for complete access.
All Games Friday, January 6, 2006
FinalWin Prob.pScore
6
Heat
36%96
93
4
Suns
64%101
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.010096.8
PHX logo PHX
113.398101.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHX
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0PHXBurke 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)93
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot90
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0PHXBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0PHXBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAPayton Layup (15 PTS)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05PHXBurke Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08PHXBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Simien 11' Jump Shot88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21PHXDiaw Traveling Turnover (P6.T13)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MIASimien 10' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57PHXBell 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIABell STEAL (1 STL)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20PHXDiaw Traveling Turnover (P5.T12)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Kapono 13' Jump Shot86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48PHXJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27PHXThomas 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 19 AST)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)86
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 3:51PHXJones 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 18 AST)84
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:59PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:01PHXMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:06PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:16MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:20PHXMISS Diaw 3PT Jump Shot84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:41MIAPayton Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T13)84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:49PHXDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:51PHXSUNS Rebound84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:52PHXMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 5:04PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Simien 16' Jump Shot84
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 5:16MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 5:17PHXMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot84
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 5:36MIASimien 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)84
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 5:51MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot82
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 6:11PHXThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 6:11PHXThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 6:23MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 6:23MIAKapono 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot80
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 6:52PHXDiaw 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nash 17 AST)80
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 7:15MIADiaw STEAL (1 STL)80
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIAHeat Rebound80
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 7:32PHXMISS House 18' Jump Shot80
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 7:51MIASimien 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)80
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 8:10PHXDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)78
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 8:14PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot78
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 8:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 8:34PHXMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot78
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 8:46MIAFitch Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)78
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 8:56PHXDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 8:56PHXMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 278
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 9:07MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Fitch 6 AST)78
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 9:12PHXDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)75
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 9:21PHXMISS Marion Free Throw Technical75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 9:29PHXHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Kapono 10' Jump Shot75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 9:50PHXHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)75
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 9:51PHXHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 9:54MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 10:11PHXMarion 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)75
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 10:24MIAAnderson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fitch 5 AST)75
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 10:52PHXJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)73
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 11:10MIAFitch 12' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 11:34PHXBell Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)71
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 11:47PHXHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 11:49MIAMISS Fitch 22' Jump Shot71
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX71
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAPayton Layup (13 PTS)71
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)69
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Fitch 4 AST)69
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0PHXMISS Nash 21' Jump Shot66
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)66
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot66
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 1:12PHXMISS House 9' Jump Shot66
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 1:30MIAWalker 9' Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 1:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:43PHXMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:49PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:50PHXMISS House 22' Jump Shot64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 2:10PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Fitch 19' Jump Shot64
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 2:36PHXMISS House 18' Jump Shot64
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:50PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)64
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Fitch Free Throw 2 of 264
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:51MIAFitch Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:56PHXMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 3:11MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)63
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:33PHXHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)63
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)63
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 3:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 3:54PHXMISS Marion 11' Jump Shot63
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 4:31PHXDiaw Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Nash 16 AST)61
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 4:45MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)61
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 5:02MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 5:03PHXMISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 261
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 5:03PHXMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 261
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 5:09PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)61
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot61
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 5:18MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 5:20PHXMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot61
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 5:38PHXBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 5:40MIAMISS Payton 12' Jump Shot61
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 5:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)61
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 5:54PHXMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot61
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 6:05MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)61
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 6:25PHXMarion Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Nash 15 AST)59
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 6:30PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)59
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot59
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 6:45MIAHeat Rebound59
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 6:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)59
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 6:56PHXMISS Diaw 17' Jump Shot59
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 7:06MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)59
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 7:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Anderson 11' Jump Shot59
