FinalWin Prob.pScore
566%96
92
2634%91
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.092102.6
NOK
118.99081.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOK
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)92
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0NOKMISS Claxton 15' Jump Shot90
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0NOKMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIASimien 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22NOKPaul 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIASimien Foul Turnover (P1.T17)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59NOKMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIADoleac 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49NOKSnyder 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (West 2 AST)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAO'Neal Dunk (19 PTS)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29NOKPaul 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 3:36MIASnyder BLOCK (1 BLK)83
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 4:03NOKWest Dunk (20 PTS) (Snyder 2 AST)83
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)83
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 4:51NOKWest 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 5:15NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot81
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 5:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)81
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 5:33NOKMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot81
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 5:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 280
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 6:02NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot80
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 6:25NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 6:28NOKMISS West 7' Jump Shot80
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 6:45NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Posey Running Layup80
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 7:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)80
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 7:07NOKMISS Claxton 14' Running Jump Shot80
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 7:27MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)80
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 7:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)77
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 7:43NOKMISS Snyder 17' Jump Shot77
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 8:01NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 8:22NOKBrown 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Claxton 8 AST)77
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 8:43MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)77
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q4 - 8:56NOKClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 8:56NOKClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 9:05MIAWest STEAL (2 STL)74
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 9:19NOKButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Claxton 7 AST)74
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q4 - 9:37MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)74
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 9:50NOKWest 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Claxton 6 AST)72
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q4 - 10:04MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)72
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 10:14NOKButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)72
8.5%
86
91.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS)72
12.5%
83
87.5%
Q4 - 10:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)70
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS O'Neal Layup70
8.9%
83
91.1%
Q4 - 10:53NOKHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)70
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q4 - 10:54NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
8.3%
83
91.7%
Q4 - 10:55NOKMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot70
9.7%
83
90.3%
Q4 - 11:24MIAPayton Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)70
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q4 - 11:27NOKBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)68
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)68
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot68
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK68
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)68
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0NOKMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot66
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0NOKMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot66
5.8%
83
94.2%
Q3 - 1:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 265
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q3 - 1:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q3 - 1:09NOKMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot65
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q3 - 1:39MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q3 - 1:52NOKButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q3 - 1:52NOKButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 2:10NOKHORNETS Rebound63
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot63
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q3 - 2:31NOKMason 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)63
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q3 - 2:48MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)63
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q3 - 2:56NOKClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
7.2%
79
92.8%
Q3 - 2:56NOKClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
7.4%
78
92.6%
Q3 - 3:07NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 261
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 3:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q3 - 3:23NOKMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 260
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q3 - 3:23NOKAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q3 - 3:41MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)60
9.5%
76
90.5%
Q3 - 3:55NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)57
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q3 - 3:55NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 257
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
7.3%
75
92.7%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 4:14MIAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)55
