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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks70%99115
26Knicks30%93117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
44.2
35.5
32
58%
7
3
0
1
2
3
2
5
4-4
100%
11-19
7-15
58%
49%
2-7
29%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
41.4
36.6
20
53%
2
5
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
7-13
4-8
54%
51%
2-6
33%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
40.4
30.7
18
69%
9
2
2
1
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
9-13
5-11
69%
49%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
21.6
22.9
6
71%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
2-5
40%
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.5
17.8
20.2
6
61%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
34.2
19.2
15
70%
5
4
2
1
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.2
24.6
24.2
12
62%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
3-6
3-8
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
18.3
18.4
6
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.9
18.0
17.5
0
0%
3
0
0
1
3
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
4.1
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.6
0.4
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
1.7
0
0-0
49%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.9
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.0
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.9
43.3
40.7
28
55%
4
6
0
1
0
3
0
4
10-10
100%
6-16
6-13
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.6
33.1
21.8
8
29%
8
2
2
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-9
2-6
11%
41%
2-5
40%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 23.1
27.3
27.5
21
67%
7
1
0
0
0
3
5
2
5-6
83%
8-13
5-10
62%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.2
21.6
14.7
11
59%
9
0
1
0
0
1
7
2
3-3
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
18.7
18.1
6
75%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
39.8
36.4
25
58%
7
4
0
1
0
4
3
4
9-10
90%
5-14
4-10
36%
44%
2-3
67%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.2
26.6
20.5
6
43%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.7
24.7
24.1
4
69%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.7
23.1
24.5
8
34%
7
0
0
0
0
0
5
2
2-2
100%
3-11
5-9
27%
51%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.2
6.6
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.5
0.1
13.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24.9
11.2
0
1-3
43%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.1
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.5
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.