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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat36%9693
4Suns64%101111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.5
38.0
26.7
15
63%
3
3
3
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
31.9
15.7
16
54%
2
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
41%
2-5
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
30.3
29.0
10
43%
11
0
0
1
0
4
3
8
4-4
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
49%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.8
23.0
28.2
8
42%
13
0
0
0
0
2
6
7
4-8
50%
2-6
8-14
33%
55%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.0
18.0
29.3
2
14%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-4
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
30.0
2.7
4
17%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-12
0-0
17%
44%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
25.6
18.4
22
67%
8
1
0
0
0
2
2
6
1-1
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
44%
3-5
60%
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.4
24.1
6.6
5
28%
4
6
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.8
15.8
2.8
9
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
4-7
0-1
57%
45%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.9
3.2
15.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
36.1
2
8-16
48%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.6
3.9
0
0-1
42%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.1
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
42.5
33.1
24
76%
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
46%
4-8
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.7
39.9
38.2
19
55%
16
2
1
2
1
0
1
15
2-3
67%
7-12
6-11
58%
53%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
39.6
35.0
14
43%
7
6
1
1
2
6
1
6
4-10
40%
5-11
5-9
45%
50%
0-1
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 31.9
34.7
34.4
11
80%
3
19
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
5-9
0%
52%
3-4
75%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
22.6
26.3
13
74%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.3
31.6
26.1
16
85%
3
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
3-4
75%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
21.1
22.7
10
42%
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
2-5
40%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
5.7
6.2
4
100%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.8
2.3
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
8.1
0
1-1
44%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.1
7.0
0
1-2
52%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.1
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.