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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 26, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pacers32%8780
3Mavericks68%93102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.2
34.6
39.2
15
41%
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
2
1-3
33%
7-17
8-17
41%
46%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 27.7
34.0
32.8
12
75%
2
1
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-8
60%
46%
2-3
67%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.8
25.9
30.6
12
51%
2
3
1
2
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
45%
0-0
-
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 29.8
21.7
25.9
6
60%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.7
20.6
19.6
11
89%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
5-5
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 26.8
25.6
25.9
6
47%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 22.7
22.6
27.9
4
29%
3
0
0
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.2
15.3
19.6
4
25%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-3
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.4
13.3
2.7
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.9
12.7
14.3
1
18%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-4
25%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30.9
6.7
2.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.4
6.7
1.0
7
83%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
38%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 24.9
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
34.4
36.7
12
36%
10
1
4
1
0
2
5
5
3-4
75%
3-14
6-12
21%
48%
1-1
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
34.1
37.0
23
55%
2
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
11-11
100%
6-15
8-16
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.5
33.0
24.7
4
40%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
27.6
31.8
13
65%
1
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
49%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
21.4
26.2
6
33%
14
0
0
0
1
1
8
6
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
31.1
24.8
20
66%
6
5
1
1
0
0
1
5
4-7
57%
8-12
4-8
67%
48%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.9
21.0
14.0
0
0%
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.1
18.5
16.1
15
79%
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
7-8
88%
4-6
2-5
67%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
6.7
2.3
3
80%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
6.6
5.3
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
5.6
5.0
4
67%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
18.5
0
2-4
47%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.8
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.9
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.