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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 9, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz42%9397
17Wizards58%9689
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
41.1
38.1
17
76%
7
4
4
2
1
6
1
6
5-5
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
49%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
32.1
30.6
19
50%
13
3
0
1
0
3
3
10
2-2
100%
7-17
5-10
41%
48%
1-1
100%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.1
24.0
17.6
4
29%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
48%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.6
19.3
19.0
8
80%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
47%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.2
18.1
21.7
9
46%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
1-5
20%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.6
30.9
23.3
12
49%
6
2
0
1
1
1
2
4
2-3
67%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.5
29.9
21.6
10
73%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.8
15.8
15.9
2
26%
5
4
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-2
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.9
15.2
17.5
9
67%
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
13.4
20.3
7
74%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-2
2-5
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
7.9
0
1-2
47%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
5.7
0
1-2
44%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.8
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.8
39.4
36.3
16
47%
3
4
0
2
0
4
1
2
8-9
89%
4-12
6-13
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
39.3
36.4
30
71%
8
2
1
1
0
1
3
5
4-5
80%
10-16
6-13
63%
47%
2-3
67%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
33.2
39.9
14
40%
4
7
4
2
0
5
1
3
1-1
100%
5-13
6-13
38%
48%
1-4
25%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
25.3
11.0
4
72%
5
0
3
0
1
3
1
4
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.1
21.9
23.8
2
25%
2
0
0
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
55%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.8
32.7
28.3
15
64%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
5-9
2-5
56%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.8
15.3
17.0
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.5
12.6
3.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.0
7.7
10.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.4
6.6
3.0
2
50%
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.7
5.9
6.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.7
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.6
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.