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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 2, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13SuperSonics38%9396
17Pacers62%97115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
41.1
40.1
12
40%
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
2-7
29%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
36.9
40.1
24
54%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
45%
3-9
33%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.6
28.8
31.1
16
58%
12
1
0
1
0
2
8
4
2-4
50%
7-12
3-6
58%
47%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.0
27.7
28.0
10
57%
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
3-7
2-6
43%
45%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.8
6.3
15.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
28.4
27.1
18
55%
3
4
2
1
0
2
2
1
1-1
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
42%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
24.3
14.7
6
50%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
40%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
16.2
20.1
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.8
10.3
7.8
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.9
9.5
1.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
7.7
15.5
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.2
2.9
4.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.6
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.1
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 27.7
40.2
38.2
22
69%
6
2
1
1
0
3
1
5
7-9
78%
3-5
4-9
60%
49%
3-7
43%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 22.7
27.7
21.7
10
52%
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
6-6
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.3
26.4
24.2
14
80%
3
6
0
1
1
3
0
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
3-4
75%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.7
24.2
15.7
5
46%
8
0
1
0
0
0
2
6
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-3
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.4
23.5
3.6
11
70%
4
2
2
0
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
5-7
1-1
71%
57%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 26.8
31.4
31.5
26
73%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
8-13
2-5
62%
49%
2-3
67%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 29.8
27.2
22.3
20
76%
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
7-7
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
3-7
43%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.0
24.3
23.5
6
75%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30.9
10.7
6.4
1
27%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.4
4.3
1.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.2
34.3
1
8-16
49%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 29.9
1.1
0
0-0
43%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 24.9
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.