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 7:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 7:26PHXMISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 259
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 7:26PHXMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 259
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 7:43MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 7:43MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 8:06PHXMarion Dunk (15 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)57
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 8:19MIAPayton 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 8:41PHXJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)55
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 8:50MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)55
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 9:05PHXDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 9:05PHXMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 253
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 9:20MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 252
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 9:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)52
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 9:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 9:31PHXMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 9:48MIAO'Neal Layup (5 PTS)52
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 9:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)50
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot50
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 9:56MIAHeat Rebound50
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Posey Layup50
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 10:18PHXMarion 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 14 AST)50
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 10:25PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)50
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot50
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 10:38MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 10:40PHXMISS Marion 17' Jump Shot50
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 10:47PHXBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 10:49MIADiaw BLOCK (2 BLK)50
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 10:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)50
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot50
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 11:06PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 11:06PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 11:23PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 11:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 11:45PHXMISS Marion 6' Jump Shot50
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound50
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Fitch 57' 3PT Jump Shot50
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAPosey Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Fitch 3 AST)50
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0PHXMISS Diaw Layup48
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot48
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q2 - 1:00PHXHouse Layup (7 PTS)48
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q2 - 1:03MIAHouse STEAL (1 STL)48
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q2 - 1:13MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q2 - 1:15PHXMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot48
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q2 - 1:32PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Simien 11' Jump Shot48
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q2 - 1:46PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)48
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q2 - 1:56MIAPayton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kapono 4 AST)48
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q2 - 2:16PHXHouse 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)45
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q2 - 2:29MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q2 - 2:29MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q2 - 2:46PHXHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)43
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q2 - 2:59MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T5)43
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q2 - 3:10PHXMarion Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Nash 13 AST)43
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q2 - 3:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q2 - 3:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q2 - 3:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Payton 8' Jump Shot41
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q2 - 3:33MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q2 - 3:35PHXMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot41
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)41
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q2 - 4:03PHXHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)41
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q2 - 4:08PHXHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q2 - 4:17MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q2 - 4:19PHXMISS Diaw 16' Jump Shot41
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q2 - 4:35PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)41
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q2 - 4:50MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q2 - 4:52PHXMISS Marion 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q2 - 5:05MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)41
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q2 - 5:29PHXMarion Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)38
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q2 - 5:38PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)38
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 238
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 238
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q2 - 5:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)38
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q2 - 5:59PHXThomas Layup (9 PTS) (House 1 AST)38
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q2 - 6:10PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q2 - 6:11MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot38
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q2 - 6:30PHXDiaw Reverse Dunk (8 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)38
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWalker Layup (17 PTS)38
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q2 - 6:40MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
5.9%
55
94.1%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS O'Neal Layup36
5.4%
55
94.6%
Q2 - 6:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
5.9%
55
94.1%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
5.4%
55
94.6%
Q2 - 7:13PHXMarion 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)36
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q2 - 7:25PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot36
8.0%
52
92.0%
Q2 - 7:30MIAHeat Rebound36
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)36
8.0%
52
92.0%
Q2 - 7:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q2 - 7:51PHXMISS House 22' Jump Shot36
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q2 - 8:15PHXHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS O'Neal Layup36
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q2 - 8:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 8:28PHXMISS Diaw 7' Jump Shot36
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q2 - 8:36PHXHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot36
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q2 - 9:00PHXDiaw Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)36
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 9:19MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kapono 3 AST)36
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q2 - 9:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q2 - 9:28PHXMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot33
7.9%
50
92.1%
Q2 - 9:41MIAKapono 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)33
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 9:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 9:49PHXMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q2 - 10:05MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
6.3%
50
93.7%
Q2 - 10:23PHXBurke Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)29
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 10:33PHXBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Walker Layup29
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 10:45MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 10:46PHXMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)29
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 11:07PHXBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q2 - 11:26MIAWalker 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS)27
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 11:48PHXMISS Jones 23' Jump Shot25
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXBell 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nash 12 AST)25
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
6.1%
44
93.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0PHXMISS Marion 7' Jump Shot23
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAO'Neal Layup (3 PTS)23
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Anderson 11' Jump Shot21
4.8%
44
