FinalWin Prob.pScore
1951%94
93
2549%93
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
104.58997.6
ORL logo ORL
121.38982.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL93
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)93
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLHill Slam Dunk (20 PTS)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILHill STEAL (1 STL)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (11 PTS)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MILWelsch 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27ORLFrancis 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:48ORLMISS Francis 17' Fadeaway Jumper89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:06MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:06MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:27ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MILTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)87
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:50ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)87
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 3:10MILWilliams Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)87
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 3:13MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 3:15ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot87
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 3:29MILMagloire Reverse Dunk (14 PTS)87
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 3:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 3:50ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 285
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 3:55ORLMAGIC Rebound85
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 3:55ORLMISS Nelson Layup85
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 4:06ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 4:08MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot85
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 4:11MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 4:15MILMISS Redd 6' Jump Shot85
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 4:37ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 4:37ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 285
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 4:51MILFrancis STEAL (2 STL)85
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 4:57MILFord REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 4:58ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 4:58ORLMISS Hill Tip Shot85
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 5:00ORLMISS Howard Layup85
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 5:17MILSimmons Foul Turnover (P2.T10)85
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 5:21MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 5:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot85
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q4 - 5:45ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 5:47MILMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot85
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 5:54MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 5:56ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot85
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 6:19MILWilliams Layup (10 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)85
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q4 - 6:22MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 6:25MILMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot83
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 6:32MILFord REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)83
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 6:33ORLMISS Stevenson Driving Layup83
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 6:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)83
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 6:39MILMISS Williams Driving Layup83
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 6:51ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Stevenson 4 AST)83
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 7:11ORLMAGIC Rebound83
5.6%
93
94.4%
Q4 - 7:16MILMISS Redd 21' Fadeaway Jumper83
6.1%
93
93.9%
Q4 - 7:40ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
7.3%
93
92.7%
Q4 - 7:40ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)83
7.6%
92
92.4%
Q4 - 7:58MILFord Reverse Layup (17 PTS)83
9.1%
91
90.9%
Q4 - 8:02ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)81
8.7%
91
91.3%
Q4 - 8:15MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)81
6.8%
91
93.2%
Q4 - 8:30ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
5.4%
91
94.6%
Q4 - 8:30ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
5.7%
90
94.3%
Q4 - 8:51MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)79
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 8:51MILBogut Tip Shot (6 PTS)79
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 8:52MILMISS Ford Layup77
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 8:55MILFord REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)77
5.3%
89
94.7%
Q4 - 8:57MILNelson BLOCK (1 BLK)77
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 9:12ORLStevenson Layup (10 PTS)77
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 9:15ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 9:18ORLMISS Stevenson Driving Layup77
9.3%
87
90.7%
Q4 - 9:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)77
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 9:25MILMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot77
8.5%
87
91.5%
Q4 - 9:42ORLNelson Driving Layup (5 PTS)77
