FinalWin Prob.pScore
1345%92
92
1455%94
90
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
102.29092.0
HOU logo HOU
98.99189.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU92
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)92
95.4%
90
4.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
62.4%
90
37.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)90
67.6%
89
32.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENBoykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)90
73.2%
88
26.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
40.5%
88
59.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0DENMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot87
29.2%
88
70.8%
Q4 - 1:17HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)87
40.5%
88
59.5%
Q4 - 1:32DENHead STEAL (3 STL)87
27.9%
88
72.1%
Q4 - 1:34DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
41.3%
88
58.7%
Q4 - 1:36DENMISS Miller 13' Jump Bank Shot87
32.0%
88
68.0%
Q4 - 1:58HOUSwift Dunk (15 PTS) (Wesley 5 AST)87
41.3%
88
58.7%
Q4 - 2:20DENNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)87
50.4%
86
49.6%
Q4 - 2:20DENNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)86
47.8%
86
52.2%
Q4 - 2:20DENNuggets Rebound85
44.1%
86
55.9%
Q4 - 2:21DENMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot85
32.9%
86
67.1%
Q4 - 2:46HOUSwift Layup (13 PTS) (Head 5 AST)85
44.5%
86
55.5%
Q4 - 2:58HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)85
49.9%
84
50.1%
Q4 - 3:00DENMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
54.4%
84
45.6%
Q4 - 3:22HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
64.8%
84
35.2%
Q4 - 3:22HOUMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 285
67.2%
83
32.8%
Q4 - 3:44DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)85
59.9%
83
40.1%
Q4 - 4:02HOUAlston Layup (24 PTS) (Head 4 AST)82
41.9%
83
58.1%
Q4 - 4:06DENHead STEAL (2 STL)82
50.7%
81
49.3%
Q4 - 4:24DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
60.6%
81
39.4%
Q4 - 4:25HOUMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot82
57.7%
81
42.3%
Q4 - 4:31HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
50.8%
81
49.2%
Q4 - 4:31HOUMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 182
59.4%
81
40.6%
Q4 - 4:36HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
68.8%
79
31.2%
Q4 - 4:40DENMISS Anthony Alley Oop Layup82
71.4%
79
28.6%
Q4 - 4:55DENWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
76.8%
79
23.2%
Q4 - 4:57HOUMISS Swift 5' Jump Bank Shot82
74.6%
79
25.4%
Q4 - 5:02HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
66.0%
79
34.0%
Q4 - 5:04HOUMISS Swift 5' Jump Shot82
71.2%
79
28.8%
Q4 - 5:15HOUHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
66.1%
79
33.9%
Q4 - 5:17DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
68.4%
79
31.6%
Q4 - 5:29HOUSwift Layup (11 PTS) (Head 3 AST)82
73.5%
79
26.5%
Q4 - 5:42DENMiller 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)82
79.3%
77
20.7%
Q4 - 5:43DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
73.6%
77
26.4%
Q4 - 5:44DENWesley BLOCK (1 BLK)80
68.6%
77
31.4%
Q4 - 5:52DENWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
73.6%
77
26.4%
Q4 - 5:54HOUMISS Wesley 17' Jump Shot80
71.5%
77
28.5%
Q4 - 6:10DENAnthony 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)80
63.6%
77
36.4%
Q4 - 6:20DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
57.5%
77
42.5%
Q4 - 6:22HOUMISS Swift 19' Jump Shot78
54.9%
77
45.1%
Q4 - 6:38DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
48.9%
77
51.1%
Q4 - 6:38DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 277
47.5%
77
52.5%
Q4 - 6:53HOUSwift 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 10 AST)77
50.0%
77
50.0%
Q4 - 7:10DENMiller Layup (9 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)77
55.7%
75
44.3%
Q4 - 7:32DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
49.7%
75
50.3%
Q4 - 7:32HOUMISS Swift Free Throw 2 of 275
48.7%
75
51.3%
Q4 - 7:32HOUSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
44.5%
75
55.5%
Q4 - 7:53DENJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T17)75
48.8%
74
51.2%
Q4 - 8:06HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)75
55.2%
74
44.8%
Q4 - 8:12HOUHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
48.8%
74
51.2%
Q4 - 8:14DENMISS Johnson Dunk75
50.8%
74
49.2%
Q4 - 8:32HOUHead 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)75
55.3%
74
44.7%
Q4 - 8:38HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
67.3%
71
32.7%
Q4 - 8:41DENMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
69.0%
71
31.0%
Q4 - 8:53HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)75
72.8%
71
27.2%
Q4 - 8:53HOUROCKETS Rebound75
67.3%
71
32.7%
Q4 - 8:54HOUMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot75
71.2%
71
28.8%
Q4 - 9:21DENWatson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)75
66.0%
71
34.0%
Q4 - 9:36HOUAlston 8' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)72
54.8%
71
45.2%
Q4 - 10:04HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
59.2%
69
40.8%
Q4 - 10:04DENMISS Miller Layup72
61.0%
69
39.0%
Q4 - 10:09HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)72
65.0%
69
35.0%
Q4 - 10:20DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)72
59.3%
69
40.7%
Q4 - 10:30HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)72
65.1%
69
34.9%
Q4 - 10:30HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
66.2%
68
33.8%
