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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 10, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Celtics49%9898
29Hawks51%9994
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.3
42.6
39.5
21
47%
8
4
2
1
0
1
0
8
3-3
100%
6-16
6-13
38%
49%
2-5
40%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
40.2
37.1
27
67%
4
6
2
1
0
6
1
3
4-7
57%
7-10
6-12
70%
50%
3-7
43%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.5
38.1
28.6
15
68%
8
7
2
1
0
0
1
7
5-7
71%
5-6
3-5
83%
54%
0-2
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.6
8.3
22.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.0
6.4
18.4
4
67%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.1
33.6
27.3
15
64%
6
0
0
1
1
3
2
4
3-4
75%
6-10
5-10
60%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
28.4
2.6
4
50%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.0
15.5
20.4
4
69%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.2
15.3
15.7
6
56%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-3
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.1
6.2
13.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.9
5.2
12.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
0.3
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.3
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
43.0
37.4
16
55%
4
4
0
1
0
4
1
3
6-6
100%
5-11
7-14
45%
49%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.9
40.4
26.0
18
54%
9
1
2
1
0
5
6
3
6-8
75%
6-13
3-7
46%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
38.0
39.0
15
40%
5
7
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
5-14
6-12
36%
49%
1-4
25%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.1
19.5
29.1
10
63%
4
0
3
1
3
1
2
2
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.1
8.4
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.6
29.6
27.1
13
65%
5
2
0
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
52%
1-2
50%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.7
22.9
26.7
12
61%
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.6
21.4
20.6
7
54%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.2
15.1
15.4
3
38%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.4
1.6
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.3
3.5
0
0-1
50%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.4
2.0
0
0-0
50%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.