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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Heat49%99110
18Warriors51%10096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
40.4
25.9
32
74%
5
11
2
1
1
4
0
5
6-6
100%
13-18
6-12
72%
50%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
36.9
25.1
6
43%
10
0
0
1
0
0
1
9
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.1
31.3
28.8
11
70%
1
8
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
30.1
25.4
21
53%
10
1
0
0
3
4
2
8
1-11
9%
10-15
7-12
67%
57%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.0
22.1
27.1
2
20%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.5
27.1
28.7
13
72%
7
6
0
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
3-4
75%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
26.8
22.1
19
86%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
5-7
71%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.9
17.8
12.2
4
67%
5
0
0
0
4
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.8
4.5
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
3.0
17.9
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
11.5
0
1-2
45%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.6
5.2
0
1-1
43%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.1
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.4
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.3
41.8
35.0
21
51%
3
4
3
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
6-14
3-7
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.7
35.1
37.6
26
60%
2
6
1
2
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
44%
4-9
44%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.0
34.4
36.5
15
45%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
6-8
75%
3-9
6-12
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.7
32.4
30.4
7
42%
10
3
1
1
0
1
1
9
3-3
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.3
24.7
26.3
6
51%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.4
26.1
30.4
12
43%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-9
2-6
22%
42%
2-4
50%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.6
15.5
8.7
5
34%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-3
33%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.8
12.2
13.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.8
7.3
11.0
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.8
5.4
4.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.2
5.1
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.5
5.9
0
1-1
45%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.