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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Grizzlies58%9182
21Bulls42%88111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
34.5
40.1
15
55%
7
4
0
1
2
4
0
7
3-4
75%
6-12
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.3
26.1
37.7
5
36%
6
0
2
1
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.2
25.3
36.1
6
39%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
3-4
75%
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.8
23.8
29.0
5
43%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
18.1
26.6
2
20%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.9
28.1
15.6
18
59%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
7-12
2-4
58%
43%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.9
23.8
25.6
10
63%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
2-3
67%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.5
19.3
4.3
11
65%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
9-10
90%
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.0
18.4
18.9
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
8.6
1.3
4
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.9
7.2
1.5
4
69%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
7.0
3.5
2
114%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.6
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
33.9
30.6
6
43%
6
6
1
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
30.7
27.8
21
80%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
41%
2-3
67%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.0
29.9
37.3
26
92%
0
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
4-5
80%
5-6
4-8
83%
42%
4-6
67%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
23.3
24.4
10
85%
5
1
2
0
0
3
2
3
0-2
0%
5-5
4-8
100%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.2
22.4
12.1
3
26%
3
1
1
0
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.1
26.4
20.6
16
120%
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
6
6-6
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
43%
2-2
100%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.4
21.6
35.1
7
117%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
41%
1-1
100%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.9
21.5
28.4
8
40%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-9
5-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
8.9
5.6
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.2
7.5
6.1
6
60%
0
2
0
0
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
40%
2-3
67%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
7.2
3.3
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-0
-
Randy Holcomb
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.4
6.6
1.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.3
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.