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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12SuperSonics42%99101
22Bulls58%10297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
38.4
40.0
21
56%
4
4
1
1
1
2
1
3
8-11
73%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
35.7
19.2
15
84%
8
4
0
1
1
3
1
7
9-9
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
33.6
12.7
14
47%
3
3
2
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
4-10
40%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.9
31.0
5.5
6
50%
9
1
0
0
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
28.3
38.3
20
68%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
5-11
29%
47%
4-6
67%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
32.0
27.4
14
39%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-10
4-10
40%
44%
1-6
17%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
23.2
18.5
9
59%
9
5
0
0
1
1
3
6
3-6
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.0
10.1
27.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.1
7.8
2.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.6
29.9
1
3-7
48%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.8
9.2
0
1-2
47%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.2
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.6
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.3
38.2
37.9
4
26%
9
6
1
1
0
1
0
9
4-6
67%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.0
37.9
37.7
16
48%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
46%
2-5
40%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
31.2
32.7
21
56%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-9
5-10
44%
45%
4-9
44%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
19.9
34.1
6
43%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
6-11
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.2
10.8
14.0
0
0%
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.9
28.9
22.1
20
64%
5
2
0
1
0
3
3
2
7-8
88%
5-11
4-7
45%
54%
1-1
100%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
25.4
10.3
12
63%
7
1
0
0
1
3
5
2
4-8
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
15.6
3.9
8
52%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
2-4
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
51%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.2
10.4
8.2
5
63%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.1
10.1
21.9
3
30%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
8.0
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.3
3.9
2.5
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.3
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.