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 4:17MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot55
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q3 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q3 - 4:33NOKWest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 5:01MIAPayton 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)55
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 5:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 5:11NOKMISS Snyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 5:30NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 5:32MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot53
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 5:42NOKMason Foul Turnover (P1.T8)53
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 5:46MIAPaul STEAL (3 STL)53
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 5:50MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 5:52NOKMISS Mason Layup53
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 6:08NOKHORNETS Rebound53
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot53
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q3 - 6:28NOKMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 6:53MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 7:09NOKSnyder Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)50
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q3 - 7:30NOKHORNETS Rebound50
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 7:58NOKMason Alley Oop Layup (21 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)50
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 8:03NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot50
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 8:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
10.1%
70
89.9%
Q3 - 8:14NOKMISS Snyder Reverse Layup50
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 8:29NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper50
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 8:48NOKBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T6)50
10.0%
70
90.0%
Q3 - 8:51NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot50
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 9:06NOKMason 8' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)50
11.0%
70
89.0%
Q3 - 9:17NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)50
12.4%
68
87.6%
Q3 - 9:19NOKMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot50
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q3 - 9:41MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)50
12.4%
68
87.6%
Q3 - 10:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 10:03NOKMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot47
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q3 - 10:21NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 10:36MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 10:38NOKMISS West Free Throw 2 of 247
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 10:38NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
9.6%
68
90.4%
Q3 - 10:55MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS)47
10.5%
67
89.5%
Q3 - 10:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)45
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS Wade Layup45
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q3 - 11:17NOKPaul 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
10.5%
67
89.5%
Q3 - 11:20NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot45
12.2%
65
87.8%
Q3 - 11:42NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
13.3%
65
86.7%
Q3 - 11:42NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 245
13.6%
64
86.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOK45
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot45
13.7%
64
86.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
14.9%
64
85.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Williams Layup45
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0NOKButler 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)45
16.1%
64
83.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0NOKVroman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
18.5%
62
81.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 245
18.7%
62
81.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
19.8%
62
80.2%
Q2 - 1:04NOKButler Foul Turnover (P1.T5)44
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q2 - 1:08NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
17.9%
62
82.1%
Q2 - 1:10MIAVroman BLOCK (1 BLK)44
18.2%
62
81.8%
Q2 - 1:29NOKPaul 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q2 - 1:34MIAPaul STEAL (2 STL)44
22.0%
60
78.0%
Q2 - 1:48NOKPaul Layup (5 PTS)44
23.1%
60
76.9%
Q2 - 1:51NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
26.7%
58
73.3%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot44
27.1%
58
72.9%
Q2 - 2:16NOKWest 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)44
29.8%
58
70.2%
Q2 - 2:27MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)44
32.7%
56
67.3%
Q2 - 2:41NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)42
29.7%
56
70.3%
Q2 - 2:41NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)42
30.3%
55
69.7%
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)42
32.6%
54
67.4%
Q2 - 3:09MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
32.0%
54
68.0%
Q2 - 3:12NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 240
31.6%
54
68.4%
Q2 - 3:12NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)40
29.9%
54
70.1%
Q2 - 3:25NOKMISS West 16' Jump Shot40
33.6%
53
66.4%
Q2 - 3:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
31.6%
53
68.4%
Q2 - 3:51MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
31.5%
53
68.5%
Q2 - 3:51MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
31.2%
53
68.8%
Q2 - 4:04NOKClaxton Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)38
30.8%
53
69.2%
Q2 - 4:11NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
36.0%
50
64.0%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot38
36.8%
50
63.2%
Q2 - 4:22NOKClaxton Layup (5 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)38
38.6%
50
61.4%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)38
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q2 - 4:30MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
44.2%
48
55.8%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot38
42.2%
48
57.8%
Q2 - 4:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
44.2%
48
55.8%
Q2 - 4:43NOKMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot38
43.3%
48
56.7%
Q2 - 4:53NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
41.3%
48
58.7%
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
42.2%
48
57.8%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
45.2%
48
