FinalWin Prob.pScore
1621%82
86
279%93
99
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
95.69096.3
SAS logo SAS
112.58882.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS86
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 3 of 384
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 3 (20 PTS)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03INDTinsley 2' Layup (18 PTS)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12INDPacers Rebound80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12INDDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)80
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33INDTinsley 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)80
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)78
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 2:16INDJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)78
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 2:37SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)75
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 2:57INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 2:57INDCroshere Layup (2 PTS)75
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 3:00INDMISS Jackson 1' Reverse Layup73
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 3:04SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)73
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 3:24INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)73
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 3:24INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)72
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 3:40SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 3:40SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 3:57SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 3:58INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 271
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 3:58INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 271
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 4:07INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 4:09SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot71
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 4:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 4:25INDMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot71
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 4:35INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 4:37SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot71
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 5:01SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 5:04INDMISS Tinsley 19' Jump Shot71
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 5:31SASMohammed 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 5:52SASSPURS Rebound71
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 5:53INDMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot71
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q4 - 6:07INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 6:09SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 171
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 6:24SASSPURS Rebound71
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q4 - 6:26INDMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q4 - 6:44SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS)71
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q4 - 7:14INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (24 PTS)71
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 7:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q4 - 7:32INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q4 - 7:53INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q4 - 7:55SASMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q4 - 8:18INDTinsley 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 8:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)67
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q4 - 8:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 267
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q4 - 8:46INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)67
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q4 - 9:02SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q4 - 9:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)65
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q4 - 9:18INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q4 - 9:18INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q4 - 9:45SASVan Exel 4' Jump Shot (5 PTS)63
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q4 - 9:54INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T15)63
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q4 - 10:13SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q4 - 10:23SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q4 - 10:25INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot63
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q4 - 10:42SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)63
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q4 - 10:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q4 - 10:52INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
13.4%
66
86.6%
Q4 - 11:09SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)63
16.0%
66
84.0%
Q4 - 11:23INDGranger Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)63
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q4 - 11:34INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
15.9%
66
84.1%
Q4 - 11:36SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot63
15.0%
66
85.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND63
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)63
15.9%
66
84.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)63
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASParker 2' Layup (21 PTS)63
15.9%
66
84.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
18.9%
64
81.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot63
19.8%
64
80.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
22.2%
64
77.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 263
21.8%
64
78.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)63
19.8%
64
80.2%
Q3 - 1:10INDJones 2' Layup (9 PTS)63
21.7%
63
78.3%
Q3 - 1:25INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
18.7%
63
81.3%
Q3 - 1:27SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
17.7%
63
82.3%
Q3 - 1:42INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)61
15.8%
63
84.2%
Q3 - 1:42INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 260
15.2%
63
84.8%
Q3 - 1:59INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
15.9%
63
84.1%
Q3 - 2:00SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 260
15.5%
63
84.5%
Q3 - 2:00SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)60
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 2:02SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
15.5%
62
84.5%
