for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, December 27, 2005
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Bucks
21%93
98
5
Heat
79%103
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
100.098104.5
MIA logo MIA
111.29892.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)98
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILMISS Welsch 19' Jump Shot98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MILMISS Kukoc 13' Fadeaway Jumper94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)94
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 1:58MILMISS Kukoc 12' Turnaround Jump Shot94
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWade Running Dunk (33 PTS)94
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 2:31MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)94
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)92
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 2:44MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 2:44MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)91
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:57MIAO'Neal Layup (23 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)90
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:09MILMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T19)90
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 3:20MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot90
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 3:39MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)90
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 3:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)88
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 3:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 3:52MILO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)88
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 4:03MILBucks Rebound88
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 4:28MILJohnson 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)88
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 4:48MIAWalker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)86
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 4:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:53MILMISS Redd 4' Running Hook Shot86
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:58MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:00MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot86
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)86
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)86
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 5:32MILBogut 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)86
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 5:51MIAWade 4' Running Hook Shot (29 PTS)84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 6:07MILRedd Double Dribble Turnover (P6.T18)84
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 6:20MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)84
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 6:36MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 6:36MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 283
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (27 PTS)83
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 7:19MILMagloire Dunk (12 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)83
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWalker Layup (8 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)81
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 7:53MILPayton STEAL (1 STL)81
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q4 - 8:06MIAWade Driving Layup (25 PTS)81
4.8%
89
95.2%
Q4 - 8:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 8:12MILWade BLOCK (1 BLK)81
6.5%
87
93.5%
Q4 - 8:30MIAPayton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)81
7.6%
87
92.4%
Q4 - 8:39MILWalker STEAL (3 STL)81
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 8:55MIAWade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)81
7.6%
87
92.4%
Q4 - 9:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q4 - 9:14MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 181
10.2%
85
89.8%
Q4 - 9:25MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)78
6.4%
85
93.6%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot78
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q4 - 9:47MILJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 9:47MILJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q4 - 10:08MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q4 - 10:08MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 10:26MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q4 - 10:26MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 275
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q4 - 10:31MILJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q4 - 10:42MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 10:44MILMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot75
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMourning Finger Roll (5 PTS)75
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot75
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q4 - 11:23MIAHEAT Rebound75
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q4 - 11:25MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot75
7.8%
81
92.2%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)75
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)75
9.7%
80
90.3%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
10.9%
79
89.1%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot75
12.5%
79
87.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
10.9%
79
89.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound75
13.3%
79
86.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot75
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
13.4%
79
86.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILMISS Williams 12' Running Jump Shot75
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
13.4%
79
86.6%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 275
13.1%
79
86.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 275
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)72
7.7%
79
92.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q3 - 1:00MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot70
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q3 - 1:18MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 1:33MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 1:33MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q3 - 1:55MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q3 - 1:55MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 267
