2%
37
40.8%
Q2 - 5:46PHXBarbosa Layup (7 PTS) (House 2 AST)43
64.3%
34
35.7%
Q2 - 5:55MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
61.9%
34
38.1%
Q2 - 6:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
63.5%
32
36.5%
Q2 - 6:10PHXMISS Diaw 17' Jump Shot41
64.4%
32
35.6%
Q2 - 6:22MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)41
66.5%
32
33.5%
Q2 - 6:34PHXBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
68.5%
30
31.5%
Q2 - 6:34PHXBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
68.0%
30
32.0%
Q2 - 6:42MIAKapono Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)39
66.5%
30
33.5%
Q2 - 6:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
68.5%
28
31.5%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot39
70.4%
28
29.6%
Q2 - 7:06PHXJones 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
67.6%
28
32.4%
Q2 - 7:20PHXSuns Rebound37
65.4%
28
34.6%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
64.6%
28
35.4%
Q2 - 7:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
62.8%
28
37.2%
Q2 - 7:30PHXMISS House 19' Jump Shot37
63.6%
28
36.4%
Q2 - 7:37PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
65.5%
28
34.5%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot37
64.7%
28
35.3%
Q2 - 7:55PHXBarbosa 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)37
62.9%
28
37.1%
Q2 - 8:24MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)34
57.6%
28
42.4%
Q2 - 8:40MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
59.8%
26
40.2%
Q2 - 8:42PHXMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
60.6%
26
39.4%
Q2 - 8:45PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
62.6%
26
37.4%
Q2 - 8:47PHXMISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
60.6%
26
39.4%
Q2 - 9:05MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)34
61.8%
26
38.2%
Q2 - 9:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
63.9%
24
36.1%
Q2 - 9:24PHXMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
64.7%
24
35.3%
Q2 - 9:30PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
66.5%
24
33.5%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Fitch 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
65.7%
24
34.3%
Q2 - 9:44PHXDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q2 - 9:44PHXDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
63.4%
24
36.6%
Q2 - 9:56MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Fitch 1 AST)32
61.9%
24
38.1%
Q2 - 10:08PHXBarbosa Foul Turnover (P1.T3)32
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q2 - 10:12PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
66.1%
22
33.9%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Fitch 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
65.3%
22
34.7%
Q2 - 10:29PHXJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)32
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q2 - 10:34PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
61.5%
22
38.5%
Q2 - 10:36PHXMISS Barbosa 15' Jump Shot30
59.7%
22
40.3%
Q2 - 10:49MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)30
61.5%
22
38.5%
Q2 - 10:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
63.6%
20
36.4%
Q2 - 10:57PHXMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
64.3%
20
35.7%
Q2 - 11:10PHXHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
65.1%
20
34.9%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS Walker 6' Hook Shot30
64.4%
20
35.6%
Q2 - 11:22MIAHEAT Rebound30
62.9%
20
37.1%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot30
64.5%
20
35.5%
Q2 - 11:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
62.9%
20
37.1%
Q2 - 11:44PHXMISS House 18' Jump Shot30
63.6%
20
36.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
65.2%
20
34.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound30
63.0%
20
37.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 34' 3PT Jump Shot30
64.5%
20
35.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0PHXMarion Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)30
62.5%
20
37.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
59.8%
20
40.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 228
59.5%
20
40.5%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)28
57.9%
20
42.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
60.3%
19
39.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0PHXMISS Nash Layup28
60.8%
19
39.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
62.1%
19
37.9%
Q1 - 1:04PHXBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)28
64.6%
17
35.4%
Q1 - 1:26PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
59.7%
17
40.3%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot25
59.2%
17
40.8%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
57.9%
17
42.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Walker 7' Hook Shot25
59.2%
17
40.8%
Q1 - 1:34MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
57.9%
17
42.1%
Q1 - 1:36MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot25
59.2%
17
40.8%
Q1 - 1:50PHXNash Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T2)25
57.9%
17
42.1%
Q1 - 2:03PHXSuns Rebound25
59.8%
17
40.2%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 225
59.5%
17
40.5%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
58.4%
17
41.6%
Q1 - 2:06MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
60.0%
16
40.0%
Q1 - 2:08PHXMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot25
60.6%
16
39.4%
Q1 - 2:23MIAPayton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)25
62.1%
16
37.9%
Q1 - 2:32MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
60.0%
16
40.0%
Q1 - 2:34PHXMISS Diaw Layup25
60.6%
16
39.4%
Q1 - 2:45PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
62.1%
16
37.9%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 225
61.8%
16
38.2%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 225
60.6%
16
39.4%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
60.0%
16
40.0%
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
61.4%
16
38.6%
Q1 - 3:18PHXDiaw Layup (6 PTS)25
58.8%
16
41.2%
Q1 - 3:30MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)23
57.0%
16
43.0%
Q1 - 3:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 3:48PHXMISS Bell 12' Jump Shot23
59.7%
14
40.3%
Q1 - 4:01PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
60.8%
14
39.2%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot23
60.0%
14
40.0%
Q1 - 4:25PHXThomas 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)23
58.2%
14
41.8%
Q1 - 4:42MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
56.5%
14
43.5%
