Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 10, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	19	Kings	28%	88	85
	6	Grizzlies	72%	95	99

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAC	98.8	86	95.4
MEM	112.5	88	80.1

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+11

-19

MEM

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.08 53.8%

MEM

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MEM
Q4 - 0:00.0	MEM		85 0%	99 100%
Q4 - 0:18.0	SAC	Williamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	85 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0	SAC	Williamson Tip Shot (6 PTS)	85 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0	SAC	MISS Price Layup	83 0%	99 100%
Q4 - 0:34.0	SAC	Sampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	83 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0	MEM	MISS Roberts 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	83 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	83 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0	SAC	MISS Hart Free Throw 2 of 2	83 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0	SAC	Hart Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	83 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 1:03	MEM	Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)	82 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 1:22	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	82 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 1:24	SAC	MISS Williamson Layup	82 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 1:37	MEM	Warrick Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)	82 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 1:58	SAC	Price Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Sampson 1 AST)	82 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 2:08	MEM	GRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)	80 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 2:32	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	80 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 2:34	SAC	MISS Hart 21' Jump Shot	80 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 2:40	SAC	Hart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	80 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 2:42	MEM	MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	80 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 2:59	MEM	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	80 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 3:02	SAC	MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot	80 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 3:20	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)	80 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 3:38	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)	80 0.4%	93 99.6%
Q4 - 3:38	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)	79 0.3%	93 99.7%
Q4 - 3:43	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	78 0.2%	93 99.8%
Q4 - 3:45	MEM	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	78 0.2%	93 99.8%
Q4 - 4:09	SAC	Hart Foul Turnover (P2.T19)	78 0.2%	93 99.8%
Q4 - 4:15	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)	78 0.2%	93 99.8%
Q4 - 4:16	SAC	Gasol BLOCK (1 BLK)	78 0.2%	93 99.8%
Q4 - 4:32	MEM	Jackson Layup (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)	78 0.2%	93 99.8%
Q4 - 4:36	SAC	Jones STEAL (7 STL)	78 0.3%	91 99.7%
Q4 - 4:57	MEM	Warrick Dunk (16 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)	78 0.5%	91 99.5%
Q4 - 5:13	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	78 1.0%	89 99.0%
Q4 - 5:16	SAC	MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot	78 1.1%	89 98.9%
Q4 - 5:22	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	78 1.4%	89 98.6%
Q4 - 5:24	MEM	MISS Gasol 5' Jump Shot	78 1.3%	89 98.7%
Q4 - 5:42	SAC	Jones STEAL (6 STL)	78 1.0%	89 99.0%
Q4 - 5:49	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	78 1.4%	89 98.6%
Q4 - 5:52	MEM	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	78 1.3%	89 98.7%