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 2:05MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 2:12MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 2:33MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 2:35MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q3 - 2:43MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)67
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 2:51MILWalker STEAL (2 STL)67
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 3:01MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS O'Neal Layup67
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 3:16MILWelsch Foul Turnover (P3.T14)67
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q3 - 3:31MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)67
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 3:51MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q3 - 4:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
8.6%
72
91.4%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 265
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 4:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)65
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 4:14MILO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)65
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 4:21MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
10.1%
71
89.9%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 4:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 4:31MILMISS Welsch 18' Jump Shot65
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)65
10.1%
71
89.9%
Q3 - 4:41MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 4:42MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot65
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 4:49MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
10.1%
71
89.9%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 5:09MILRedd Driving Layup (14 PTS)65
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)63
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q3 - 5:32MILO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)63
10.1%
68
89.9%
Q3 - 5:40MILMISS Williams Free Throw Technical63
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 5:52MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS Wade 6' Running Jump Shot63
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 6:07MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T12)63
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 6:32MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)63
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 6:51MILMagloire Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)63
13.6%
66
86.4%
Q3 - 7:04MIAWilliams Driving Layup (15 PTS)61
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 7:17MILBogut Tip Shot (7 PTS)61
13.6%
64
86.4%
Q3 - 7:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 7:20MILMISS Williams Driving Layup59
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 7:29MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 7:41MILBogut 8' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)59
13.6%
62
86.4%
Q3 - 8:02MIAO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)57
12.1%
62
87.9%
Q3 - 8:20MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)57
13.6%
60
86.4%
Q3 - 8:20MILBucks Rebound57
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 8:21MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot57
14.2%
60
85.8%
Q3 - 8:47MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)57
15.8%
60
84.2%
Q3 - 9:22MILWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
17.2%
58
82.8%
Q3 - 9:27MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot54
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q3 - 9:37MILWade STEAL (2 STL)54
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q3 - 10:05MIAWade Reverse Dunk (20 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)54
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 10:10MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
14.8%
56
85.2%
Q3 - 10:11MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
15.5%
56
84.5%
Q3 - 10:17MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot54
16.3%
56
83.7%
Q3 - 10:34MILSimmons Foul Turnover (P1.T9)54
14.9%
56
85.1%
Q3 - 10:48MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)54
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q3 - 10:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q3 - 10:57MILMISS Magloire 17' Jump Shot54
19.6%
54
80.4%
Q3 - 11:19MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS)54
20.7%
54
79.3%
Q3 - 11:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
22.9%
52
77.1%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot54
24.8%
52
75.2%
Q3 - 11:41MIAHEAT Rebound54
23.0%
52
77.0%
Q3 - 11:44MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL54
25.7%
52
74.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound54
25.7%
52
74.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot54
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)54
24.8%
52
75.2%
Q2 - 0:10.0MILSimmons Layup (10 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)54
23.1%
52
76.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot52
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILWilliams 4' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)50
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q2 - 1:17MILRedd Layup (12 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)50
21.0%
49
79.0%
Q2 - 1:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)48
18.0%
49
82.0%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 248
18.4%
48
81.6%
Q2 - 1:33MILWilliams STEAL (1 STL)48
19.0%
48
81.0%
Q2 - 1:53MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)48
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 2:14MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
22.5%
46
77.5%
Q2 - 2:14MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
22.2%
46
77.8%
Q2 - 2:14MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
20.3%
46
79.7%
Q2 - 2:15MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
19.0%
46
81.0%
Q2 - 2:38MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
20.2%
46
79.8%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 246
20.0%
46
80.0%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
19.0%
46
81.0%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
20.4%
45
79.6%
Q2 - 2:40MILMISS Kukoc 3PT Jump Shot46
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 2:43MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
22.3%
45
77.7%
Q2 - 2:46MILMISS Williams 12' Running Jump Shot46
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 3:11MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
22.0%
45
78.0%
Q2 - 3:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
26.1%
42
73.9%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
27.9%
42
72.1%
Q2 - 3:37MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
26.1%
42
73.9%
Q2 - 3:37MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