54.8%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot38
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q2 - 5:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)38
45.2%
48
54.8%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot38
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q2 - 5:32NOKWest Driving Layup (8 PTS)38
45.1%
48
54.9%
Q2 - 5:50NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
47.7%
46
52.3%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 238
48.1%
46
51.9%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 238
49.3%
46
50.7%
Q2 - 5:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
50.7%
46
49.3%
Q2 - 5:57NOKMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot38
49.8%
46
50.2%
Q2 - 6:18MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)38
48.5%
46
51.5%
Q2 - 6:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
46.3%
46
53.7%
Q2 - 6:36NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
45.3%
46
54.7%
Q2 - 6:58MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
43.0%
46
57.0%
Q2 - 7:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
42.3%
46
57.7%
Q2 - 7:11NOKMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot34
41.5%
46
58.5%
Q2 - 7:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
39.5%
46
60.5%
Q2 - 7:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
39.0%
46
61.0%
Q2 - 7:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
37.2%
46
62.8%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
35.4%
46
64.6%
Q2 - 7:51NOKClaxton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)32
37.2%
46
62.8%
Q2 - 7:59NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
34.5%
46
65.5%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot32
35.8%
46
64.2%
Q2 - 8:28NOKSnyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)32
37.7%
46
62.3%
Q2 - 8:46MIAClaxton STEAL (3 STL)32
42.4%
43
57.6%
Q2 - 8:59NOKBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
45.2%
43
54.8%
Q2 - 8:59NOKBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
45.6%
42
54.4%
Q2 - 9:15MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)32
48.3%
41
51.7%
Q2 - 9:34NOKClaxton 5' Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
51.1%
41
48.9%
Q2 - 9:49NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
53.3%
39
46.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot32
54.1%
39
45.9%
Q2 - 10:07NOKButler 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)32
56.1%
39
43.9%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot32
59.1%
37
40.9%
Q2 - 10:20NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
58.2%
37
41.8%
Q2 - 10:35NOKAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
60.9%
37
39.1%
Q2 - 10:35NOKAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
61.7%
36
38.3%
Q2 - 10:40NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
63.0%
35
37.0%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Walker Layup32
63.8%
35
36.2%
Q2 - 10:48MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
65.6%
35
34.4%
Q2 - 10:52NOKMISS Butler 19' Turnaround Jump Shot32
64.8%
35
35.2%
Q2 - 11:07NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
63.5%
35
36.5%
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Walker 5' Hook Shot32
64.2%
35
35.8%
Q2 - 11:33NOKSnyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
65.7%
35
34.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
69.9%
32
30.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
71.9%
32
28.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
71.3%
32
28.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T7)32
70.1%
32
29.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0NOKWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
71.6%
32
28.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
70.1%
32
29.9%
Q1 - 1:00NOKWest Layup (6 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)29
65.5%
32
34.5%
Q1 - 1:05MIAClaxton STEAL (2 STL)29
68.1%
30
31.9%
Q1 - 1:15NOKClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
69.7%
30
30.3%
Q1 - 1:15MIAClaxton STEAL (1 STL)29
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q1 - 1:15NOKMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 229
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
71.7%
29
28.3%
Q1 - 1:33NOKMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 129
71.5%
29
28.5%
Q1 - 1:33NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
73.9%
27
26.1%
Q1 - 1:34NOKMISS West 5' Jump Shot29
74.9%
27
25.1%
Q1 - 1:47MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)29
73.9%
27
26.1%
Q1 - 1:52NOKClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)27
71.6%
27
28.4%
Q1 - 2:10MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)27
70.3%
27
29.7%
Q1 - 2:21MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
66.1%
27
33.9%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade Layup24
64.7%
27
35.3%
Q1 - 2:39NOKWest Layup (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)24
66.1%
27
33.9%
Q1 - 2:52MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T4)24
68.3%
25
31.7%
Q1 - 2:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
70.2%
25
29.8%
Q1 - 2:56NOKMISS Claxton Layup24
69.6%
25
30.4%
Q1 - 3:04NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
68.3%
25
31.7%
Q1 - 3:06NOKMISS Claxton 5' Jump Shot24
69.8%
25
30.2%
Q1 - 3:17NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
68.3%
25
31.7%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
69.0%
25
31.0%
Q1 - 3:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
70.4%
25
29.6%
Q1 - 3:29NOKMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot24
69.8%
25
30.2%
Q1 - 3:47MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS)24
68.3%
25
31.7%
Q1 - 3:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
66.5%
25
33.5%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMason BLOCK (1 BLK)22
65.0%
25
35.0%
Q1 - 4:04NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)22
67.1%
25
32.9%
Q1 - 4:04NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)22
67.5%
24
32.5%
Q1 - 4:10NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
68.6%
23
31.4%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot22
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q1 - 4:27NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)22
70.8%
23
29.2%
Q1 - 4:27NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)22
71.2%
22
28.8%
Q1 - 4:31NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
72.2%
21
27.8%
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q1 - 4:38NOKPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)22
74.3%
21
25.7%
Q1 - 4:42MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)22
72.2%
21
27.8%
Q1 - 4:59NOKMason 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)20
70.8%
21
29.2%
Q1 - 5:16MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)20
72.5%
19
27.5%
