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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 9, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks60%97104
15Celtics40%94102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
41.1
35.0
30
78%
2
3
4
1
0
2
1
1
5-5
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
50%
7-13
54%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
32.8
37.5
26
62%
7
3
1
1
0
1
1
6
7-11
64%
8-14
8-16
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.5
25.1
17.7
2
33%
6
5
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
24.6
34.5
7
34%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-5
100%
1-7
6-12
14%
49%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
21.1
24.1
1
18%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-4
25%
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.2
28.0
22.4
20
66%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-5
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
23.6
15.7
12
51%
6
1
0
0
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
0-6
2-4
0%
48%
3-4
75%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.9
22.3
15.0
3
80%
7
0
1
0
5
0
3
4
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
19.2
19.4
3
20%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-6
50%
0-4
3-6
0%
50%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
1.2
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
0.9
1.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.0
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.3
39.7
40.0
17
59%
4
8
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
6-11
6-13
55%
48%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
36.6
37.6
32
75%
8
4
2
1
0
2
1
7
12-12
100%
7-11
6-12
64%
49%
2-5
40%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.6
25.6
20.1
4
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.5
23.3
31.7
8
57%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.0
15.7
19.7
3
19%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-7
3-6
14%
53%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.1
31.5
24.8
12
42%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
2-5
40%
5-12
4-8
42%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.0
24.4
17.0
12
56%
6
3
0
1
1
0
4
2
4-6
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.2
17.8
14.3
8
65%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
4-5
80%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.1
15.6
12.0
6
34%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.9
9.3
13.8
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
0.4
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
0.1
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.3
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.