25.8%
42
74.2%
Q2 - 3:46MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T5)44
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 3:52MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot44
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 4:09MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)44
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 4:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 4:28MILMISS Redd 19' Turnaround Jump Shot44
26.1%
40
73.9%
Q2 - 4:36MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
27.7%
40
72.3%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot44
27.0%
40
73.0%
Q2 - 4:54MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
25.5%
40
74.5%
Q2 - 4:54MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 243
25.2%
40
74.8%
Q2 - 5:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 5:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
26.0%
39
74.0%
Q2 - 5:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)43
27.1%
38
72.9%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot43
28.8%
38
71.2%
Q2 - 5:18MIAHEAT Rebound43
27.1%
38
72.9%
Q2 - 5:19MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
27.8%
38
72.2%
Q2 - 5:23MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
29.6%
38
70.4%
Q2 - 5:24MILMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot43
27.8%
38
72.2%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
29.6%
38
70.4%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)43
30.1%
37
69.9%
Q2 - 5:46MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T7)43
31.8%
36
68.2%
Q2 - 5:51MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
34.5%
36
65.5%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot43
33.7%
36
66.3%
Q2 - 6:13MILSimmons 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)43
31.0%
36
69.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
29.1%
36
70.9%
Q2 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
29.6%
35
70.4%
Q2 - 6:53MILWelsch Driving Layup (5 PTS)41
31.0%
34
69.0%
Q2 - 7:05MILJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
28.3%
34
71.7%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 7:23MILMISS Welsch 22' Jump Shot39
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 7:39MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
28.4%
34
71.6%
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Walker Layup39
27.7%
34
72.3%
Q2 - 7:55MILWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 7:55MILMISS Welsch Free Throw 1 of 238
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 7:58MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
26.3%
34
73.7%
Q2 - 8:00MIAMISS O'Neal Layup38
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 8:20MILMagloire Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)38
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 8:36MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)36
22.2%
34
77.8%
Q2 - 8:47MILWelsch Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)36
20.3%
34
79.7%
Q2 - 9:12MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS)36
21.8%
34
78.2%
Q2 - 9:30MILWelsch 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)36
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 9:59MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot34
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q2 - 10:16MILWelsch Foul Turnover (P1.T5)34
20.0%
32
80.0%
Q2 - 10:20MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q2 - 10:40MILWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)34
20.0%
32
80.0%
Q2 - 10:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 10:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q2 - 10:58MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q2 - 11:00MILMISS Williams Reverse Layup31
19.0%
30
81.0%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
19.6%
30
80.4%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 231
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q2 - 11:19MILWade STEAL (1 STL)31
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 11:20MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)31
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 11:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Kapono 22' Jump Shot31
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q2 - 11:48MILKapono STEAL (1 STL)31
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL31
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound31
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 43' 3PT Jump Shot31
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0MILJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (7 PTS)31
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0MILKukoc 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST)31
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q1 - 1:17MIAWalker 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q1 - 1:33MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
22.7%
25
77.3%
Q1 - 1:33MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
22.5%
25
77.5%
Q1 - 1:45MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)27
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 1:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q1 - 2:07MILWalker STEAL (1 STL)27
19.4%
25
80.6%
Q1 - 2:28MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
20.8%
25
79.2%
Q1 - 2:28MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
21.4%
24
78.6%
Q1 - 2:38MIAHEAT Rebound27
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 2:39MILMISS Redd 11' Running Jump Shot27
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q1 - 2:57MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot27
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 3:05MIAHEAT Rebound27
21.8%
23
78.2%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot27
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 3:22MILWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)27
21.8%
23
78.2%
Q1 - 3:26MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
23.6%
23
76.4%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q1 - 3:46MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 4:02MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)24
18.7%
23
81.3%
Q1 - 4:16MILKukoc 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 4:33MIAWade Dunk (3 PTS)22
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 4:46MILWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
19.8%
19
80.2%
Q1 - 4:50MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup20
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 5:03MILRedd Layup (3 PTS)20
16.8%
19
83.2%
Q1 - 5:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 218
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 5:30MILSimmons Tip Shot (4 PTS)18
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 5:32MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 5:34MILMISS Magloire 6' Turnaround Hook Shot16