Q4 - 6:13	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	78 1.4%	89 98.6%
Q4 - 6:14	SAC	MISS Williamson Layup	78 1.5%	89 98.5%
Q4 - 6:37	MEM	Gasol 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)	78 1.9%	89 98.1%
Q4 - 6:58	SAC	Bibby 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Stojakovic 4 AST)	78 2.4%	87 97.6%
Q4 - 7:12	MEM	Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)	75 1.9%	87 98.1%
Q4 - 7:32	SAC	Jones STEAL (5 STL)	75 3.1%	84 96.9%
Q4 - 7:49	MEM	Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	75 4.2%	84 95.8%
Q4 - 7:50	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	75 6.8%	81 93.2%
Q4 - 7:54	MEM	MISS Gasol 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	75 8.3%	81 91.7%
Q4 - 8:14	SAC	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)	75 7.8%	81 92.2%
Q4 - 8:18	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	72 4.9%	81 95.1%
Q4 - 8:21	MEM	MISS Warrick 12' Turnaround Jump Shot	72 4.5%	81 95.5%
Q4 - 8:40	SAC	Bibby Layup (21 PTS)	72 3.8%	81 96.2%
Q4 - 8:44	MEM	Burks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	70 3.0%	81 97.0%
Q4 - 8:59	MEM	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	70 2.3%	81 97.7%
Q4 - 9:01	SAC	MISS Bibby 8' Running Jump Shot	70 2.9%	81 97.1%
Q4 - 9:14	SAC	Williamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	70 3.4%	81 96.6%
Q4 - 9:16	MEM	MISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot	70 3.2%	81 96.8%
Q4 - 9:35	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	70 2.6%	81 97.4%
Q4 - 9:37	MEM	MISS Warrick 12' Turnaround Jump Shot	70 3.1%	81 96.9%
Q4 - 9:55	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	70 2.6%	81 97.4%
Q4 - 9:58	MEM	MISS Wright 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	70 3.1%	81 96.9%
Q4 - 10:19	SAC	Williamson Layup (4 PTS) (Stojakovic 3 AST)	70 3.0%	81 97.0%
Q4 - 10:27	SAC	Hart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 2.5%	81 97.5%
Q4 - 10:28	MEM	MISS Wright 15' Jump Shot	68 2.3%	81 97.7%
Q4 - 10:51	MEM	Burks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 1.9%	81 98.1%
Q4 - 10:53	SAC	MISS Hart 19' Jump Shot	68 2.1%	81 97.9%
Q4 - 11:17	MEM	Burks 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	68 2.8%	81 97.2%
Q4 - 11:38	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	68 3.4%	79 96.6%
Q4 - 11:40	SAC	MISS Williamson 6' Hook Shot	68 3.7%	79 96.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MEM		68 4.3%	79 95.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0	MEM	Burks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	68 3.8%	79 96.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 17' Jump Shot	68 4.1%	79 95.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0	MEM	Warrick Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)	68 4.7%	79 95.3%
Q3 - 1:00	SAC	Bibby 8' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)	68 5.7%	77 94.3%
Q3 - 1:05	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	66 5.1%	77 94.9%
Q3 - 1:09	SAC	Miller BLOCK (1 BLK)	66 4.5%	77 95.5%
Q3 - 1:25	MEM	Battier Layup (15 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)	66 5.1%	77 94.9%
Q3 - 1:29	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	66 6.1%	75 93.9%
Q3 - 1:32	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	66 7.3%	75 92.7%
Q3 - 1:32	SAC	MISS Thomas Layup	66 6.4%	75 93.6%
Q3 - 1:34	SAC	Warrick BLOCK (1 BLK)	66 6.4%	75 93.6%
Q3 - 1:48	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	66 7.3%	75 92.7%
Q3 - 1:48	MEM	Warrick Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS)	66 7.3%	75 92.7%
Q3 - 1:50	MEM	MISS Gasol Layup	66 9.9%	73 90.1%
Q3 - 1:53	SAC	Thomas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)	66 8.7%	73 91.3%
Q3 - 1:53	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	66 10.5%	73 89.5%
Q3 - 1:53	MEM	MISS Warrick 14' Jump Shot	66 9.9%	73 90.1%
Q3 - 2:15	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	66 9.0%	73 91.0%
Q3 - 2:17	SAC	MISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot	66 9.5%	73 90.5%
