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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14SuperSonics19%9185
1Pistons81%10297
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
41.7
38.7
27
54%
8
2
0
1
0
1
3
5
3-5
60%
12-18
5-10
67%
48%
0-5
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
38.4
33.9
22
56%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
46%
4-7
57%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.9
29.8
16.3
10
51%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
22.7
26.0
6
38%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-6
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
22.5
21.1
5
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
34.9
28.8
9
28%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-14
4-10
29%
43%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
19.9
20.3
1
7%
6
1
1
0
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
0-6
2-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.6
17.0
19.9
3
39%
7
0
1
1
0
1
4
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.8
6.8
6.7
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.0
6.3
20.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.1
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.2
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.6
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.3
39.4
35.0
13
56%
21
1
0
1
2
0
9
12
3-6
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.3
39.4
35.6
9
51%
3
3
0
1
3
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
51%
2-5
40%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.9
37.2
36.6
21
48%
11
3
1
1
1
0
3
8
3-4
75%
9-17
5-10
53%
52%
0-3
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.3
35.5
38.7
21
62%
2
7
0
1
0
4
0
2
8-11
73%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.9
35.0
37.4
15
46%
4
1
1
1
1
3
0
4
2-3
67%
5-12
8-15
42%
51%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
17.3
21.9
6
30%
5
1
0
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-10
4-7
30%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.2
13.0
9.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.4
12.5
8.2
8
58%
5
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.4
10.8
11.2
4
40%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.5
1.6
0
0-0
51%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.9
1.1
0
0-0
53%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.8
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.1
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.7
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.