Q4 - 10:46DENWatson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)72
69.7%
67
30.3%
Q4 - 10:56HOUWesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Head 2 AST)69
59.8%
67
40.2%
Q4 - 11:11DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
68.5%
64
31.5%
Q4 - 11:11DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
67.7%
64
32.3%
Q4 - 11:15DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
63.9%
64
36.1%
Q4 - 11:17HOUMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot67
62.3%
64
37.7%
Q4 - 11:26HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
58.6%
64
41.4%
Q4 - 11:28DENMISS Miller Layup67
60.2%
64
39.8%
Q4 - 11:35HOUHead 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)67
64.0%
64
36.0%
Q4 - 11:46HOUROCKETS Rebound67
68.6%
62
31.4%
Q4 - 11:48DENMISS Boykins 3PT Jump Shot67
70.1%
62
29.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU67
73.3%
62
26.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound67
68.6%
62
31.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Head 31' 3PT Jump Shot67
71.9%
62
28.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
67.6%
62
32.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
67.2%
62
32.8%
Q3 - 0:13.0HOUHead 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)65
63.0%
62
37.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)65
67.7%
60
32.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0HOUAlston Running Layup (18 PTS)62
58.1%
60
41.9%
Q3 - 1:00HOUROCKETS Rebound62
63.0%
58
37.0%
Q3 - 1:02DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
63.4%
58
36.6%
Q3 - 1:09DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
66.6%
58
33.4%
Q3 - 1:11HOUMISS Wesley 7' Running Jump Shot62
65.2%
58
34.8%
Q3 - 1:34DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
62.0%
58
38.0%
Q3 - 1:34DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
61.6%
58
38.4%
Q3 - 1:37DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
57.5%
58
42.5%
Q3 - 1:39HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 1:48HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)60
52.5%
58
47.5%
Q3 - 1:50DENMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot60
54.0%
58
46.0%
Q3 - 2:09DENNuggets Rebound60
56.5%
58
43.5%
Q3 - 2:10HOUMISS Swift 19' Jump Shot60
54.9%
58
45.1%
Q3 - 2:31DENAnthony Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
51.5%
58
48.5%
Q3 - 2:45DENWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
47.3%
58
52.7%
Q3 - 2:47DENMISS Boykins 10' Running Jump Shot58
43.8%
58
56.2%
Q3 - 2:53DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
47.3%
58
52.7%
Q3 - 2:55HOUMISS Swift Reverse Dunk58
45.7%
58
54.3%
Q3 - 3:17DENWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)58
42.5%
58
57.5%
Q3 - 3:27HOUSwift 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)55
34.3%
58
65.7%
Q3 - 3:42DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)55
38.2%
56
61.8%
Q3 - 4:00HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Head 1 AST)53
34.3%
56
65.8%
Q3 - 4:12HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)53
42.1%
53
57.9%
Q3 - 4:13DENMISS Elson 12' Jump Shot53
43.6%
53
56.4%
Q3 - 4:38HOUAlston Running Layup (13 PTS)53
47.1%
53
52.9%
Q3 - 4:54HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)53
50.8%
51
49.2%
Q3 - 4:55DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot53
52.3%
51
47.7%
Q3 - 5:12HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)53
55.1%
51
44.9%
Q3 - 5:27HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)53
50.6%
51
49.4%
Q3 - 5:29DENMISS Buckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
52.0%
51
48.0%
Q3 - 5:47HOUAlston 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
55.1%
51
44.9%
Q3 - 6:04DENBoykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)53
58.1%
49
41.9%
Q3 - 6:26DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
50.5%
49
49.5%
Q3 - 6:28HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)50
46.3%
49
53.7%
Q3 - 6:28HOUMISS Mutombo Tip Shot50
49.2%
49
50.8%
Q3 - 6:29HOUMISS Swift 13' Jump Shot50
49.2%
49
50.8%
Q3 - 6:47DENElson 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)50
46.3%
49
53.7%
Q3 - 7:09HOUHead Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)48
42.4%
49
57.6%
Q3 - 7:11DENSwift STEAL (1 STL)48
49.5%
46
50.5%
Q3 - 7:14DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
54.0%
46
46.0%
Q3 - 7:15HOUMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot48
52.6%
46
47.4%
Q3 - 7:32DENHead STEAL (1 STL)48
49.5%
46
50.5%
Q3 - 7:43HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)48
54.0%
46
46.0%
Q3 - 7:59DENMiller 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
49.6%
46
50.4%
Q3 - 8:18HOUWesley Driving Layup (10 PTS)46
46.3%
46
53.7%
Q3 - 8:25HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
49.5%
44
50.5%
Q3 - 8:27DENMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
50.9%
44
49.1%
Q3 - 8:49HOUWesley Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)46
53.8%
44
46.2%
Q3 - 9:07HOUROCKETS Rebound46
56.5%
42
43.5%
Q3 - 9:08DENMISS Anthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot46
57.6%
42
42.4%
Q3 - 9:24HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)46
60.2%
42
39.8%
Q3 - 9:36DENAnthony Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T13)46
56.6%
42
43.4%
Q3 - 9:39HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)46
60.3%
42
39.7%
Q3 - 9:57DENMiller 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
56.6%
42
43.4%
Q3 - 10:13DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
