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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 26, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Celtics37%98111
15SuperSonics63%102118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.3
45.1
39.3
20
52%
2
7
1
1
0
3
2
0
1-3
33%
8-15
6-13
53%
50%
1-3
33%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
40.8
36.4
43
63%
5
5
1
1
1
3
1
4
16-21
76%
12-21
7-13
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.4
31.7
27.9
12
81%
5
7
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
2-3
67%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.1
28.8
27.7
14
70%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
7-10
5-9
70%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.1
19.4
18.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.6
25.1
19.0
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.1
21.3
21.1
12
47%
3
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.0
12.1
21.5
4
52%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.3
10.2
9.2
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.9
4.6
15.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
1.0
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
0.2
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.0
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.3
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
41.5
37.3
18
48%
7
6
2
1
0
1
1
6
12-13
92%
3-6
5-11
50%
48%
0-7
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
36.0
37.8
21
61%
4
1
0
1
1
4
2
2
5-5
100%
8-10
5-11
80%
50%
0-5
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.6
23.0
25.4
14
65%
8
0
2
1
0
0
4
4
0-4
0%
7-9
2-5
78%
49%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.8
17.5
13.9
2
26%
6
1
1
0
0
1
4
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
12.5
31.7
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
43%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
32.4
20.0
29
75%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
7-10
70%
8-13
3-7
62%
45%
2-2
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
30.5
22.8
16
69%
10
2
1
0
1
2
5
5
6-8
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
55%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
17.1
21.3
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.7
16.1
14.0
12
65%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
4-5
80%
4-7
1-3
57%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.0
8.7
7.8
4
60%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.3
4.8
3.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.1
3.5
0
0-1
51%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.1
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.5
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.