Q3 - 2:33	MEM	Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)	66 10.8%	73 89.2%
Q3 - 2:37	SAC	Miller STEAL (2 STL)	66 14.8%	70 85.2%
Q3 - 2:38	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	66 17.5%	70 82.5%
Q3 - 2:40	MEM	MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot	66 16.6%	70 83.4%
Q3 - 2:58	SAC	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	66 14.8%	70 85.2%
Q3 - 2:58	SAC	MISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 2	65 14.4%	70 85.6%
Q3 - 3:13	MEM	Warrick Dunk (10 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)	65 15.4%	70 84.6%
Q3 - 3:33	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	65 17.7%	68 82.3%
Q3 - 3:36	SAC	MISS Miller 20' Jump Shot	65 18.5%	68 81.5%
Q3 - 3:50	MEM	Miller Foul Turnover (P1.T9)	65 20.6%	68 79.4%
Q3 - 4:04	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	65 17.5%	68 82.5%
Q3 - 4:06	SAC	MISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot	65 18.4%	68 81.6%
Q3 - 4:17	MEM	Battier Backcourt Turnover (P2.T8)	65 20.6%	68 79.4%
Q3 - 4:21	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	65 17.5%	68 82.5%
Q3 - 4:24	MEM	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	65 19.6%	68 80.4%
Q3 - 4:44	SAC	Jones STEAL (4 STL)	65 17.5%	68 82.5%
Q3 - 4:57	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	65 20.6%	68 79.4%
Q3 - 4:59	MEM	MISS Battier Layup	65 19.6%	68 80.4%
Q3 - 5:21	SAC	Gasol STEAL (1 STL)	65 17.8%	68 82.2%
Q3 - 5:39	MEM	Gasol Illegal Screen Turnover (P2.T7)	65 20.6%	68 79.4%
Q3 - 5:51	SAC	Stojakovic Layup (16 PTS)	65 17.8%	68 82.2%
Q3 - 5:57	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	63 15.7%	68 84.3%
Q3 - 5:59	MEM	MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot	63 14.9%	68 85.1%
Q3 - 6:20	SAC	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)	63 13.6%	68 86.4%
Q3 - 6:27	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	60 10.4%	68 89.6%
Q3 - 6:30	MEM	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	60 9.9%	68 90.1%
Q3 - 6:45	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	60 8.9%	68 91.1%
Q3 - 6:46	MEM	MISS Gasol 15' Jump Shot	60 9.9%	68 90.1%
Q3 - 7:13	SAC	Miller Layup (4 PTS)	60 9.1%	68 90.9%
Q3 - 7:30	MEM	Battier Dunk (13 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)	58 8.1%	68 91.9%
Q3 - 7:48	SAC	Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)	58 9.1%	66 90.9%
Q3 - 8:08	MEM	Gasol Dunk (22 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)	56 8.3%	66 91.7%
Q3 - 8:25	SAC	Battier STEAL (1 STL)	56 9.3%	64 90.7%
Q3 - 8:47	MEM	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)	56 10.9%	64 89.1%
Q3 - 8:59	SAC	Thomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	56 13.9%	61 86.1%
Q3 - 9:22	MEM	Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	56 15.9%	61 84.1%
Q3 - 9:41	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	56 20.1%	58 79.9%
Q3 - 9:42	SAC	MISS Bibby Layup	56 20.9%	58 79.1%
Q3 - 9:51	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	56 22.7%	58 77.3%
Q3 - 9:55	MEM	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	56 21.9%	58 78.1%
Q3 - 10:04	SAC	Bibby Foul Turnover (P3.T9)	56 19.8%	58 80.2%
Q3 - 10:26	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	56 22.4%	58 77.6%
Q3 - 10:26	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	56 23.0%	57 77.0%
Q3 - 10:42	SAC	Thomas Reverse Layup (16 PTS)	56 22.2%	57 77.8%
Q3 - 11:07	MEM	Gasol 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)	54 19.7%	57 80.3%
Q3 - 11:28	SAC	Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)	54 22.0%	55 78.0%
Q3 - 11:43	MEM	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	51 17.7%	55 82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC		51 22.0%	52 78.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	51 24.6%	52 75.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	MISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot	51 22.7%	52 77.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0	MEM	Burks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	51 24.1%	52 75.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	51 22.4%	52 77.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	50 22.0%	52 78.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0	MEM	Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	49 19.6%	52 80.4%
