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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks27%9672
20Wizards73%104103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.1
33.7
24.5
9
42%
5
3
2
1
2
6
3
2
3-4
75%
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.9
32.9
32.4
9
61%
10
0
1
1
0
4
4
6
1-3
33%
4-6
4-9
67%
43%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
27.4
38.0
8
42%
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
2-6
6-12
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
25.1
39.3
10
35%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-1
0%
5-11
7-14
45%
47%
0-3
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.1
20.0
9.0
11
72%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
5-6
83%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.6
34.3
28.0
9
59%
5
0
2
1
0
3
1
4
5-6
83%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.6
30.7
21.0
8
48%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.7
17.5
24.7
6
44%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
8.4
15.3
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.4
7.5
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.4
2.4
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
30.1
36.8
9
33%
4
6
4
2
1
7
1
3
1-4
25%
4-9
6-13
44%
50%
0-3
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
27.0
17.4
15
80%
8
1
0
1
2
1
2
6
3-3
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.0
26.3
9.7
4
52%
9
1
1
0
0
0
4
5
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.8
25.4
36.9
14
54%
3
2
3
2
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
7-12
6-13
58%
48%
0-1
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.7
14.2
6.3
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
49%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
28.6
37.0
13
50%
7
2
3
1
0
3
2
5
1-2
50%
3-10
7-14
30%
49%
2-2
100%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.8
26.9
29.5
10
55%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-7
57%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.5
17.9
7.5
15
80%
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
5-7
1-2
71%
49%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.1
17.6
23.0
10
59%
6
0
0
1
1
2
3
3
2-8
25%
4-5
3-5
80%
56%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.4
16.8
4.5
9
64%
7
0
1
0
2
2
6
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.8
8.8
16.4
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.7
0.5
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.6
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.