52.9%
42
47.1%
Q3 - 10:13HOUMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 144
52.3%
42
47.7%
Q3 - 10:30DENAnthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q3 - 10:45DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
52.8%
40
47.2%
Q3 - 10:47HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
51.6%
40
48.4%
Q3 - 10:52DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)42
48.9%
40
51.1%
Q3 - 11:03HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)42
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q3 - 11:16DENElson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)42
48.9%
40
51.1%
Q3 - 11:37HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wesley 4 AST)40
45.6%
40
54.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU40
52.3%
37
47.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
52.3%
37
47.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot40
54.2%
37
45.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
52.6%
37
47.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0DENMISS Najera 19' Jump Shot40
53.4%
37
46.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
55.0%
37
45.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
54.3%
37
45.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
52.6%
37
47.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENMutombo BLOCK (2 BLK)40
53.4%
37
46.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
55.0%
37
45.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)40
53.4%
37
46.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
55.0%
37
45.0%
Q2 - 1:00HOUMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
54.3%
37
45.7%
Q2 - 1:14DENBuckner 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)40
52.7%
37
47.3%
Q2 - 1:39HOUAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)37
44.7%
37
55.3%
Q2 - 1:52HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
52.7%
34
47.3%
Q2 - 1:54DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot37
53.2%
34
46.8%
Q2 - 2:12HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)37
54.6%
34
45.4%
Q2 - 2:45DENMiller 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)37
61.0%
31
39.0%
Q2 - 3:00HOUSwift Foul Turnover (P1.T7)35
57.7%
31
42.3%
Q2 - 3:14DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)35
54.0%
31
46.0%
Q2 - 3:36HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)32
48.4%
31
51.6%
Q2 - 3:42HOUROCKETS Rebound32
45.1%
31
54.9%
Q2 - 3:43HOUMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
47.4%
31
52.6%
Q2 - 3:54HOUBaxter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
45.1%
31
54.9%
Q2 - 3:56DENMISS Najera 7' Running Jump Shot32
46.1%
31
53.9%
Q2 - 4:11HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)32
47.9%
31
52.1%
Q2 - 4:37DENNajera Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)32
45.0%
31
55.0%
Q2 - 4:52HOUMcGrady Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
42.2%
31
57.8%
Q2 - 5:14DENNajera 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)30
39.3%
31
60.7%
Q2 - 5:32HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)28
36.9%
31
63.1%
Q2 - 5:47DENWatson Reverse Layup (8 PTS)28
39.4%
29
60.6%
Q2 - 5:56DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q2 - 5:58HOUMISS Baxter 14' Jump Shot26
36.0%
29
64.0%
Q2 - 6:21DENBoykins 16' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)26
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q2 - 6:38HOUHead 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)24
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q2 - 6:55DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)24
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q2 - 6:57DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q2 - 6:59HOUMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot24
38.9%
26
61.1%
Q2 - 7:17HOUBaxter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q2 - 7:17DENMISS Buckner Free Throw 2 of 224
37.6%
26
62.4%
Q2 - 7:17DENBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q2 - 7:32HOUBaxter Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q2 - 7:40HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 7:42DENMISS Boykins Layup23
35.6%
26
64.4%
Q2 - 7:49DENWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q2 - 7:51HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 8:12HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q2 - 8:14DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q2 - 8:20DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q2 - 8:22HOUMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 8:42DENWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)23
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q2 - 8:50DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
30.5%
26
69.5%
Q2 - 8:52HOUMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
29.7%
26
70.3%
Q2 - 9:08DENWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)20
28.4%
26
71.6%
Q2 - 9:25DENNuggets Rebound17
24.6%
26
75.4%
Q2 - 9:26DENMISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot17
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q2 - 9:52HOUHead Layup (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)17
24.6%
26
75.4%
Q2 - 9:56DENAlston STEAL (3 STL)17
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q2 - 10:17HOUBaxter 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)17
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q2 - 10:31DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)17