95.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0PHXBurke 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)21
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Fitch 2 AST)21
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0PHXJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)18
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q1 - 1:07MIAAnderson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fitch 1 AST)18
5.7%
39
94.3%
Q1 - 1:26PHXJones 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)16
5.1%
39
94.9%
Q1 - 1:42MIAWalker 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
5.7%
37
94.3%
Q1 - 1:58PHXNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)14
5.1%
37
94.9%
Q1 - 2:04PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)14
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Fitch 23' Jump Shot14
6.5%
34
93.5%
Q1 - 2:18MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
6.9%
34
93.1%
Q1 - 2:20PHXMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q1 - 2:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 213
6.1%
34
93.9%
Q1 - 2:55PHXJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)13
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q1 - 3:09MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q1 - 3:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
7.3%
31
92.7%
Q1 - 3:09MIAWalker Tip Shot (4 PTS)12
7.3%
31
92.7%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Fitch 9' Jump Shot10
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q1 - 3:29PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q1 - 3:33PHXBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot10
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q1 - 3:46PHXThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)10
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q1 - 3:46PHXMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 210
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q1 - 3:57PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
6.6%
30
93.4%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q1 - 4:19PHXBell 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)10
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q1 - 4:23PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)10
8.7%
27
91.3%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot10
8.9%
27
91.1%
Q1 - 4:45PHXNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)10
9.6%
27
90.4%
Q1 - 4:51PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot10
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q1 - 5:12PHXDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 5:12PHXDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 5:12PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 5:13PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
14.1%
22
85.9%
Q1 - 5:19PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 5:36PHXBell 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)10
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q1 - 5:42MIAFitch 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
15.4%
20
84.6%
Q1 - 5:58PHXThomas 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)8
14.4%
20
85.6%
Q1 - 6:16MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T3)8
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 6:21MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.9%
18
83.1%
Q1 - 6:23PHXMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot8
16.6%
18
83.4%
Q1 - 6:33MIAWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 6:38MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 6:41MIADiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)6
14.1%
18
85.9%
Q1 - 6:55PHXMarion 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)6
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 7:04PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
16.7%
16
83.3%
Q1 - 7:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
17.5%
16
82.5%
Q1 - 7:26PHXMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot6
17.1%
16
82.9%
Q1 - 7:41PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot6
16.6%
16
83.4%
Q1 - 7:58PHXDiaw 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)6
17.4%
16
82.6%
Q1 - 8:04PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Kapono 7' Jump Shot6
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 8:17PHXDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 8:27MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 8:35PHXBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)6
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 8:40PHXBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 8:42PHXMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 8:52MIAPayton 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)6
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 9:10PHXNash 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)4
21.0%
11
79.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMarion STEAL (1 STL)4
23.2%
8
76.8%
Q1 - 9:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 9:34PHXMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot4
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 9:51PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.3%
8
76.7%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 10:16PHXThomas 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)4
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 10:25PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot4
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 10:36PHXBell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 10:50MIAPayton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 11:01PHXThomas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)2
27.6%
4
72.4%
Q1 - 11:12MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)2
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 11:24PHXBell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)0
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 11:42PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.2%
0
70.8%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot0
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 12:00PHXJump Ball Thomas vs. O'Neal: Tip to0
30.7%
0
69.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.3%
PHX
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
16
69%
PHX
8
9
89%
Midrange
MIA
19
56
34%
PHX
21
44
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
PHX
13
19.5
26
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
15
20
75%
PHX
14
22
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker2265%11.0 / 17
J. Kapono1653%8.0 / 15
G. Payton1563%7.5 / 12
U. Haslem1042%5.0 / 12
W. Simien964%4.5 / 7
S. O'Neal840%4.0 / 10
G. Fitch528%2.5 / 9
S. Anderson417%2.0 / 12
J. Posey214%1.0 / 7
A. Mourning2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Bell2475%12.0 / 16
S. Marion1956%9.5 / 17
J. Jones1689%8.0 / 9
B. Diaw1441%7.0 / 17
K. Thomas1372%6.5 / 9
S. Nash1179%5.5 / 7
E. House1042%5.0 / 12
P. Burke4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+18
-14
104
PHX
84
+5
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.3%
PHX
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
111.4
MIA 93.0 +20.3
PHX 113.3
Pace
92.2
96.0
MIA 96.8
PHX 101.3 +4.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
14.3
MIA 14.9
PHX 14.2 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
53.7%
MIA 42.4%
PHX 61.4% +19.0%
TO %
15.0%
13.1%
MIA 12.2% +1.4%
PHX 13.6%
ORB %
26.8%
22.2%
MIA 25.9% +15.1%
PHX 10.8%
FTrt
36.3
20.6
MIA 21.7
PHX 27.8 +6.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
63.5%
MIA 50.0%
PHX 90.5% +40.5%
STL %
6.9%
6.9%
MIA 4.0%
PHX 4.1% +0.1%
BLK %
8.5%
7.2%
MIA 1.9%
PHX 5.6% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.37 and 3.37.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
55.4%
MIA 44.3%
PHX 61.7% +17.4%
Rim FG%
64.2%
63.2%
MIA 68.8%
PHX 88.9% +20.1%
Mid FG%
38.9%
43.9%
MIA 33.9%
PHX 47.7% +13.8%
3P %
34.5%
39.9%
MIA 30.0%
PHX 50.0% +20.0%
FT %
70.0%
80.6%
MIA 75.0% +11.4%
PHX 63.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
26.5%
MIA 17.4% +6.0%
PHX 11.4%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
44.3%
MIA 60.9%
PHX 55.7% +5.2%
3P Att. %
22.7%
29.3%
MIA 21.7%
PHX 32.9% +11.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIAPHX
Possessions10098
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points93111
Rebounds4744
Assists1838
Steals44
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)40 (0)
Field Goals36-9242-79
At-the-Rim FG11-168-9
Midrange FG19-5621-44
2-Point FG30-7229-53
3-Point FG6-2013-26
Free Throws15-2014-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
6 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
38.0
15
63%
3
3
3
0
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
Jason Kapono
G · 6'8" 215 · 25
31.9
16
53%
2
4
0
0
1
5
1
1
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
2-5
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
30.3
10
42%
11
0
0
0
4
2
3
8
4-4
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
23.0
8
40%
13
0
0
0
2
4
6
7
4-8
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
18.0
2
14%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
30.0
4
17%
1
3
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-12
17%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
25.6
22
65%
8
1
0
0
2
4
2
6
1-1
100%
6-11
55%
3-5
60%
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
24.1
5
28%
4
6
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
15.8
9
64%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
3.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
Dorell Wright
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Earl Barron
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Jason Williams
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
44%
47
18
4
1
14
0
14
33
15-20
75%
30-72
42%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.