FinalWin Prob.pScore
2417%84
99
183%95
108
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
115.18686.8
DET logo DET
127.18584.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET99
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Francis Layup96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLHill Driving Layup (15 PTS)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13DETBillups Free Throw Clear Path (35 PTS)94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:13ORLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)94
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)94
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 1:35DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 1:50ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)94
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 1:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 293
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 2:16DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)93
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 2:40ORLNelson Driving Layup (15 PTS)93
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 3:02DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)91
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 3:02DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)91
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 3:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 3:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 291
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 3:18ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)91
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 3:36DETHamilton Layup (25 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)90
2.2%
98
97.8%
Q4 - 3:50ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 3:50ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
2.8%
96
97.2%
Q4 - 3:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)88
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 3:56DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot88
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 4:18DETPISTONS Rebound88
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 4:19ORLMISS Battie 9' Jump Shot88
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 4:20ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)88
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 4:23ORLMISS Hill 16' Turnaround Jump Shot88
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 4:35ORLMagic Rebound88
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 4:37ORLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)88
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 4:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 4:47DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot88
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 5:04ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 5:04ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)87
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 5:19DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)86
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 5:19DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)86
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 5:33ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 5:33ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 285
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 5:49DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)85
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 6:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 6:07ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot85
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 6:22ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 6:24DETMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 6:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 6:43DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot85
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 7:00ORLHoward 9' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)85
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 7:20DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)83
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 7:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)83
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 7:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
4.3%
89
95.7%
Q4 - 7:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 7:37DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 7:58DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 7:58ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot81
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 8:20DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)81
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 8:26ORLMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)81
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 8:49DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)81
6.6%
87
93.4%
Q4 - 8:49DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)81
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 9:02ORLGarrity Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)81
8.6%
85
91.4%
Q4 - 9:16DETBillups Driving Layup (27 PTS)81
10.8%
85
89.2%
Q4 - 9:29ORLTurkoglu Backcourt Turnover (P1.T10)81
13.2%
83
86.8%
Q4 - 9:56DETDelfino Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)81
16.4%
83
83.6%
Q4 - 10:12ORLNelson Driving Layup (11 PTS)81
19.6%
81
80.4%
Q4 - 10:27ORLMagic Rebound79
16.5%
81
83.5%
Q4 - 10:29ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot79
14.3%
81
85.7%
Q4 - 10:44ORLMagic Rebound79
16.5%
81
83.5%
Q4 - 10:44DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
15.5%
81
84.5%
Q4 - 10:52DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
13.4%
81
86.6%
Q4 - 10:54DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
15.5%
81
84.5%
Q4 - 11:06DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 11:07ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot79
14.8%
81
85.2%
Q4 - 11:23DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)79
16.9%
81
83.1%
Q4 - 11:44ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)79
20.0%
79
80.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET77
16.9%
79
83.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLBillups STEAL (2 STL)77
13.9%
79
86.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
16.6%
79
83.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 277
16.2%
79
83.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)77
14.2%
79
85.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
16.6%
78
83.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0ORLMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)77