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q2 - 10:42HOUBaxter Layup (4 PTS)17
33.0%
22
67.0%
Q2 - 10:43HOUBaxter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q2 - 10:45HOUMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot17
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q2 - 10:58HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q2 - 11:00DENMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q2 - 11:15DENNuggets Rebound17
37.2%
20
62.8%
Q2 - 11:15HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
36.6%
20
63.4%
Q2 - 11:32DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
35.0%
20
65.0%
Q2 - 11:32DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 216
34.4%
20
65.6%
Q2 - 11:45DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
35.0%
20
65.0%
Q2 - 11:47HOUMISS Head Layup16
34.3%
20
65.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU16
32.8%
20
67.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
32.8%
20
67.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Alston Layup16
34.2%
20
65.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0DENAnthony Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)16
33.1%
20
66.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUSwift 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)16
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)16
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 1:01DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
39.3%
18
60.7%
Q1 - 1:02HOUMISS McGrady 6' Jump Shot16
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 1:06HOUROCKETS Rebound16
37.5%
18
62.5%
Q1 - 1:07HOUMISS Swift 9' Jump Shot16
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 1:20HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
37.5%
18
62.5%
Q1 - 1:22DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot16
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 1:29DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
39.3%
18
60.7%
Q1 - 1:31HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot16
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 1:50DENWesley STEAL (1 STL)16
37.5%
18
62.5%
Q1 - 1:56DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 1:58HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot16
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 2:12DENNajera Foul Turnover (P1.T5)16
37.5%
18
62.5%
Q1 - 2:16HOUBaxter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
39.6%
18
60.4%
Q1 - 2:16HOUBaxter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 2:30DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)16
42.0%
16
58.0%
Q1 - 2:46HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)14
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 2:59HOUROCKETS Rebound14
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 3:00DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
45.0%
13
55.0%
Q1 - 3:07HOUWesley Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
46.4%
13
53.6%
Q1 - 3:31DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
48.4%
11
51.6%
Q1 - 3:31DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
48.0%
11
52.0%
Q1 - 3:41DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
46.4%
11
53.6%
Q1 - 3:42HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
45.7%
11
54.3%
Q1 - 4:00HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
43.9%
11
56.1%
Q1 - 4:02DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
44.5%
11
55.5%
Q1 - 4:33HOUSwift Layup (2 PTS)12
46.3%
11
53.7%
Q1 - 4:58DENBuckner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)12
48.1%
9
51.9%
Q1 - 5:06DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
43.8%
9
56.2%
Q1 - 5:07HOUMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot9
43.1%
9
56.9%
Q1 - 5:31DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
41.5%
9
58.5%
Q1 - 5:44DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 5:52HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
37.7%
9
62.3%
Q1 - 5:52HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 26
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 5:53HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
37.5%
8
62.5%
Q1 - 5:54HOUMISS Swift Dunk6
39.0%
8
61.0%
Q1 - 6:14DENAlston STEAL (2 STL)6
37.6%
8
62.4%
Q1 - 6:22HOUMutombo Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 6:24HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
37.6%
8
62.4%
Q1 - 6:26HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot6
39.0%
8
61.0%
Q1 - 6:36DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
37.6%
8
62.4%
Q1 - 6:36DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 25
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 6:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 6:41HOUMISS Swift 4' Jump Shot5
37.1%
8
62.9%
Q1 - 6:55DENBuckner Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
35.7%
8
64.3%
Q1 - 7:05DENNuggets Rebound2
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 7:06HOUMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot2
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 7:20HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 7:22DENMISS Buckner Reverse Layup2
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 7:27DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 7:29HOUMISS McGrady 12' Turnaround Jump Shot2