Q2 - 1:06	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	49 25.1%	49 74.9%
Q2 - 1:08	SAC	MISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 1	49 25.3%	49 74.7%
Q2 - 1:19	MEM	Miller Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)	47 21.7%	49 78.3%
Q2 - 1:22	SAC	Miller STEAL (1 STL)	47 27.6%	46 72.4%
Q2 - 1:34	MEM	Miller 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)	47 29.0%	46 71.0%
Q2 - 1:50	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	47 33.1%	44 66.9%
Q2 - 1:50	SAC	MISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2	46 32.6%	44 67.4%
Q2 - 1:58	MEM	Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	46 31.7%	44 68.3%
Q2 - 2:02	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	46 29.4%	44 70.6%
Q2 - 2:03	SAC	MISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot	46 30.1%	44 69.9%
Q2 - 2:08	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	46 31.9%	44 68.1%
Q2 - 2:10	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 1	46 31.6%	44 68.4%
Q2 - 2:26	SAC	Miller Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)	46 34.9%	42 65.1%
Q2 - 2:44	MEM	Battier Driving Dunk (11 PTS)	46 37.5%	42 62.5%
Q2 - 2:59	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	46 40.9%	40 59.1%
Q2 - 3:02	SAC	MISS Thomas 5' Turnaround Jump Shot	46 40.2%	40 59.8%
Q2 - 3:21	MEM	Battier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	46 42.5%	40 57.5%
Q2 - 3:32	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	46 48.2%	37 51.8%
Q2 - 3:34	SAC	MISS Thomas 13' Jump Shot	46 49.2%	37 50.8%
Q2 - 3:57	MEM	Warrick Dunk (8 PTS)	46 51.6%	37 48.4%
Q2 - 4:12	SAC	Miller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	46 52.7%	35 47.3%
Q2 - 4:33	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	46 55.6%	35 44.4%
Q2 - 4:33	MEM	Warrick Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)	46 55.6%	35 44.4%
Q2 - 4:35	MEM	MISS Jackson Layup	46 60.3%	33 39.7%
Q2 - 4:39	SAC	Jackson STEAL (1 STL)	46 58.4%	33 41.6%
Q2 - 4:57	MEM	Gasol Dunk (15 PTS) (Warrick 2 AST)	46 61.2%	33 38.8%
Q2 - 5:14	SAC	Martin 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)	46 62.7%	31 37.3%
Q2 - 5:31	MEM	Battier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	43 57.5%	31 42.5%
Q2 - 6:00	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	43 54.6%	31 45.4%
Q2 - 6:02	SAC	MISS Skinner 5' Jump Shot	43 54.2%	31 45.8%
Q2 - 6:13	MEM	Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	43 56.5%	31 43.5%
Q2 - 6:33	SAC	Hart 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	43 61.4%	28 38.6%
Q2 - 6:43	MEM	Gasol Dunk (13 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)	41 59.3%	28 40.7%
Q2 - 7:06	SAC	Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)	41 59.8%	26 40.2%
Q2 - 7:20	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	38 54.9%	26 45.1%
Q2 - 7:20	MEM	Miller Layup (4 PTS)	38 54.9%	26 45.1%
Q2 - 7:22	MEM	MISS Jackson Layup	38 59.2%	24 40.8%
Q2 - 7:28	SAC	Wright STEAL (1 STL)	38 57.3%	24 42.7%
Q2 - 7:35	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	38 60.1%	24 39.9%
Q2 - 7:39	MEM	MISS Warrick Layup	38 59.3%	24 40.7%
Q2 - 8:00	SAC	Skinner Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)	38 57.4%	24 42.6%
Q2 - 8:04	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	36 54.3%	24 45.7%
Q2 - 8:07	MEM	MISS Miller 8' Jump Shot	36 53.4%	24 46.6%
Q2 - 8:20	SAC	Williamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	36 51.3%	24 48.7%
Q2 - 8:20	SAC	Williamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	35 50.8%	24 49.2%
Q2 - 8:37	MEM	Warrick Layup (4 PTS)	34 49.1%	24 50.9%
Q2 - 8:40	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	34 51.3%	22 48.7%
Q2 - 8:41	MEM	MISS Warrick Layup	34 53.4%	22 46.6%