17.5%
78
82.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
19.7%
78
80.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
17.5%
78
82.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETBillups 6' Jump Shot (24 PTS)77
19.7%
78
80.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLNelson Layup (9 PTS)77
23.2%
76
76.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETMcDyess Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)75
19.7%
76
80.3%
Q3 - 1:20ORLHoward Dunk (17 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)75
16.3%
76
83.7%
Q3 - 1:43DETDelfino Layup (5 PTS)73
13.9%
76
86.1%
Q3 - 1:44DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
16.3%
74
83.7%
Q3 - 1:46DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot73
18.3%
74
81.7%
Q3 - 2:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)73
15.9%
74
84.1%
Q3 - 2:05ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot73
16.7%
74
83.3%
Q3 - 2:32DETMcDyess 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)73
18.8%
74
81.2%
Q3 - 2:48ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)73
21.6%
72
78.4%
Q3 - 2:54ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
16.1%
72
83.9%
Q3 - 2:57DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot70
15.3%
72
84.7%
Q3 - 3:12ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
13.8%
72
86.2%
Q3 - 3:12ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 269
13.4%
72
86.6%
Q3 - 3:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
13.9%
72
86.1%
Q3 - 3:26DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 3:50ORLBattie 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
11.8%
72
88.2%
Q3 - 3:51ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 3:53ORLMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)67
9.0%
72
91.0%
Q3 - 4:09DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)67
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 4:11ORLHamilton STEAL (1 STL)67
13.4%
69
86.6%
Q3 - 4:23DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P5.T9)67
15.9%
69
84.1%
Q3 - 4:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
13.4%
69
86.6%
Q3 - 4:28ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 167
13.7%
69
86.3%
Q3 - 4:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
11.8%
69
88.2%
Q3 - 4:53DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot65
11.2%
69
88.8%
Q3 - 4:58DETBillups Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)65
9.9%
69
90.1%
Q3 - 5:16ORLHoward 8' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)65
11.7%
68
88.3%
Q3 - 5:35DETHamilton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T8)63
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 5:51ORLBattie Layup (10 PTS)63
8.7%
68
91.3%
Q3 - 5:53ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 5:55ORLMISS Stevenson 7' Jump Shot61
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 6:14DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)61
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 6:20DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
10.1%
65
89.9%
Q3 - 6:22ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot61
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 6:32ORLMagic Rebound61
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 6:32ORLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)61
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 6:51DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 6:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
13.4%
63
86.6%
Q3 - 6:54DETMISS Prince 7' Jump Shot61
14.9%
63
85.1%
Q3 - 7:11ORLStevenson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)61
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 7:32DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)61
15.5%
63
84.5%
Q3 - 7:46DETPISTONS Rebound61
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 7:48ORLHamilton BLOCK (1 BLK)61
14.0%
63
86.0%
Q3 - 8:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 8:10DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
14.7%
63
85.3%
Q3 - 8:22DETPISTONS Rebound61
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 8:24DETMISS Hamilton Layup61
14.7%
63
85.3%
Q3 - 8:27ORLStevenson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)61
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 8:48ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 8:50DETMISS Prince Layup59
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 9:08ORLHoward 10' Hook Shot (13 PTS)59
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q3 - 9:19ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
8.8%
63
91.2%
Q3 - 9:22DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot57
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 9:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
7.7%
63
92.3%
Q3 - 9:35ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot57
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q3 - 9:57DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
8.8%
63
91.2%
Q3 - 10:03ORLBillups STEAL (1 STL)57
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 10:20DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)57
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 10:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
12.6%
59
87.4%
Q3 - 10:38ORLMISS Battie 12' Jump Shot57
13.2%
59
86.8%
Q3 - 10:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
14.5%
59
85.5%
Q3 - 10:53DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot57
13.9%
59
86.1%
Q3 - 11:18ORLFrancis Driving Layup (4 PTS)57
12.4%
59
87.6%
Q3 - 11:43DETWallace 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)55
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL55
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound55
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 40' 3PT Jump Shot55
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
13.8%
57
86.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMISS Wallace 8' Hook Shot55
13.4%
57
86.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
12.7%
57
87.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)53
10.9%
57
89.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
14.2%
54
85.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
14.0%
54
86.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
12.3%
54
87.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 251
12.1%
54
87.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETPISTONS Rebound51
12.7%
53
87.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETMISS Wallace Layup51
13.4%
53
86.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLFrancis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)51
12.7%
53
87.3%
Q2 - 1:18DETHamilton Layup (12 PTS)51
