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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Timberwolves27%8577
2Spurs73%9383
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.8
44.6
40.4
15
56%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-3
67%
5-10
6-12
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 27.1
39.8
34.8
16
45%
6
4
2
2
0
6
2
4
2-4
50%
4-13
3-8
31%
42%
2-3
67%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.6
38.0
37.3
18
51%
17
3
2
1
0
4
4
13
6-6
100%
6-14
7-14
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 26.8
30.8
34.2
8
58%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 23.6
14.6
21.6
2
20%
3
0
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
42%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 29.8
31.4
20.6
8
32%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-11
2-6
18%
41%
1-1
100%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.8
26.1
19.8
7
60%
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.3
9.0
11.3
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
5.7
4.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-1
0%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 29.9
7.0
0
0-1
47%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.9
3.4
0
0-1
43%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 22.7
1.5
0
0-0
34%
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.4
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 21.5
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.6
40.7
30.9
14
79%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
5-7
1-3
71%
43%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.7
38.5
30.6
12
29%
14
2
2
1
1
3
5
9
2-4
50%
5-18
7-13
28%
51%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
37.0
29.3
23
55%
4
7
1
1
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
11-20
6-11
55%
52%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.6
28.9
21.6
2
50%
3
0
2
0
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.8
26.1
28.5
2
14%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
26.1
20.1
21
62%
4
2
4
1
0
1
1
3
7-9
78%
7-10
3-5
70%
52%
0-3
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.4
14.4
19.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.0
13.6
16.3
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
11.0
14.4
5
51%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
3.6
15.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.8
5.1
0
0-1
51%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
1.9
0
0-1
44%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.