9.9%
87
90.1%
Q4 - 9:54MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)77
12.1%
85
87.9%
Q4 - 10:13ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)74
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 10:31ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
10.9%
83
89.1%
Q4 - 10:33MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)74
13.5%
83
86.5%
Q4 - 10:33MILMISS Ford 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
11.6%
83
88.4%
Q4 - 10:34MILMISS Bogut 2' Jump Shot74
11.6%
83
88.4%
Q4 - 10:35MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
13.5%
83
86.5%
Q4 - 10:37MILMISS Bogut Layup74
11.6%
83
88.4%
Q4 - 10:39MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
13.5%
83
86.5%
Q4 - 10:41MILMISS Kukoc 12' Jump Shot74
11.6%
83
88.4%
Q4 - 11:02MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
14.4%
83
85.6%
Q4 - 11:04ORLMISS Hill 11' Turnaround Jump Shot74
13.6%
83
86.4%
Q4 - 11:29MILWilliams Reverse Layup (6 PTS)74
11.8%
83
88.2%
Q4 - 11:45ORLHill Driving Layup (18 PTS)72
9.8%
83
90.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL72
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
14.3%
81
85.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
14.9%
81
85.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
13.1%
81
86.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLBattie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)69
9.1%
81
90.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0MILFrancis STEAL (1 STL)69
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0ORLMISS Nelson 14' Fadeaway Jumper69
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q3 - 1:20MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q3 - 1:20MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q3 - 1:37ORLHill Layup (16 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)67
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q3 - 1:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q3 - 1:55MILMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot67
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q3 - 2:18ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)67
11.1%
79
88.9%
Q3 - 2:18ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 267
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q3 - 2:36ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
10.9%
78
89.1%
Q3 - 2:37MILMISS Redd Layup67
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q3 - 2:52ORLStevenson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)67
13.0%
78
87.0%
Q3 - 2:55MILStevenson STEAL (1 STL)67
10.9%
78
89.1%
Q3 - 3:06ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
14.0%
78
86.0%
Q3 - 3:06ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
14.4%
77
85.6%
Q3 - 3:28MILSimmons Driving Dunk (10 PTS)67
16.1%
76
83.9%
Q3 - 3:45ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
13.9%
76
86.1%
Q3 - 3:45ORLFrancis Tip Shot (16 PTS)65
13.9%
76
86.1%
Q3 - 3:47ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot65
17.9%
74
82.1%
Q3 - 4:02MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
16.8%
74
83.2%
Q3 - 4:02MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
16.3%
74
83.7%
Q3 - 4:08ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
14.9%
74
85.1%
Q3 - 4:08ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
15.4%
73
84.6%
Q3 - 4:29MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)63
16.8%
72
83.2%
Q3 - 4:49ORLHill Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
12.7%
72
87.3%
Q3 - 5:18MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)60
15.5%
70
84.5%
Q3 - 5:30ORLBattie 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
11.7%
70
88.3%
Q3 - 5:45MILMagloire 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)57
13.4%
68
86.6%
Q3 - 6:08ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
12.6%
68
87.4%
Q3 - 6:20ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
14.3%
66
85.7%
Q3 - 6:21MILMISS Ford Driving Layup55
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q3 - 6:26MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 6:28ORLMISS Howard 10' Hook Shot55
15.8%
66
84.2%
Q3 - 6:46MILRedd Layup (9 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)55
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q3 - 6:58ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 6:58ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
12.8%
65
87.2%
Q3 - 7:14MILSimmons Layup (8 PTS)53
14.8%
64
85.2%
Q3 - 7:27MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q3 - 7:29ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot51
12.6%
64
87.4%
Q3 - 8:00MILFord 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)51
11.2%
64
88.8%
Q3 - 8:13ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
9.2%
64
90.8%
Q3 - 8:13ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 8:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)48
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 248
10.6%
62
89.4%
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 248
11.5%
62
88.5%
Q3 - 8:38MILBucks Rebound48
12.1%
62
87.9%
Q3 - 8:39ORLMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot48
11.5%
62
88.5%
Q3 - 9:01MILFord 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
11.1%
62
88.9%
Q3 - 9:07MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
9.8%
62
90.2%
Q3 - 9:09ORLMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot46
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 9:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)46
8.5%
62
91.5%
Q3 - 9:31MILMISS Ford 10' Jump Shot46
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q3 - 9:50ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
9.7%
62
90.3%
