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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 27, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Jazz36%8382
23Rockets64%8774
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
38.9
35.3
10
32%
8
2
2
1
2
6
1
7
6-10
60%
2-8
4-9
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
36.4
33.5
20
51%
17
3
0
1
4
0
8
9
5-6
83%
3-13
5-10
23%
48%
3-4
75%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.1
28.8
23.4
10
58%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
6-6
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
38%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.1
21.6
18.1
15
88%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
7-8
88%
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.5
15.9
30.9
7
66%
1
1
0
1
1
3
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
4-10
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.5
32.1
28.9
7
32%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
41%
0-2
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
23.8
16.1
5
37%
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
1-4
25%
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.9
19.2
13.9
6
44%
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
0-0
-
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
12.4
11.8
2
50%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
6.0
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.8
5.1
15.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
4.3
0
1-1
41%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.8
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.1
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.1
45.1
33.7
14
53%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
5-5
100%
3-7
1-4
43%
42%
1-4
25%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
39.3
33.2
7
29%
2
2
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
44%
1-4
25%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.9
37.1
34.4
19
57%
8
2
0
1
1
2
5
3
3-4
75%
8-15
5-10
53%
47%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.5
20.5
7.3
1
17%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
19.7
37.6
21
56%
4
5
1
1
2
3
1
3
9-11
82%
6-13
7-14
46%
48%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.1
22.6
18.3
6
26%
7
0
0
1
0
3
4
3
2-4
50%
2-10
3-6
20%
49%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
15.6
16.2
2
25%
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.5
15.5
7.7
2
17%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.1
12.5
21.6
0
0%
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 26.9
12.0
14.2
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.4
20.8
1
2-3
45%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
4.8
0
0-1
45%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.3
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.