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 5:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot16
14.3%
18
85.7%
Q1 - 6:04MILWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
13.5%
18
86.5%
Q1 - 6:09MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 6:11MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot14
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 6:24MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
11.7%
18
88.3%
Q1 - 6:26MILMISS Bogut 13' Running Jump Shot14
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 6:35MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot14
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.7%
18
88.3%
Q1 - 6:46MILMISS Magloire 12' Jump Shot14
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 7:02MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)14
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 7:19MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 7:19MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 213
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 7:31MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS)13
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 7:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
15.3%
13
84.7%
Q1 - 7:36MIAMISS O'Neal Layup13
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 7:52MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
15.3%
13
84.7%
Q1 - 7:52MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 7:58MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot11
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 8:17MILMagloire Dunk (6 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)11
13.2%
13
86.8%
Q1 - 8:31MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
12.5%
13
87.5%
Q1 - 8:48MILMagloire 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)9
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 9:01MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)7
10.9%
13
89.1%
Q1 - 9:11MILBogut Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)7
11.4%
11
88.6%
Q1 - 9:17MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
10.9%
11
89.1%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot5
10.6%
11
89.4%
Q1 - 9:38MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
10.0%
11
90.0%
Q1 - 9:40MILMISS Bogut 22' Jump Shot5
10.2%
11
89.8%
Q1 - 10:04MIAWilliams 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
10.8%
11
89.2%
Q1 - 10:15MILSimmons Reverse Layup (2 PTS)5
11.4%
9
88.6%
Q1 - 10:27MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)3
10.8%
9
89.2%
Q1 - 10:38MILMagloire 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)3
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 10:52MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)1
10.8%
7
89.2%
Q1 - 11:03MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
12.3%
4
87.7%
Q1 - 11:03MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 20
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 11:22MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)0
12.3%
4
87.7%
Q1 - 11:30MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 11:31MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 11:47MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Magloire: Tip to Wade0
14.9%
0
85.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.3%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
18
24
75%
MIA
21
30
70%
Midrange
MIL
11
35
31%
MIA
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIL
25
34
74%
MIA
29
36
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2463%12.0 / 19
M. Redd2146%10.5 / 23
B. Simmons1372%6.5 / 9
J. Magloire1260%6.0 / 10
A. Bogut1155%5.5 / 10
T. Kukoc643%3.0 / 7
J. Welsch536%2.5 / 7
T. Ford2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jackson250%1.0 / 2
E. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3576%17.5 / 23
S. O'Neal2361%11.5 / 19
J. Williams1890%9.0 / 10
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
A. Walker833%4.0 / 12
G. Payton643%3.0 / 7
A. Mourning542%2.5 / 6
J. Posey225%1.0 / 4
J. Kapono233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
80
+12
-18
92
MIA
85
+11
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.3%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
108.0
MIL 100.0
MIA 111.2 +11.2
Pace
91.6
92.2
MIL 104.5 +12.3
MIA 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.9
MIL 13.8 +1.8
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
51.7%
MIL 50.0%
MIA 51.9% +1.9%
TO %
15.2%
15.0%
MIL 17.8%
MIA 12.3% +5.5%
ORB %
27.4%
26.8%
MIL 25.0% +3.0%
MIA 22.0%
FTrt
32.2
36.3
MIL 46.6
MIA 46.8 +0.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
55.7%
MIL 35.3%
MIA 45.9% +10.6%
STL %
7.9%
6.9%
MIL 6.1%
MIA 9.2% +3.1%
BLK %
5.4%
8.5%
MIL 3.6%
MIA 6.8% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
53.9%
MIL 53.3%
MIA 56.8% +3.5%
Rim FG%
54.9%
64.2%
MIL 75.0% +5.0%
MIA 70.0%
Mid FG%
39.6%
38.9%
MIL 31.4%
MIA 38.5% +7.1%
3P %
38.0%
34.5%
MIL 35.7% +7.1%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
73.8%
70.0%
MIL 73.5%
MIA 80.6% +7.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
39.3%
MIL 32.9%
MIA 39.0% +6.1%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
38.0%
MIL 47.9%
MIA 33.8% +14.2%
3P Att. %
20.3%
22.7%
MIL 19.2%
MIA 27.3% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points98109
Rebounds4033
Assists1217
Steals69
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)24 (4)
Field Goals34-7337-77
At-the-Rim FG18-2421-30
Midrange FG11-3510-26
2-Point FG29-5931-56
3-Point FG5-146-21
Free Throws25-3429-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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21 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26
41.4
21
46%
5
4
2
0
6
3
2
3
12-17
71%
3-10
30%
1-4
25%
Andrew Bogut
F · 7'0" 260 · 21
38.2
11
55%
6
2
0
0
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26
29.4
13
72%
5
1
1
0
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
23.4
12
60%
8
0
0
0
1
6
0
8
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23
4.2
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23
35.0
24
63%
2
2
1
0
3
2
0
2
1-3
33%
7-12
58%
3-6
50%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37
22.4
6
43%
3
1
1
2
3
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 26
18.6
5
36%
3
1
0
0
3
5
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 30
14.2
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38
9.3
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
2.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 25
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
#23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Charlie Bell
#42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Joe Smith
#8 · F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
53%
40
12
6
2
18
0
8
32
25-34
74%
29-59
49%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.