Q1 - 4:59PHXMarion Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)21
58.3%
12
41.7%
Q1 - 5:13PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
55.4%
12
44.6%
Q1 - 5:15MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot19
54.7%
12
45.3%
Q1 - 5:35PHXBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)19
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 5:42PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
49.2%
12
50.8%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot16
48.5%
12
51.5%
Q1 - 6:01PHXDiaw 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
46.4%
12
53.6%
Q1 - 6:16MIAPayton Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
44.5%
12
55.5%
Q1 - 6:42PHXBell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)14
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 6:58MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)12
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 7:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 7:17PHXMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot12
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 7:29MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
44.1%
10
55.9%
Q1 - 7:47PHXNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)12
45.8%
8
54.2%
Q1 - 7:53MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
42.3%
8
57.7%
Q1 - 8:11PHXMarion Layup (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)9
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 8:18PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS O'Neal Layup7
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 8:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 8:52MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 8:54PHXMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot7
37.3%
8
62.7%
Q1 - 9:09MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)7
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Wade Layup7
41.6%
6
58.4%
Q1 - 9:29PHXNash Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 9:37MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
42.3%
6
57.7%
Q1 - 9:44PHXThomas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)7
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 9:53PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
38.7%
6
61.3%
Q1 - 9:55MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot5
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 10:10PHXDiaw Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)5
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 10:21MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)3
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 10:36PHXNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 10:51MIAPayton 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 11:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 11:11PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 11:18PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 11:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 11:30PHXMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Thomas: Tip to Payton0
38.4%
0
61.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.15 57.5%
MIA
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
9
17
53%
MIA
19
32
59%
Midrange
PHX
15
41
37%
MIA
15
37
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
13
19.5
24
54%
81%
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
PHX
20
21
95%
MIA
12
22
55%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Bell2285%11.0 / 13
S. Nash2162%10.5 / 17
J. Jones2077%10.0 / 13
S. Marion1956%9.5 / 17
B. Diaw1036%5.0 / 14
K. Thomas850%4.0 / 8
L. Barbosa758%3.5 / 6
E. House0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2557%12.5 / 22
J. Posey1689%8.0 / 9
U. Haslem1650%8.0 / 16
S. O'Neal1558%7.5 / 13
A. Walker1045%5.0 / 11
G. Payton729%3.5 / 12
J. Kapono633%3.0 / 9
A. Mourning330%1.5 / 5
G. Fitch0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
83
+9
-14
92
MIA
84
+18
-14
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.15 57.5%
MIA
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
108.0
PHX 110.3 +10.3
MIA 100.0
Pace
96.0
92.2
PHX 100.7 +6.2
MIA 94.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.9
PHX 14.3 +0.9
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
51.7%
PHX 53.0% +5.2%
MIA 47.8%
TO %
13.1%
15.0%
PHX 13.3%
MIA 12.3% +1.0%
ORB %
22.2%
26.8%
PHX 20.5%
MIA 30.6% +10.1%
FTrt
20.6
36.3
PHX 25.6 +1.2
MIA 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.5%
55.7%
PHX 64.9% +12.4%
MIA 52.5%
STL %
6.9%
6.9%
PHX 4.1%
MIA 8.2% +4.1%
BLK %
7.2%
8.5%
PHX 5.8% +0.6%
MIA 5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.37 and 3.37.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
53.9%
PHX 57.5% +9.5%
MIA 48.0%
Rim FG%
63.2%
64.2%
PHX 52.9%
MIA 59.4% +6.5%
Mid FG%
43.9%
38.9%
PHX 36.6%
MIA 40.5% +3.9%
3P %
39.9%
34.5%
PHX 54.2% +25.6%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
80.6%
70.0%
PHX 95.2% +40.7%
MIA 54.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.5%
39.3%
PHX 20.7%
MIA 35.6% +14.8%
Mid Att. %
44.3%
38.0%
PHX 50.0%
MIA 41.1% +8.9%
3P Att. %
29.3%
22.7%
PHX 29.3% +5.9%
MIA 23.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsPHXMIA
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points10798
Rebounds4350
Assists2421
Steals48
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (0)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)35 (1)
Field Goals37-8240-90
At-the-Rim FG9-1719-32
Midrange FG15-4115-37
2-Point FG24-5834-69
3-Point FG13-246-21
Free Throws20-2112-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 28
41.7
19
56%
12
0
0
0
1
1
4
8
7-8
88%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
39.0
22
85%
4
1
2
1
2
4
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
5-7
71%
F · 6'8" 250 · 24
37.9
10
36%
6
3
1
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-13
31%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 178 · 32
37.7
21
62%
6
14
1
0
5
3
1
5
3-3
100%
3-10
30%
4-6
67%
C · 6'9" 240 · 33
35.2
8
50%
8
2
0
1
2
5
3
5
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25
18.8
20
77%
6
1
0
1
0
3
0
6
5-5
100%
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
G · 6'3" 194 · 23
15.1
7
58%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
8.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23
#32 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · F-C · 6'9" 254 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
57%
43
24
4
4
14
0
9
34
20-21
95%
24-58
41%
13-24
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.