Q2 - 8:54	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	34 51.4%	22 48.6%
Q2 - 8:56	SAC	MISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot	34 52.2%	22 47.8%
Q2 - 9:03	SAC	Hart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	34 53.0%	22 47.0%
Q2 - 9:06	MEM	MISS Warrick 6' Jump Shot	34 52.1%	22 47.9%
Q2 - 9:34	SAC	Bibby 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	34 50.3%	22 49.7%
Q2 - 9:57	MEM	Warrick 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	32 48.1%	22 51.9%
Q2 - 10:21	SAC	Bibby Layup (12 PTS)	32 49.9%	20 50.1%
Q2 - 10:25	SAC	Kings Rebound	30 47.7%	20 52.3%
Q2 - 10:25	SAC	Jones BLOCK (1 BLK)	30 45.8%	20 54.2%
Q2 - 10:30	MEM	Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	30 47.7%	20 52.3%
Q2 - 10:45	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	30 44.9%	20 55.1%
Q2 - 10:47	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot	30 45.8%	20 54.2%
Q2 - 10:57	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	30 47.7%	20 52.3%
Q2 - 10:59	SAC	MISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot	30 45.8%	20 54.2%
Q2 - 11:08	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	30 46.3%	20 53.7%
Q2 - 11:09	MEM	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	30 45.6%	20 54.4%
Q2 - 11:22	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 44.0%	20 56.0%
Q2 - 11:23	SAC	MISS Thomas 7' Jump Shot	30 44.7%	20 55.3%
Q2 - 11:41	MEM	Miller 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)	30 46.4%	20 53.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM		30 48.9%	18 51.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	30 48.3%	18 51.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0	SAC	MISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2	29 47.9%	18 52.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0	MEM	Jackson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	29 47.7%	18 52.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0	SAC	Bibby Layup (9 PTS)	29 50.7%	16 49.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	27 47.8%	16 52.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0	MEM	MISS Burks 22' Jump Shot	27 47.2%	16 52.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0	SAC	Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)	27 45.9%	16 54.1%
Q1 - 1:02	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	25 42.9%	16 57.1%
Q1 - 1:04	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot	25 41.6%	16 58.4%
Q1 - 1:19	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	25 42.9%	16 57.1%
Q1 - 1:22	MEM	MISS Burks 20' Jump Shot	25 42.4%	16 57.6%
Q1 - 1:39	SAC	Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	25 41.1%	16 58.9%
Q1 - 1:39	SAC	Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	24 40.6%	16 59.4%
Q1 - 1:51	MEM	Gasol 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)	23 38.3%	16 61.7%
Q1 - 2:14	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 40.7%	14 59.3%
Q1 - 2:15	SAC	MISS Miller 18' Jump Shot	23 41.4%	14 58.6%
Q1 - 2:38	MEM	Gasol Layup (9 PTS)	23 42.9%	14 57.1%
Q1 - 2:59	SAC	Stojakovic Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)	23 45.4%	12 54.6%
Q1 - 3:04	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	21 41.9%	12 58.1%
Q1 - 3:06	MEM	MISS Miller 22' Jump Shot	21 41.1%	12 58.9%
Q1 - 3:28	SAC	Thomas Layup (12 PTS)	21 39.5%	12 60.5%
Q1 - 3:29	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	19 37.6%	12 62.4%
Q1 - 3:31	SAC	MISS Stojakovic Layup	19 36.0%	12 64.0%
Q1 - 3:53	MEM	Gasol Reverse Dunk (7 PTS) (Burks 1 AST)	19 37.7%	12 62.3%
Q1 - 4:00	SAC	Jones STEAL (3 STL)	19 39.6%	10 60.4%
Q1 - 4:08	MEM	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	19 41.2%	10 58.8%
Q1 - 4:29	SAC	Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	19 38.6%	10 61.4%
Q1 - 4:29	SAC	Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	18 38.5%	10 61.5%
Q1 - 4:45	MEM	Gasol Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	17 37.0%	10 63.0%
Q1 - 5:03	SAC	Bibby Layup (7 PTS)	17 37.3%	8 62.7%
Q1 - 5:12	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	15 35.6%	8 64.4%