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 7:43HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 7:45DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 7:54DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 7:56DENMISS Buckner 3PT Jump Shot2
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 8:05DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.9%
8
67.1%
Q1 - 8:06HOUMISS McGrady Layup2
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 8:19HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 8:20HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 8:27HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 8:28HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 8:43DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 8:43DENElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 8:43DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 8:45DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot0
28.5%
8
71.5%
Q1 - 9:05HOUMcGrady Layup (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)0
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 9:10DENAlston STEAL (1 STL)0
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 9:18DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 9:19HOUMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 9:32HOUROCKETS Rebound0
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 9:35DENMISS Buckner 18' Jump Shot0
31.4%
6
68.6%
Q1 - 9:56HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)0
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 10:10HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 10:12DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot0
34.8%
4
65.2%
Q1 - 10:19HOUWesley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 10:25DENMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)0
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:47HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 11:04HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 11:06DENMISS Elson 21' Jump Shot0
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 11:31HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 11:47DENElson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. Elson: Tip to Miller0
43.1%
0
56.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.15 57.5%
HOU
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
6
15
40%
HOU
17
26
65%
Midrange
DEN
14
30
47%
HOU
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
HOU
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
DEN
19
23
83%
HOU
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Watson20125%10.0 / 8
C. Anthony1950%9.5 / 19
E. Boykins1757%8.5 / 15
A. Miller1146%5.5 / 12
G. Buckner1050%5.0 / 10
F. Elson650%3.0 / 6
E. Najera660%3.0 / 5
D. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
K. Martin150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Alston2471%12.0 / 17
S. Swift1750%8.5 / 17
L. Head1673%8.0 / 11
D. Wesley1547%7.5 / 16
T. McGrady1139%5.5 / 14
L. Baxter675%3.0 / 4
D. Mutombo125%0.5 / 2
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
J. Barry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
71
+9
-19
80
HOU
77
+14
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.15 57.5%
HOU
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
101.4
DEN 102.2
HOU 98.9 +3.3
Pace
93.9
88.2
DEN 92.0 +3.0
HOU 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.1
DEN 15.6 +0.5
HOU 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
47.1%
DEN 52.1% +2.7%
HOU 49.4%
TO %
15.1%
15.4%
DEN 19.2%
HOU 15.5% +3.7%
ORB %
26.9%
25.5%
DEN 21.2%
HOU 25.0% +3.8%
FTrt
34.7
31.7
DEN 32.9 +12.9
HOU 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
58.3%
DEN 67.7% +1.0%
HOU 66.7%
STL %
8.9%
8.1%
DEN 6.7%
HOU 9.9% +3.2%
BLK %
8.8%
6.6%
DEN 5.2%
HOU 6.7% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
50.3%
DEN 57.5% +8.6%
HOU 48.9%
Rim FG%
59.2%
56.1%
DEN 40.0%
HOU 65.4% +25.4%
Mid FG%
39.7%
39.3%
DEN 46.7% +9.2%
HOU 37.5%
3P %
32.5%
33.2%
DEN 44.0% +12.2%
HOU 31.8%
FT %
74.4%
75.9%
DEN 82.6% +13.8%
HOU 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
32.1%
DEN 21.4%
HOU 32.5% +11.1%
Mid Att. %
45.1%
45.3%
DEN 42.9%
HOU 40.0% +2.9%
3P Att. %
16.1%
22.6%
DEN 35.7% +8.2%
HOU 27.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points9290
Rebounds3736
Assists2124
Steals69
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)26 (5)
Field Goals31-7036-80
At-the-Rim FG6-1517-26
Midrange FG14-3012-32
2-Point FG20-4529-58
3-Point FG11-257-22
Free Throws19-2311-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
40.2
11
46%
7
7
2
0
4
3
2
5
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
39.0
19
50%
9
5
2
1
4
1
2
7
4-5
80%
6-14
43%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 240 · 30
33.9
6
50%
4
1
1
1
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
30.9
10
50%
5
0
1
0
1
3
0
5
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
9.0
1
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 30
31.8
17
57%
0
3
0
0
4
1
0
0
5-5
100%
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
27.0
6
60%
5
2
0
1
1
5
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 27
21.4
20
125%
4
3
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
6-7
86%
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26
6.6
2
25%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 21
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 33
G · 6'7" 220 · 22
#23 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
57%
37
21
6
3
19
0
7
30
19-23
83%
20-45
44%
11-25
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.