Q3 - 2:06INDGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)60
16.4%
62
83.6%
Q3 - 2:24SASGinobili 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)60
18.4%
62
81.6%
Q3 - 2:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
21.1%
60
78.9%
Q3 - 2:44INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot60
22.2%
60
77.8%
Q3 - 3:06SASGinobili 2' Layup (7 PTS)60
24.5%
60
75.5%
Q3 - 3:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q3 - 3:13INDMohammed BLOCK (1 BLK)60
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q3 - 3:25SASMohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)60
31.8%
58
68.2%
Q3 - 3:27SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q3 - 3:29SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 3:58SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q3 - 4:00INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q3 - 4:22INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
30.8%
58
69.2%
Q3 - 4:23SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 260
30.2%
58
69.8%
Q3 - 4:23SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
27.9%
58
72.1%
Q3 - 4:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
30.3%
57
69.7%
Q3 - 4:32INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot60
31.6%
57
68.4%
Q3 - 4:49INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
34.7%
57
65.3%
Q3 - 4:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
30.3%
57
69.7%
Q3 - 4:50SASMISS Ginobili 2' Tip Shot60
33.3%
57
66.7%
Q3 - 4:53SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot60
33.3%
57
66.7%
Q3 - 5:21INDTinsley 1' Layup (12 PTS)60
29.9%
57
70.1%
Q3 - 5:26INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
26.8%
57
73.2%
Q3 - 5:29SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot58
25.7%
57
74.3%
Q3 - 5:48INDJackson 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)58
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 6:11SASNesterovic 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)56
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q3 - 6:19SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
22.9%
55
77.1%
Q3 - 6:21INDMISS Jackson 3' Layup56
23.8%
55
76.2%
Q3 - 6:29INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
26.1%
55
73.9%
Q3 - 6:31SASMISS Bowen 2' Layup56
25.1%
55
74.9%
Q3 - 6:36INDParker STEAL (3 STL)56
22.9%
55
77.1%
Q3 - 6:44INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
26.1%
55
73.9%
Q3 - 6:45SASMISS Finley 1' Layup56
25.1%
55
74.9%
Q3 - 6:55INDJackson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)56
22.9%
55
77.1%
Q3 - 6:56SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)56
26.1%
55
73.9%
Q3 - 7:16INDJasikevicius 1' Layup (3 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)56
22.5%
55
77.5%
Q3 - 7:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q3 - 7:31INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot54
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q3 - 7:44INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q3 - 7:46INDMISS Jasikevicius 8' Jump Shot54
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q3 - 8:06SASParker 2' Layup (17 PTS)54
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 8:27INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)54
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q3 - 8:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
20.1%
53
79.9%
Q3 - 8:39INDMISS Tinsley 20' Jump Shot52
18.2%
53
81.8%
Q3 - 9:03SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)52
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q3 - 9:21INDJackson 1' Dunk (11 PTS)52
17.1%
53
82.9%
Q3 - 9:30INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q3 - 9:33SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Layup50
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q3 - 9:45INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)50
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q3 - 9:59SASParker 3' Running Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)50
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q3 - 10:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q3 - 10:17INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup50
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q3 - 10:29SASFinley 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)50
19.0%
51
81.0%
Q3 - 10:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
21.0%
49
79.0%
Q3 - 10:45INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot50
21.8%
49
78.2%
Q3 - 11:02SASDuncan 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)50
22.9%
49
77.1%
Q3 - 11:20INDJackson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
25.3%
47
74.7%
Q3 - 11:32SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
22.9%
47
77.1%
Q3 - 11:32SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 248
23.8%
46
76.2%
Q3 - 11:42SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q3 - 11:44INDMISS Jasikevicius 4' Jump Shot48
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS48
25.5%
46
74.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Johnson 16' Jump Bank Shot48
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
24.7%
46
75.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot48
24.2%
46
75.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0INDJones Foul Turnover (P2.T9)48
23.0%
46
77.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASParker 1' Layup (13 PTS)48
24.7%
46
75.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0INDParker STEAL (2 STL)48
28.0%
44
72.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
30.0%
44
70.0%
Q2 - 1:01SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot48
28.9%
44
71.1%
Q2 - 1:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
28.0%
44
72.0%
Q2 - 1:21INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
28.4%
44
71.6%
Q2 - 1:33SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
29.4%
44
70.6%
Q2 - 1:33SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 248
29.9%
43
70.1%
Q2 - 1:45INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)48
30.7%
43
69.3%
Q2 - 1:50INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
32.2%
43
67.8%
Q2 - 1:52INDMISS Tinsley 18' Jump Shot48
31.1%
43
68.9%
Q2 - 2:02SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)48
32.0%
43
68.0%
Q2 - 2:02SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 248
32.5%
42
67.5%
Q2 - 2:19INDTinsley 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
32.2%
42
67.8%
Q2 - 2:33SASMohammed 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
29.4%
42
70.6%
Q2 - 2:44INDO'Neal 4' Driving Hook Shot (17 PTS)46
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 3:02INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
28.5%
40
71.5%
Q2 - 3:03SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 244
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q2 - 3:03SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 244
26.8%
40
73.2%
Q2 - 3:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
25.9%
40
74.1%
Q2 - 3:22INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 244
