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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pacers36%9299
13Warriors64%9789
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 27.8
40.8
35.7
27
54%
6
3
0
1
1
4
0
6
2-5
40%
11-20
4-8
55%
46%
1-3
33%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.7
36.4
22.4
17
57%
9
2
2
1
1
1
3
6
2-2
100%
3-8
1-3
38%
44%
3-6
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 22.7
34.3
27.5
13
67%
4
3
3
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-1
100%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.3
34.1
25.9
9
36%
1
4
1
1
2
1
0
1
3-6
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
0-2
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.4
13.9
15.7
6
75%
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.0
30.1
21.1
4
106%
11
0
1
1
1
1
1
10
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 29.8
25.3
24.7
12
79%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 26.8
23.9
30.2
11
54%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
2-6
3-5
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.4
1.1
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-1
0%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30.9
16.3
1
1-3
47%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.2
15.2
0
3-7
46%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 29.9
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.9
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.3
44.6
28.8
19
74%
6
4
2
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
48%
1-4
25%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.7
39.5
37.3
16
48%
7
7
0
2
1
0
1
6
4-4
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
45%
0-2
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.3
37.6
18.8
16
63%
12
1
0
0
1
4
3
9
4-6
67%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.0
32.4
40.3
17
49%
3
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
4-8
50%
5-8
7-14
63%
49%
1-6
17%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.7
26.8
33.4
8
34%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
1-2
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.4
33.1
29.4
5
24%
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
5-6
83%
0-2
3-6
0%
43%
0-6
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.8
10.4
11.5
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.6
6.0
10.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.2
5.0
5.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.5
4.7
6.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.8
18.9
0
1-3
50%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.8
6.9
0
1-2
49%
Aaron Miles
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.7
1.3
0
0-0
41%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.