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q2 - 1:39ORLWallace STEAL (2 STL)51
16.1%
51
83.9%
Q2 - 2:08DETHamilton Driving Layup (10 PTS)51
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q2 - 2:14DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q2 - 2:17ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot51
19.8%
49
80.2%
Q2 - 2:28DETWallace Tip Shot (8 PTS)51
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q2 - 2:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q2 - 2:31DETMISS Prince 5' Jump Shot51
24.9%
47
75.1%
Q2 - 2:56ORLFrancis Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)51
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q2 - 3:09DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
20.6%
47
79.4%
Q2 - 3:26ORLWallace STEAL (1 STL)49
18.5%
47
81.5%
Q2 - 3:36ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
20.7%
47
79.3%
Q2 - 3:38ORLMISS Stevenson 17' Jump Shot49
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 3:55DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)49
20.7%
47
79.3%
Q2 - 4:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 4:03ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot49
24.4%
44
75.6%
Q2 - 4:21DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)49
26.0%
44
74.0%
Q2 - 4:48ORLHill Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
30.7%
41
69.3%
Q2 - 4:54ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 4:56DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 5:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
25.3%
41
74.7%
Q2 - 5:14ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot47
26.0%
41
74.0%
Q2 - 5:37DETBillups Driving Layup (12 PTS)47
27.7%
41
72.3%
Q2 - 5:55ORLStevenson Dunk (6 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)47
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 5:59ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
27.7%
39
72.3%
Q2 - 6:00DETMISS Hamilton Layup45
27.0%
39
73.0%
Q2 - 6:20ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)45
24.6%
39
75.4%
Q2 - 6:33DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
27.2%
39
72.8%
Q2 - 6:33DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 245
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 6:53ORLGarrity 9' Hook Shot (5 PTS)45
26.8%
38
73.2%
Q2 - 7:10ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
24.3%
38
75.7%
Q2 - 7:12DETMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
23.7%
38
76.3%
Q2 - 7:24ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)43
22.3%
38
77.7%
Q2 - 7:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 7:25ORLMISS Stevenson Layup40
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q2 - 7:30DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 7:47ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 7:59DETDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 8:17ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
14.4%
38
85.6%
Q2 - 8:17ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
14.0%
38
86.0%
Q2 - 8:38DETEvans 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q2 - 8:51ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
14.4%
36
85.6%
Q2 - 8:51ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 235
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 9:03ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 9:03DETMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 235
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 9:03DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 9:21ORLNelson Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
14.2%
35
85.8%
Q2 - 9:37DETDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)33
13.1%
35
86.9%
Q2 - 9:56ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
15.4%
32
84.6%
Q2 - 10:10DETWallace Driving Layup (6 PTS)31
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 10:34ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)31
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q2 - 10:49ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
13.2%
30
86.8%
Q2 - 10:51DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot28
12.8%
30
87.2%
Q2 - 11:14ORLKasun Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)28
11.8%
30
88.2%
Q2 - 11:27DETEvans Dunk (2 PTS)26
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q2 - 11:28DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
11.8%
28
88.2%
Q2 - 11:29DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 126
12.7%
28
87.3%
Q2 - 11:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)26
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q2 - 11:40DETMISS Delfino 21' Jump Shot26
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q2 - 11:41DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q2 - 11:44DETMISS Wallace 6' Hook Shot26
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL26
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound26
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Nelson 31' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.3%
26
85.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)26
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)26
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0ORLKasun Layup (2 PTS)26
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot24
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
15.0%
23
85.0%
Q1 - 1:08ORLHoward Layup (8 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)24
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q1 - 1:12ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 1:14DETMISS Prince Alley Oop Layup22
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 1:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 1:22ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot22
14.3%
22
85.7%
Q1 - 1:38DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)22
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 1:57ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)22
16.4%
20
83.6%
Q1 - 2:11DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)20
14.9%
20
85.1%
Q1 - 2:34ORLHill 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
13.8%
20
86.2%
Q1 - 2:49ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
12.7%
20
87.3%
Q1 - 2:50DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot18
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 3:12ORLWallace STEAL (1 STL)18
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 3:22ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12.6%
20
87.4%
Q1 - 3:23DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot18
12.3%
20
87.7%
Q1 - 3:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 3:42ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot18
11.9%
20
88.1%
Q1 - 4:05DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)18