Q3 - 10:02ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 10:04ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot46
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q3 - 10:32MILMagloire Layup (10 PTS)46
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 10:35MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 10:36MILMISS Redd Reverse Layup44
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 10:47ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T7)44
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 11:00ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
9.1%
60
90.9%
Q3 - 11:02MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot44
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q3 - 11:20ORLFrancis 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 11:41ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
12.5%
58
87.5%
Q3 - 11:43MILMISS Bogut 21' Jump Shot44
13.0%
58
87.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL44
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
12.5%
58
87.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILMISS Ford 28' 3PT Jump Shot44
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0ORLFrancis 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)44
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
16.7%
56
83.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLFrancis Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)42
14.8%
56
85.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
17.1%
54
82.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILMISS Williams Driving Layup42
17.5%
54
82.5%
Q2 - 1:03ORLBattie Foul Turnover (P1.T6)42
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q2 - 1:21ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
18.0%
54
82.0%
Q2 - 1:22MILMISS Ford Driving Layup42
18.3%
54
81.7%
Q2 - 1:43MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
19.0%
54
81.0%
Q2 - 1:45ORLMISS Battie 10' Jump Shot42
18.7%
54
81.3%
Q2 - 1:59MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)42
18.0%
54
82.0%
Q2 - 2:17ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (11 PTS)40
16.4%
54
83.6%
Q2 - 2:40MILSimmons Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)40
18.4%
52
81.6%
Q2 - 2:56MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 2:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot40
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q2 - 3:11MILBogut Foul Turnover (P1.T6)40
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q2 - 3:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
21.4%
52
78.6%
Q2 - 3:18MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q2 - 3:34ORLHoward 9' Hook Bank Shot (15 PTS)40
21.4%
52
78.6%
Q2 - 3:52MILBogut Slam Dunk (4 PTS)40
23.2%
50
76.8%
Q2 - 4:15ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)38
22.1%
50
77.9%
Q2 - 4:29MILFord Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)38
26.3%
47
73.7%
Q2 - 4:47ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)36
24.1%
47
75.9%
Q2 - 5:04ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
29.0%
44
71.0%
Q2 - 5:05MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 236
29.3%
44
70.7%
Q2 - 5:05MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 236
30.7%
44
69.3%
Q2 - 5:19ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)36
31.6%
44
68.4%
Q2 - 5:38ORLJump Ball Turkoglu vs. Bogut: Tip to Hill36
29.0%
44
71.0%
Q2 - 5:40MILTurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)36
29.8%
44
70.2%
Q2 - 5:54ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)36
31.5%
44
68.5%
Q2 - 6:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)36
29.0%
44
71.0%
Q2 - 6:02MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
30.4%
44
69.6%
Q2 - 6:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
32.4%
44
67.6%
Q2 - 6:09ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup36
31.5%
44
68.5%
Q2 - 6:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q2 - 6:29MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
30.3%
44
69.7%
Q2 - 6:50ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)36
32.3%
44
67.7%
Q2 - 6:55ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 6:58MILMISS Williams 8' Running Jump Shot36
35.1%
42
64.9%
Q2 - 7:23ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)36
37.8%
42
62.2%
Q2 - 7:42ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
42.7%
39
57.3%
Q2 - 7:45MILMISS Gadzuric Layup36
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 8:02ORLTurkoglu 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
45.5%
39
54.5%
Q2 - 8:19MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
47.8%
37
52.2%
Q2 - 8:19MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 235
46.7%
37
53.3%
Q2 - 8:19ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw Technical35
48.1%
37
51.9%
Q2 - 8:20ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)35
48.1%
37
51.9%
Q2 - 8:24MILNelson STEAL (1 STL)35
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 8:30MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
48.1%
37
51.9%
Q2 - 8:32ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot35
47.2%
37
52.8%
Q2 - 8:47MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 8:56MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
48.1%
37
51.9%
Q2 - 8:58ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
47.2%
37
52.8%
Q2 - 9:02ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
45.4%
37
54.6%
Q2 - 9:04ORLMISS Francis Reverse Layup35
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 9:26ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
45.3%
37
54.7%
Q2 - 9:27MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 235
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 9:27MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 235