Q1 - 5:13	SAC	Battier BLOCK (1 BLK)	15 34.2%	8 65.8%
Q1 - 5:20	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 35.6%	8 64.4%
Q1 - 5:22	MEM	MISS Jackson Reverse Layup	15 35.0%	8 65.0%
Q1 - 5:33	SAC	Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	15 33.6%	8 66.4%
Q1 - 5:33	SAC	Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	14 33.2%	8 66.8%
Q1 - 5:45	MEM	Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	13 31.9%	8 68.1%
Q1 - 5:48	SAC	Jones STEAL (2 STL)	13 29.9%	8 70.1%
Q1 - 5:52	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	13 32.0%	8 68.0%
Q1 - 5:54	MEM	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	13 31.3%	8 68.7%
Q1 - 6:02	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 29.4%	8 70.6%
Q1 - 6:04	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	13 29.9%	8 70.1%
Q1 - 6:31	MEM	Gasol Layup (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	13 31.2%	8 68.8%
Q1 - 6:44	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 32.9%	6 67.1%
Q1 - 6:46	SAC	MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot	13 33.5%	6 66.5%
Q1 - 6:49	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	13 34.8%	6 65.2%
Q1 - 6:50	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	13 33.5%	6 66.5%
Q1 - 7:13	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	13 33.6%	6 66.4%
Q1 - 7:13	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	13 34.0%	5 66.0%
Q1 - 7:19	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	13 33.5%	5 66.5%
Q1 - 7:20	MEM	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	13 34.8%	5 65.2%
Q1 - 7:43	SAC	Thomas Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	13 33.5%	5 66.5%
Q1 - 7:48	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	11 32.0%	5 68.0%
Q1 - 7:50	MEM	MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot	11 31.5%	5 68.5%
Q1 - 8:10	SAC	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)	11 29.9%	5 70.1%
Q1 - 8:20	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	8 27.0%	5 73.0%
Q1 - 8:23	MEM	MISS Jones 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	8 26.5%	5 73.5%
Q1 - 8:33	MEM	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 25.4%	5 74.6%
Q1 - 8:35	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 13' Jump Shot	8 25.9%	5 74.1%
Q1 - 8:55	MEM	Battier Layup (3 PTS)	8 27.0%	5 73.0%
Q1 - 9:02	SAC	Jones STEAL (1 STL)	8 28.0%	3 72.0%
Q1 - 9:06	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 30.1%	3 69.9%
Q1 - 9:08	MEM	MISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot	8 29.4%	3 70.6%
Q1 - 9:33	SAC	Thomas Layup (6 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	8 28.1%	3 71.9%
Q1 - 9:49	MEM	Battier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	6 27.0%	3 73.0%
Q1 - 9:49	MEM	MISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 2	6 27.3%	2 72.7%
Q1 - 9:49	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 26.6%	2 73.4%
Q1 - 9:51	MEM	MISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot	6 27.9%	2 72.1%
Q1 - 10:15	SAC	Bibby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	6 26.5%	2 73.5%
Q1 - 10:23	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 25.3%	2 74.7%
Q1 - 10:25	MEM	MISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot	4 24.8%	2 75.2%
Q1 - 10:41	SAC	Thomas 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	4 23.7%	2 76.3%
Q1 - 10:49	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 22.5%	2 77.5%
Q1 - 10:53	MEM	MISS Gasol 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	2 22.1%	2 77.9%
Q1 - 11:07	MEM	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 21.2%	2 78.8%
Q1 - 11:09	SAC	MISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot	2 21.5%	2 78.5%
Q1 - 11:23	MEM	Jackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)	2 22.3%	2 77.7%
Q1 - 11:45	SAC	Thomas 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	2 23.7%	0 76.3%
Q1 - 12:00	MEM	Jump Ball Gasol vs. Miller: Tip to Stojakovic	0 22.3%	0 77.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.08 53.8%

