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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 28, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Rockets37%8590
25Hornets63%8992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
45.4
27.8
38
60%
8
7
2
1
0
4
0
8
12-15
80%
7-19
5-11
37%
46%
4-6
67%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
41.8
35.6
6
26%
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
0-3
2-5
0%
41%
1-7
14%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.1
39.0
39.1
10
50%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
40%
2-6
33%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.9
34.0
35.0
8
29%
8
1
0
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
3-13
5-11
23%
45%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.5
21.1
15.1
2
114%
10
0
0
0
1
2
1
9
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.1
34.3
20.6
26
66%
13
0
0
1
0
3
6
7
8-11
73%
9-15
3-7
60%
47%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
12.5
15.8
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
39%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 26.9
6.5
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.1
5.4
16.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.4
13.7
1
1-2
43%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.5
11.8
0
1-3
44%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
4.8
0
0-1
43%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.3
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.4
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.6
39.5
36.9
11
41%
5
15
1
2
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
38.1
34.8
15
66%
7
3
1
1
2
1
0
7
1-1
100%
7-11
6-13
64%
49%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.2
37.5
32.7
4
29%
7
2
2
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.2
35.0
29.0
13
56%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-6
50%
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.3
22.1
22.4
16
60%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
2-6
33%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.6
28.6
25.5
14
47%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
5-9
56%
3-10
4-8
30%
45%
1-1
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.6
18.7
18.5
15
68%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
3-4
75%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
11.6
14.6
0
0%
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-4
0%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.6
6.3
6.6
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.6
2.7
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 25.9
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.9
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.7
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.