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 4:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 4:10DETMISS Billups Layup18
14.1%
18
85.9%
Q1 - 4:22ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 4:22ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
12.9%
18
87.1%
Q1 - 4:42DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 4:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
11.3%
18
88.7%
Q1 - 5:00ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot16
11.7%
18
88.3%
Q1 - 5:16ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 5:16DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 216
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 5:16DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 216
11.6%
18
88.4%
Q1 - 5:29ORLHill Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
11.1%
18
88.9%
Q1 - 5:41DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 5:41DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 5:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
11.1%
16
88.9%
Q1 - 5:45ORLMISS Francis 12' Jump Shot14
11.4%
16
88.6%
Q1 - 6:00DETPrince Dunk (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)14
12.1%
16
87.9%
Q1 - 6:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 6:05DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
13.5%
14
86.5%
Q1 - 6:26ORLStevenson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 6:47DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)12
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 6:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 7:00ORLMISS Howard 12' Jump Bank Shot12
13.1%
12
86.9%
Q1 - 7:19DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)12
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 7:39ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)12
14.3%
10
85.7%
Q1 - 7:57DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)10
13.5%
10
86.5%
Q1 - 8:15ORLBattie 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)10
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 8:39DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 8:55ORLBattie 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)8
15.0%
5
85.0%
Q1 - 9:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
14.1%
5
85.9%
Q1 - 9:03DETMISS Prince 9' Jump Shot6
13.8%
5
86.2%
Q1 - 9:27ORLHoward Dunk (4 PTS)6
13.0%
5
87.0%
Q1 - 9:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 9:32ORLMISS Hill 10' Jump Shot4
11.7%
5
88.3%
Q1 - 9:39DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 9:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.4%
5
88.6%
Q1 - 9:54ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot4
11.7%
5
88.3%
Q1 - 10:12DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
12.2%
5
87.8%
Q1 - 10:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:17ORLMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot4
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 10:32DETPrince 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
14.9%
2
85.1%
Q1 - 10:57ORLBattie 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)4
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 11:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 11:15DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot2
14.4%
0
85.6%
Q1 - 11:40ORLHoward Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)2
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Howard: Tip to Francis0
12.9%
0
87.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.14 56.9%
DET
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
21
26
81%
DET
17
24
71%
Midrange
ORL
16
43
37%
DET
14
31
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
5
40%
60%
DET
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
ORL
19
25
76%
DET
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2273%11.0 / 15
J. Nelson1860%9.0 / 15
G. Hill1544%7.5 / 17
T. Battie1260%6.0 / 10
S. Francis950%4.5 / 9
D. Stevenson844%4.0 / 9
H. Turkoglu650%3.0 / 6
P. Garrity5125%2.5 / 2
M. Kasun4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups3784%18.5 / 22
R. Hamilton2569%12.5 / 18
T. Prince1240%6.0 / 15
B. Wallace1155%5.5 / 10
R. Wallace739%3.5 / 9
C. Delfino770%3.5 / 5
A. McDyess450%2.0 / 4
M. Evans4100%2.0 / 2
C. Arroyo150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
74
+13
-12
87
DET
75
+12
-10
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.14 56.9%
DET
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
110.1
ORL 115.1
DET 127.1 +11.9
Pace
88.1
87.4
ORL 86.8 +2.5
DET 84.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
17.3
ORL 16.6 +0.5
DET 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.7%
ORL 54.1%
DET 58.1% +4.0%
TO %
16.2%
12.2%
ORL 12.4%
DET 10.3% +2.1%
ORB %
28.6%
28.9%
ORL 26.7%
DET 27.0% +0.3%
FTrt
36.9
29.7
ORL 33.8
DET 39.2 +5.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
66.1%
ORL 38.5%
DET 53.8% +15.3%
STL %
7.3%
8.0%
ORL 5.8%
DET 8.2% +2.4%
BLK %
7.2%
9.0%
ORL 9.1% +0.4%
DET 8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
52.1%
ORL 56.9%
DET 61.4% +4.5%
Rim FG%
57.7%
59.0%
ORL 80.8% +10.0%
DET 70.8%
Mid FG%
41.0%
41.0%
ORL 37.2%
DET 45.2% +8.0%
3P %
37.6%
38.4%
ORL 40.0%
DET 42.1% +2.1%
FT %
73.0%
72.7%
ORL 76.0% +0.1%
DET 75.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
28.3%
ORL 35.1% +2.7%
DET 32.4%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
49.6%
ORL 58.1%
DET 41.9% +16.2%
3P Att. %
12.9%
22.1%
ORL 6.8%
DET 25.7% +18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDET
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points99108
Rebounds3532
Assists1521
Steals57
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)22 (2)
Field Goals39-7439-74
At-the-Rim FG21-2617-24
Midrange FG16-4314-31
2-Point FG37-6931-55
3-Point FG2-58-19
Free Throws19-2522-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
43.4
22
73%
14
0
2
1
3
3
3
11
6-9
67%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 33
37.5
15
44%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
36.9
12
60%
9
0
1
1
0
2
4
5
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 29
36.7
9
50%
0
5
0
0
4
3
0
0
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
28.1
8
44%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
23.8
18
60%
1
3
1
1
2
5
0
1
3-4
75%
6-11
55%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
18.6
6
50%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 238 · 29
11.2
5
125%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
C · 7'1" 260 · 26
3.9
4
100%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
F · 6'9" 221 · 27
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37
#5 · G · 6'3" 195 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 275 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
57%
35
15
5
5
12
0
8
27
19-25
76%
37-69
54%
2-5
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.