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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 8, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Nuggets45%9292
14Rockets55%9490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
40.2
36.5
11
46%
7
7
2
1
0
4
2
5
1-2
50%
5-11
5-11
45%
48%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.6
39.0
36.8
19
49%
9
5
2
1
1
4
2
7
4-5
80%
6-14
8-16
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.9
33.9
26.2
6
51%
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.3
30.9
26.6
10
48%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-3
67%
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
2-6
33%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.0
9.0
26.0
1
57%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
5-9
-
49%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.6
31.8
28.6
17
56%
0
3
0
1
0
4
0
0
5-5
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
2-7
29%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
27.0
27.3
6
61%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.6
21.4
18.6
20
125%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
6-7
86%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.7
6.6
6.6
2
26%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.0
0.2
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.7
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
1.1
0
0-0
43%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.0
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.5
44.2
33.0
24
71%
5
11
3
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
44%
4-6
67%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.2
42.1
34.0
15
44%
1
5
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-2
0%
6-10
2-4
60%
41%
1-6
17%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.1
37.1
25.1
17
48%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
7-16
4-8
44%
47%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.5
25.8
25.3
1
27%
13
0
0
0
2
1
4
9
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
18.6
38.6
11
38%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-11
8-18
45%
47%
0-3
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
33.4
24.2
16
71%
3
5
3
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
4-5
1-3
80%
41%
2-5
40%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 26.9
20.5
3.2
6
77%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.1
12.2
9.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.5
5.9
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-2
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 23.1
0.2
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.9
28.2
1
4-9
46%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
3.9
0
0-1
39%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.5
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.3
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.