Q1 - 5:26MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
71.0%
19
29.0%
Q1 - 5:28NOKMISS Claxton 12' Jump Shot18
70.4%
19
29.6%
Q1 - 5:48MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 6:01NOKPaul 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)15
65.7%
19
34.3%
Q1 - 6:21NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
69.2%
16
30.8%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 115
69.4%
16
30.6%
Q1 - 6:43NOKWest 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)15
71.0%
16
29.0%
Q1 - 7:07MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
72.7%
14
27.3%
Q1 - 7:22NOKSnyder Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
71.3%
14
28.7%
Q1 - 7:37MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
72.7%
12
27.3%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
71.3%
12
28.7%
Q1 - 7:44NOKMISS Brown 8' Fadeaway Jumper11
70.8%
12
29.2%
Q1 - 8:05NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
70.2%
12
29.8%
Q1 - 8:07NOKMISS Snyder 14' Jump Shot11
71.4%
12
28.6%
Q1 - 8:23MIAWade Layup (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)11
70.1%
12
29.9%
Q1 - 8:36NOKSnyder 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)9
68.7%
12
31.3%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
70.1%
10
29.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
69.8%
10
30.2%
Q1 - 8:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
70.3%
10
29.7%
Q1 - 8:55NOKMISS Paul Layup8
69.8%
10
30.2%
Q1 - 9:03MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)8
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 9:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
70.3%
10
29.7%
Q1 - 9:07NOKMISS Snyder Layup8
69.7%
10
30.3%
Q1 - 9:08NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 9:10NOKMISS Snyder Tip Shot8
69.7%
10
30.3%
Q1 - 9:11NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
68.3%
10
31.7%
Q1 - 9:13NOKMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot8
69.7%
10
30.3%
Q1 - 9:20MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)8
68.3%
10
31.7%
Q1 - 9:33NOKMason 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)8
70.3%
10
29.7%
Q1 - 9:46NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
71.5%
8
28.5%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot8
72.1%
8
27.9%
Q1 - 10:02NOKMason Dunk (6 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)8
73.3%
8
26.7%
Q1 - 10:09MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
74.5%
6
25.5%
Q1 - 10:24NOKMason Dunk (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)5
71.8%
6
28.2%
Q1 - 10:27NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 10:29NOKMISS Mason Dunk5
74.2%
4
25.8%
Q1 - 10:34MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)5
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 10:47NOKBrown 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)5
74.7%
4
25.3%
Q1 - 10:55NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
75.9%
2
24.1%
Q1 - 10:57NOKMISS West 19' Jump Shot5
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 11:09MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
76.0%
2
24.0%
Q1 - 11:26NOKMason 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
74.6%
2
25.4%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)3
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 12:00NOKJump Ball Brown vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem0
73.2%
0
26.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
NOK
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
NOK
13
22
59%
Midrange
MIA
12
28
43%
NOK
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
NOK
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
Free Throws
MIA
15
24
63%
NOK
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1945%9.5 / 21
S. O'Neal1963%9.5 / 15
J. Williams1568%7.5 / 11
U. Haslem956%4.5 / 8
G. Payton867%4.0 / 6
J. Posey660%3.0 / 5
J. Kapono536%2.5 / 7
W. Simien4100%2.0 / 2
A. Walker315%1.5 / 10
A. Mourning250%1.0 / 2
M. Doleac2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mason2457%12.0 / 21
D. West2067%10.0 / 15
C. Paul1568%7.5 / 11
K. Snyder1359%6.5 / 11
S. Claxton1250%6.0 / 12
R. Butler1250%6.0 / 12
P. Brown660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+14
-17
89
NOK
81
+10
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
NOK
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
103.0
MIA 100.0
NOK 118.9 +18.9
Pace
92.2
89.6
MIA 102.6 +21.1
NOK 81.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
MIA 14.0 +3.6
NOK 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
46.4%
MIA 50.7%
NOK 54.5% +3.8%
TO %
15.0%
13.9%
MIA 16.4%
NOK 10.0% +6.4%
ORB %
26.8%
27.0%
MIA 31.8% +8.0%
NOK 23.8%
FTrt
36.3
33.9
MIA 31.6
NOK 39.0 +7.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
53.7%
MIA 55.9%
NOK 60.5% +4.6%
STL %
6.9%
8.3%
MIA 6.5%
NOK 11.1% +4.6%
BLK %
8.5%
6.5%
MIA 7.9% +0.4%
NOK 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
50.0%
MIA 51.1%
NOK 56.9% +5.8%
Rim FG%
64.2%
53.8%
MIA 52.0%
NOK 59.1% +7.1%
Mid FG%
38.9%
39.6%
MIA 42.9% +1.4%
NOK 41.5%
3P %
34.5%
33.9%
MIA 39.1%
NOK 57.1% +18.0%
FT %
70.0%
75.8%
MIA 62.5%
NOK 76.7% +14.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
36.9%
MIA 32.9% +4.3%
NOK 28.6%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
49.3%
MIA 36.8% +16.4%
NOK 53.2%
3P Att. %
22.7%
13.8%
MIA 30.3% +12.1%
NOK 18.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIANOK
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes21.526.5
Points92107
Rebounds4640
Assists1923
Steals610
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (0)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)30 (3)
Field Goals34-7638-77
At-the-Rim FG13-2513-22
Midrange FG12-2817-41
2-Point FG25-5330-63
3-Point FG9-238-14
Free Throws15-2423-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
36.5
19
45%
10
10
0
0
8
3
1
9
5-9
56%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
31.4
9
56%
9
1
0
1
0
2
1
8
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
30.7
6
60%
8
2
1
0
0
3
1
7
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
29.9
19
63%
9
0
1
1
2
4
6
3
1-4
25%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
28.1
15
68%
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
5-9
56%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
27.2
8
67%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
21.4
5
36%
1
1
0
1
1
3
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
15.3
3
15%
2
1
1
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
14.1
2
50%
5
0
1
2
1
5
3
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
2.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
2.7
4
100%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 188 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
51%
46
19
6
5
17
0
14
32
15-24
63%
25-53
47%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.