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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 29, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16SuperSonics29%99112
13Nuggets71%106105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
43.9
39.6
39
71%
5
3
1
1
0
4
1
4
5-6
83%
5-11
5-12
45%
46%
8-14
57%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
41.9
36.9
27
70%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
5-5
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
48%
4-10
40%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.0
37.1
15.0
12
55%
7
8
3
1
0
4
2
5
2-2
100%
5-9
1-3
56%
44%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.6
33.3
27.5
6
32%
9
3
0
1
0
3
4
5
6-8
75%
0-6
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.8
15.3
13.3
4
100%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
32.4
26.5
18
53%
6
3
1
1
0
5
1
5
5-7
71%
5-12
4-10
42%
42%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
16.8
21.2
2
33%
8
0
0
0
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
15.0
20.4
4
53%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.3
4.4
5.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.8
15.7
0
1-3
46%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.2
6.1
0
1-1
46%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.9
3.8
0
0-1
45%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.5
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.6
39.5
36.5
32
56%
4
2
4
1
0
3
2
2
5-6
83%
12-22
9-17
55%
50%
1-4
25%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
37.5
37.6
8
37%
5
13
0
1
0
4
2
3
2-4
50%
3-9
6-11
33%
52%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.3
33.0
20.0
7
35%
2
1
3
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
56%
2-7
29%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.0
29.8
21.1
11
51%
7
2
1
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
52%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.8
27.6
17.8
15
72%
9
0
0
1
1
1
2
7
1-1
100%
7-9
2-3
78%
51%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.6
30.6
22.6
22
62%
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
7-12
3-7
58%
48%
2-5
40%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
19.2
28.9
6
56%
4
2
1
1
4
0
1
3
2-3
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.5
17.8
26.6
4
38%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.0
5.0
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.7
21.1
1
2-4
58%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.6
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
1.2
0
0-0
53%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.0
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.3
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.