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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bobcats35%94106
15Celtics65%99109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.2
39.6
31.9
18
48%
3
12
6
2
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
6-16
5-12
38%
44%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
38.0
36.4
20
58%
9
0
2
2
5
0
5
4
8-12
67%
6-12
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.3
32.3
22.9
19
71%
6
0
1
0
1
2
3
3
1-3
33%
9-12
4-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.0
26.4
25.2
11
36%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
4-13
3-6
31%
46%
0-1
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.2
10.5
22.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
38.0
25.0
21
55%
9
2
2
1
0
0
3
6
2-5
40%
8-15
2-4
53%
48%
1-2
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.6
30.6
22.7
13
44%
4
3
3
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
5-11
2-5
45%
42%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.5
15.1
23.0
2
13%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-6
17%
40%
0-2
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
8.1
5.6
2
26%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.4
1.3
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
2.4
0
0-0
45%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
1.3
0
0-0
45%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.3
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.8
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
42.3
37.6
31
76%
8
10
1
1
2
4
0
8
7-8
88%
9-14
7-13
64%
50%
2-3
67%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.4
40.2
32.3
11
51%
8
6
1
1
1
5
1
7
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
54%
2-4
50%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.3
36.0
39.2
23
73%
5
1
0
1
2
2
1
4
4-4
100%
8-12
7-14
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.1
34.5
28.8
18
56%
8
4
0
1
1
5
0
8
6-9
67%
6-12
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.0
19.3
19.8
8
80%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
53%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
19.2
10.3
6
44%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-2
0%
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.6
14.8
23.3
5
83%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.1
10.8
20.1
1
27%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.9
9.7
6.2
6
104%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
9.6
7.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.1
3.6
10.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.3
2.4
0
0-0
46%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.3
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.