26.3%
40
73.7%
Q2 - 3:22INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
28.0%
40
72.0%
Q2 - 3:32SASMohammed 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)43
26.2%
40
73.8%
Q2 - 3:50INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
28.4%
38
71.6%
Q2 - 3:50INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
27.8%
38
72.2%
Q2 - 4:03INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 4:06SASMISS Parker 2' Layup41
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 4:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 4:21INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 141
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 4:33INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 4:36SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot39
20.6%
38
79.4%
Q2 - 4:58INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
19.3%
38
80.7%
Q2 - 4:58INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 238
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 5:13INDPacers Rebound38
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 5:14SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 5:23SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 5:25INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup38
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 5:28INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 5:31SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 5:54SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 5:56SASMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 6:04SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 6:06INDMISS Tinsley 20' Jump Shot38
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 6:17SASBarry Foul Turnover (P1.T5)38
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 6:31SASSPURS Rebound38
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 6:31INDMISS Pollard 17' Jump Shot38
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 6:45SASMohammed Foul Turnover (P1.T4)38
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 6:47SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 6:49INDNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)38
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 7:04SASVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)38
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 7:19INDO'Neal 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)38
22.1%
35
77.9%
Q2 - 7:45SASMohammed 1' Layup (2 PTS)36
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 7:47SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 7:49SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 8:15INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)36
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 8:33SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)34
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 8:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
18.5%
33
81.5%
Q2 - 8:51INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot34
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 9:08SASFinley 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)34
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 9:25INDJones 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 9:41SASDuncan 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)32
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 9:58INDFinley STEAL (1 STL)32
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 10:01SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)32
23.5%
29
76.5%
Q2 - 10:22SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 10:24INDMISS Pollard 14' Jump Shot32
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 10:40INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
23.5%
29
76.5%
Q2 - 10:42SASMISS Van Exel 5' Jump Shot32
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q2 - 10:54INDPollard Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 11:14SASDuncan 1' Driving Finger Roll (13 PTS)29
18.0%
29
82.0%
Q2 - 11:31SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
19.5%
27
80.5%
Q2 - 11:34INDMISS Granger 5' Jump Shot29
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS29
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDJones 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)29
19.5%
27
80.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASMISS Horry 1' Layup27
17.4%
27
82.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot27
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 227
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0INDParker STEAL (1 STL)27
18.0%
26
82.0%
Q1 - 1:08INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q1 - 1:10SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot27
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q1 - 1:26INDJones 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
18.0%
26
82.0%
Q1 - 1:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q1 - 1:43SASDuncan 2' Layup (11 PTS)25
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q1 - 1:45SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
18.0%
24
82.0%
Q1 - 1:45SASMISS Horry 1' Layup25
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 1:47SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot25
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 2:08INDO'Neal 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)25
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 2:30SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)23
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 2:30SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)23
16.8%
23
83.2%
Q1 - 2:35SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 2:36INDNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)23
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q1 - 2:50SASNesterovic 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)23
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q1 - 3:04INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q1 - 3:21INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
17.6%
20
82.4%
Q1 - 3:22SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 120
17.4%
20
82.6%
Q1 - 3:37SASSPURS Rebound20
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 3:37SASMISS Parker 1' Layup20
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 3:49INDNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)20
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 4:01SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)20
20.0%
18
80.0%
Q1 - 4:16INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
22.6%
15
77.4%
Q1 - 4:36INDJasikevicius Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)18
21.4%
15
78.6%
Q1 - 4:36INDPacers Rebound17
20.0%
15
80.0%
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Parker 1' Layup17
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 4:53INDTinsley 1' Layup (8 PTS)17
18.3%
15
81.7%
Q1 - 5:10SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)15
