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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 9, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Raptors30%94104
19Bulls70%101113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
48.0
29.4
22
70%
5
4
1
1
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
45%
4-5
80%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.8
41.9
36.9
26
65%
5
5
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
12-18
7-15
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.5
41.3
36.2
14
39%
1
13
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
7-14
5-11
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.6
13.6
19.6
9
60%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
2-3
67%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.4
3.9
11.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.9
34.4
20.7
24
72%
4
3
0
0
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
5-8
2-6
63%
44%
3-6
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.8
29.3
26.3
7
39%
9
4
2
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.4
10.6
23.5
2
25%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.3
9.9
3.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
6.7
24.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 34.8
0.4
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
37%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.5
5.6
0
0-1
42%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.6
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.4
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.0
40.2
34.4
25
70%
5
11
0
1
0
6
0
5
8-9
89%
4-10
4-8
40%
46%
3-4
75%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
37.3
31.4
21
84%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
7-8
88%
4-6
5-10
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
31.5
28.5
19
64%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.2
28.3
15.6
14
56%
9
2
0
0
1
0
3
6
8-10
80%
3-8
3-6
38%
53%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
14.6
23.6
6
61%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.1
33.4
22.5
18
82%
9
4
1
0
3
2
2
7
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
47%
2-3
67%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.4
19.8
30.2
3
50%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.9
15.8
25.6
7
54%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.3
14.2
16.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.2
4.5
6.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Randy Holcomb
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.4
0.4
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
4.7
0
1-2
47%
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.3
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.