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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Celtics41%99102
20Wizards59%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.3
44.0
38.9
24
64%
7
8
0
1
0
2
1
6
4-6
67%
10-14
6-13
71%
48%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
36.9
38.6
23
63%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
11-14
79%
3-7
7-13
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.1
25.4
24.7
14
50%
4
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
7-14
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.5
24.9
35.9
17
94%
7
2
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
53%
3-3
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.0
14.2
22.9
6
31%
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
4-6
67%
1-7
4-8
14%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.2
31.5
5.3
5
87%
11
2
1
0
3
4
2
9
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.6
22.3
19.3
4
25%
7
1
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
0-4
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.9
20.5
10.9
2
33%
2
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.0
12.2
22.0
4
50%
1
1
0
1
0
6
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.1
7.9
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
0.3
5.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-1
100%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
10.1
0
1-3
45%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.3
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
45.7
37.3
31
60%
4
7
4
1
0
6
0
4
17-18
94%
7-14
6-13
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.8
38.8
36.0
20
49%
3
3
2
2
0
1
2
1
6-8
75%
4-15
6-13
27%
47%
2-2
100%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.8
38.5
22.7
5
25%
5
6
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
37.2
37.1
24
52%
8
2
0
1
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
11-21
6-13
52%
48%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.1
28.8
20.9
9
51%
12
1
1
0
1
0
6
6
1-4
25%
4-7
3-5
57%
55%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.8
18.7
16.1
5
51%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.4
17.6
21.3
4
52%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.0
7.8
13.4
2
100%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.7
7.0
1.1
3
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
16.1
0
2-4
47%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.7
9.8
0
1-2
47%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.4
4.6
0
1-2
51%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.6
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.