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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Warriors28%9194
7Grizzlies72%98104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.0
43.3
39.1
20
53%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
6-14
44%
47%
4-10
40%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.7
35.5
39.9
7
35%
3
7
2
2
0
5
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
4-10
43%
43%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.3
31.1
27.4
10
45%
7
5
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.7
30.9
36.0
17
46%
7
1
2
1
0
0
1
6
1-1
100%
8-16
4-9
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.3
16.6
21.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.4
31.8
28.4
18
97%
2
3
2
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
2-6
75%
41%
3-4
75%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.8
15.5
8.3
0
0%
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.6
15.5
7.3
7
46%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.8
9.7
4.5
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.2
8.3
2.6
7
88%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
38%
1-1
100%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.5
1.9
10.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Miles
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.7
1.4
0
0-0
39%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.8
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
43.1
42.0
21
65%
7
9
0
1
3
2
2
5
9-14
64%
6-9
8-15
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.2
42.2
35.5
23
60%
5
4
4
1
1
1
0
5
3-7
43%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
4-10
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.3
40.0
38.9
16
55%
7
3
0
1
1
1
1
6
6-6
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
51%
0-4
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
40.0
24.4
12
56%
7
1
0
1
1
0
2
5
4-6
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.8
35.5
21.5
19
68%
6
3
2
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
48%
3-6
50%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.0
20.9
16.3
7
52%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.9
12.5
18.2
6
47%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
3.8
5.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.5
0.7
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.9
0.7
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
0.7
1.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.9
32.2
1
3-6
53%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.6
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.