MEM

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

59%

MEM

74%

Midrange

SAC

35%

MEM

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

10.5

39%

58%

MEM

15.0

43%

65%

Free Throws

SAC

76%

MEM

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bibby	26	54%	13.0 / 24
P. Stojakovic	19	56%	9.5 / 17
K. Thomas	16	62%	8.0 / 13
K. Martin	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Williamson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Miller	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Hart	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. Skinner	2	50%	1.0 / 2
R. Price	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Gasol	27	68%	13.5 / 20
M. Miller	21	66%	10.5 / 16
H. Warrick	16	57%	8.0 / 14
S. Battier	15	75%	7.5 / 10
B. Jackson	15	50%	7.5 / 15
E. Jones	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Burks	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Wright	0	-	0.0 / 2
L. Roberts	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+11

-19

MEM

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.08 53.8%

MEM

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	106.2 105.9	SAC 98.8 +13.7 MEM 112.5
Pace	92.4 86.4	SAC 95.4 +15.3 MEM 80.1
Avg. Poss. Time	15.3 17.3	SAC 15.1 +2.9 MEM 18.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.2% 49.6%	SAC 50.7% MEM 58.0% +7.3%
TO %	15.0% 14.8%	SAC 19.7% MEM 12.4% +7.3%
ORB %	25.4% 25.8%	SAC 25.0% MEM 25.6% +0.6%
FTrt	33.4 33.9	SAC 30.9 +19.8 MEM 11.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	61.8% 57.8%	SAC 58.1% MEM 64.3% +6.2%
STL %	8.0% 8.4%	SAC 5.8% MEM 14.8% +9.0%
BLK %	5.5% 8.9%	SAC 10.3% +0.3% MEM 10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.9% 51.9%	SAC 53.8% MEM 56.3% +2.5%
Rim FG%	60.4% 57.0%	SAC 59.3% MEM 74.2% +14.9%
Mid FG%	40.0% 37.2%	SAC 34.8% +1.5% MEM 33.3%
3P %	35.1% 37.4%	SAC 38.9% MEM 43.5% +4.6%
FT %	78.4% 71.1%	SAC 76.2% +20.6% MEM 55.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.1% 38.4%	SAC 39.7% +1.4% MEM 38.3%
Mid Att. %	46.3% 35.9%	SAC 33.8% MEM 33.3% +0.5%
3P Att. %	21.7% 25.8%	SAC 26.5% MEM 28.4% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	MEM
Possessions	86	88
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	85	99
Rebounds	38	37
Assists	18	27
Steals	5	13
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (0)	27 (1)
Field Goals	31-68	42-81
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	23-31
Midrange FG	8-23	9-27
2-Point FG	24-50	32-58
3-Point FG	7-18	10-23
Free Throws	16-21	5-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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19 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 29	43.5	19	56%	5	4	1	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 28	43.3	26	54%	4	8	1	0	6	2	0	4	6-8	75%	7-12	58%	2-8	25%
Kenny Thomas F · 6'7" 245 · 28	34.3	16	62%	10	2	2	0	3	2	5	5	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 23	32.2	6	100%	7	2	0	1	2	2	3	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 30	31.3	5	36%	4	1	0	0	3	3	0	4	1-3	33%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 28	20.9	3	38%	3	0	0	0	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30	14.5	2	50%	2	0	0	5	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 32	13.7	6	60%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamal Sampson F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	2.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 23	2.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 29
Bonzi Wells #42 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	54%	38	18	5	6	19	0	9	29	16-21	76%	24-50	48%	7-18	39%

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19 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 29	43.5	19	56%	5	4	1	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 28	43.3	26	54%	4	8	1	0	6	2	0	4	6-8	75%	7-12	58%	2-8	25%
Kenny Thomas F · 6'7" 245 · 28	34.3	16	62%	10	2	2	0	3	2	5	5	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 23	32.2	6	100%	7	2	0	1	2	2	3	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 30	31.3	5	36%	4	1	0	0	3	3	0	4	1-3	33%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 28	20.9	3	38%	3	0	0	0	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30	14.5	2	50%	2	0	0	5	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 32	13.7	6	60%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamal Sampson F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	2.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 23	2.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 29
Bonzi Wells #42 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	54%	38	18	5	6	19	0	9	29	16-21	76%	24-50	48%	7-18	39%

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6 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 26	41.3	27	68%	5	4	1	1	2	1	2	3	3-6	50%	12-18	67%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 27	35.0	15	75%	5	3	1	1	2	0	1	4	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 33	33.9	15	50%	2	3	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-8	38%
Eddie Jones G · 6'6" 200 · 34	25.3	3	50%	2	4	7	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 30	10.1	0	0%	3	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26	41.0	21	66%	10	10	2	1	1	2	1	9	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	4-9	44%
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 24	28.3	16	57%	8	2	0	1	1	4	3	5	0-0	-	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Antonio Burks G · 6'0" 195 · 26	18.2	2	33%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25	5.1	0	0%	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lawrence Roberts F · 6'9" 240 · 23	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Anthony Roberson G · 6'2" 180 · 23	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brian Cardinal F · 6'8" 240 · 29
Jake Tsakalidis #12 · C · 7'2" 290 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Damon Stoudamire #20 · G · 5'10" 171 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	56%	37	27	13	5	11	0	10	27	5-9	56%	32-58	55%	10-23	43%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE