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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bobcats49%9292
26Magic51%93108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
36.0
36.3
12
51%
10
0
4
2
3
3
3
7
4-11
36%
4-7
5-9
57%
51%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.5
30.4
19.4
9
41%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
40%
1-2
50%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.3
28.7
26.8
10
42%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
53%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.2
27.5
34.5
9
37%
4
6
2
2
0
2
2
2
3-3
100%
3-11
5-12
27%
44%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.0
22.4
25.2
5
46%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
33.7
30.1
10
36%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
2-6
33%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.7
28.6
25.8
22
63%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
7-10
70%
3-8
2-6
38%
43%
3-5
60%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.4
13.7
6.4
9
51%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
13.4
1.9
6
80%
2
1
4
0
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
5.6
1.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.3
21.9
1
3-8
45%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
6.7
0
1-1
50%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.2
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.8
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.9
40.4
32.9
18
55%
5
6
2
1
0
5
0
5
10-12
83%
4-11
4-10
36%
46%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.9
40.4
27.7
18
54%
7
6
0
1
0
2
0
7
4-6
67%
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
0-2
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.1
38.9
36.8
19
77%
12
2
1
1
3
4
3
9
3-3
100%
8-11
6-11
73%
52%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.8
35.7
31.0
16
63%
4
5
1
1
0
3
2
2
2-4
50%
7-11
4-9
64%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
30.7
25.3
16
86%
12
2
0
0
2
2
2
10
2-3
67%
7-8
3-7
88%
49%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
18.6
3.2
5
87%
3
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.8
16.5
25.8
6
50%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.9
15.2
6.1
8
58%
0
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.0
3.6
4.6
2
35%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.4
16.2
0
1-2
45%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.8
7.5
0
1-2
51%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.4
4.5
0
0-1
40%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.7
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.3
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.