16.8%
15
83.2%
Q1 - 5:23INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)15
17.9%
13
82.1%
Q1 - 5:31INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 5:33SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup12
15.3%
13
84.7%
Q1 - 5:47SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.5%
13
85.5%
Q1 - 5:49INDMISS Foster 1' Layup12
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 5:53INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 5:56SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot12
15.3%
13
84.7%
Q1 - 6:08INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 6:08INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 6:19SASParker 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
13.5%
13
86.5%
Q1 - 6:38INDJackson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 6:49INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.5%
11
86.5%
Q1 - 6:51SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot8
13.2%
11
86.8%
Q1 - 7:12INDJackson 3' Layup (2 PTS)8
12.4%
11
87.6%
Q1 - 7:31SASDuncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)6
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 7:51INDJasikevicius Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)6
12.4%
9
87.6%
Q1 - 8:12SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 8:16SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
14.0%
7
86.0%
Q1 - 8:19INDNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)6
14.3%
7
85.7%
Q1 - 8:31SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)6
15.1%
7
84.9%
Q1 - 8:43INDTinsley Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
15.9%
5
84.1%
Q1 - 8:43SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
17.1%
5
82.9%
Q1 - 8:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 8:51INDMISS Foster 2' Layup6
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 9:00INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 9:01INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot6
19.4%
2
80.6%
Q1 - 9:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 9:14SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot6
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 9:36INDTinsley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)6
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 9:54SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 10:04INDTinsley 4' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
18.9%
0
81.1%
Q1 - 10:11INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 10:13SASMISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Hook Shot2
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 10:34INDTinsley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 10:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.8%
0
84.2%
Q1 - 10:40SASMISS Finley 6' Jump Shot0
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 10:57SASSPURS Rebound0
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 10:57INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 11:13INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 11:14SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 11:14SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Tip Shot0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 11:16SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 11:33INDJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 11:38SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. O'Neal: Tip to Parker0
14.8%
0
85.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.01 50.6%
SAS
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
16
30
53%
SAS
23
36
64%
Midrange
IND
16
36
44%
SAS
8
19
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
SAS
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
IND
16
23
70%
SAS
22
34
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2657%13.0 / 23
J. Tinsley2050%10.0 / 20
F. Jones1470%7.0 / 10
S. Jackson1354%6.5 / 12
J. Foster330%1.5 / 5
S. Jasikevicius350%1.5 / 3
S. Pollard350%1.5 / 3
D. Granger233%1.0 / 3
A. Croshere250%1.0 / 2
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2761%13.5 / 22
T. Duncan2672%13.0 / 18
M. Ginobili945%4.5 / 10
N. Mohammed8100%4.0 / 4
B. Bowen744%3.5 / 8
M. Finley739%3.5 / 9
R. Horry675%3.0 / 4
N. Van Exel550%2.5 / 5
R. Nesterovic440%2.0 / 5
B. Barry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+8
-14
84
SAS
77
+8
-11
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.01 50.6%
SAS
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
107.1
IND 95.6 +16.9
SAS 112.5
Pace
90.1
88.8
IND 96.3 +13.7
SAS 82.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.9
IND 15.0 +2.5
SAS 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
51.3%
IND 47.3%
SAS 54.2% +6.9%
TO %
16.3%
14.8%
IND 15.1%
SAS 11.3% +3.8%
ORB %
27.1%
26.1%
IND 17.9%
SAS 18.4% +0.5%
FTrt
34.4
29.8
IND 31.1
SAS 47.9 +16.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
57.4%
IND 35.3%
SAS 44.4% +9.1%
STL %
8.1%
7.4%
IND 7.8% +2.1%
SAS 5.7%
BLK %
7.5%
8.4%
IND 3.6%
SAS 9.1% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
53.1%
IND 50.6%
SAS 55.6% +5.0%
Rim FG%
57.7%
61.7%
IND 53.3%
SAS 63.9% +10.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
39.0%
IND 44.4% +2.3%
SAS 42.1%
3P %
34.9%
38.5%
IND 25.0%
SAS 31.3% +6.3%
FT %
73.7%
70.2%
IND 69.6% +4.9%
SAS 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
36.7%
IND 40.5%
SAS 50.7% +10.2%
Mid Att. %
41.2%
41.8%
IND 48.6%
SAS 26.8% +21.9%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.5%
IND 10.8%
SAS 22.5% +11.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDSAS
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points8699
Rebounds3839
Assists1216
Steals75
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)32 (4)
Field Goals34-7436-71
At-the-Rim FG16-3023-36
Midrange FG16-368-19
2-Point FG32-6631-55
3-Point FG2-85-16
Free Throws16-2322-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 28
42.3
13
54%
8
1
1
2
3
4
0
8
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 255 · 27
39.8
26
57%
7
2
0
0
4
4
0
7
6-8
75%
10-20
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 28
36.8
20
50%
5
4
4
0
2
4
2
3
2-5
40%
9-17
53%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 29
20.7
3
30%
7
0
0
0
1
5
3
4
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 197 · 30
12.7
3
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 225 · 27
35.3
14
70%
1
3
0
0
2
2
0
1
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31
17.8
3
50%
5
0
1
0
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23
12.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
12.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 31
10.2
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 280 · 23
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
#52 · F · 6'9" 260 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 7'0" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'7" 260 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
51%
38
12
7
2
14
0
7
31
16-23
70%
32-66
48%
2-8
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.