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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Jazz39%90110
1176ers61%93102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
43.0
38.7
23
79%
6
4
3
2
4
3
0
6
8-8
100%
6-8
5-10
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
38.1
30.8
25
78%
8
8
2
1
1
3
2
6
7-9
78%
6-10
5-11
60%
48%
2-2
100%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.6
36.1
19.0
16
67%
1
2
0
0
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
47%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.1
17.5
20.1
2
53%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.2
13.9
20.1
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.6
28.4
25.9
14
70%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
7-10
4-9
70%
49%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.9
26.8
16.3
17
89%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
7-8
88%
5-6
2-4
83%
44%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.9
16.8
15.8
6
51%
7
0
1
0
1
0
5
2
0-2
0%
3-5
1-3
60%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
11.9
17.5
1
9%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.5
7.3
24.5
6
75%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
0.1
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
4.2
0
1-1
45%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.1
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.8
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 30.6
43.9
39.9
46
71%
3
9
4
2
0
2
2
1
13-17
76%
15-22
10-21
68%
46%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 24.8
43.1
38.1
9
41%
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-5
20%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
42.2
37.7
9
51%
2
4
1
2
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
56%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.7
41.4
32.1
11
103%
11
1
1
1
2
3
2
9
3-3
100%
4-4
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
38.6
26.7
21
48%
5
1
1
1
0
4
2
3
5-7
71%
8-16
5-12
50%
45%
0-3
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.1
13.3
29.4
2
53%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 22.1
4.8
4.0
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
4.7
12.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
55%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.0
4.1
10.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 25.8
3.5
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 19.2
0.3
2.3
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
2.9
0
0-1
52%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.9
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.