46.8%
37
53.2%
Q2 - 9:40ORLKasun Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
48.1%
37
51.9%
Q2 - 9:40ORLMISS Kasun Free Throw 1 of 235
48.9%
36
51.1%
Q2 - 9:54MILWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
47.8%
36
52.2%
Q2 - 10:06ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
45.6%
36
54.4%
Q2 - 10:06ORLTurkoglu Layup (2 PTS)33
45.6%
36
54.4%
Q2 - 10:08ORLMISS Kasun 6' Hook Shot33
49.7%
34
50.3%
Q2 - 10:29ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
47.8%
34
52.2%
Q2 - 10:31MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot33
48.6%
34
51.4%
Q2 - 10:40MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
50.6%
34
49.4%
Q2 - 10:42ORLMISS Turkoglu 23' Jump Shot33
49.7%
34
50.3%
Q2 - 11:10MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)33
47.9%
34
52.1%
Q2 - 11:13ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)31
45.4%
34
54.6%
Q2 - 11:34MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
43.1%
34
56.9%
Q2 - 11:34MILGadzuric Tip Shot (2 PTS)31
43.1%
34
56.9%
Q2 - 11:36MILMISS Gadzuric Layup29
39.1%
34
60.9%
Q2 - 11:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 11:39MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot29
39.1%
34
60.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL29
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILKukoc 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
38.4%
34
61.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
36.1%
34
63.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
34.9%
34
65.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot27
35.5%
34
64.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
34.0%
34
66.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLHoward 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
31.8%
34
68.2%
Q1 - 1:01MILFord Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
34.5%
32
65.5%
Q1 - 1:05MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
31.9%
32
68.1%
Q1 - 1:07ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot23
31.4%
32
68.6%
Q1 - 1:24MILMagloire Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
30.3%
32
69.7%
Q1 - 1:29MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
28.0%
32
72.0%
Q1 - 1:31MILMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot21
26.9%
32
73.1%
Q1 - 1:44ORLStevenson Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)21
27.9%
32
72.1%
Q1 - 1:48MILHoward STEAL (1 STL)21
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q1 - 2:12ORLStevenson Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)21
32.5%
30
67.5%
Q1 - 2:30MILFord Layup (2 PTS)21
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q1 - 2:32MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
32.4%
28
67.6%
Q1 - 2:34MILMISS Ford 7' Running Jump Shot19
31.1%
28
68.9%
Q1 - 2:46ORLHoward Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)19
32.4%
28
67.6%
Q1 - 2:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)19
34.6%
26
65.4%
Q1 - 2:50ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot19
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 3:09MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
35.0%
26
65.0%
Q1 - 3:09MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q1 - 3:23ORLFrancis 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)17
33.2%
26
66.8%
Q1 - 3:39MILMagloire 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
35.0%
24
65.0%
Q1 - 3:54ORLFrancis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
33.2%
24
66.8%
Q1 - 4:16MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
35.2%
22
64.8%
Q1 - 4:16MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 214
35.0%
22
65.0%
Q1 - 4:26ORLStevenson Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
35.6%
22
64.4%
Q1 - 4:29ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
37.2%
20
62.8%
Q1 - 4:31MILMISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
38.0%
20
62.0%
Q1 - 4:39ORLHill Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)14
39.8%
20
60.2%
Q1 - 4:44MILCato STEAL (1 STL)14
41.5%
18
58.5%
Q1 - 4:56ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)14
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 5:15MILSimmons 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)14
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 5:23MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
44.3%
16
55.7%
Q1 - 5:25ORLMISS Francis 15' Jump Bank Shot12
43.6%
16
56.4%
Q1 - 5:45MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
42.0%
16
58.0%
Q1 - 5:45MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
41.3%
16
58.7%
Q1 - 5:48ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
40.1%
16
59.9%
Q1 - 5:50ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
37.9%
16
62.1%
Q1 - 5:52MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
38.6%
16
61.4%
Q1 - 6:07ORLFrancis Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)10
40.4%
16
59.6%
Q1 - 6:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)10
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 6:13MILMISS Ford 23' Jump Shot10
42.9%
14
57.1%
Q1 - 6:22ORLCato Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)10
44.4%
14
55.6%
Q1 - 6:44MILMagloire 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)10
46.3%
12
53.7%
Q1 - 6:53MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
44.4%
12
55.6%
Q1 - 6:55ORLMISS Cato 17' Jump Shot8
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 7:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
42.8%
12
57.2%
Q1 - 7:10MILMISS Simmons Free Throw 2 of 28
43.1%
12
56.9%
Q1 - 7:10MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
44.4%
12
55.6%
Q1 - 7:15MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 7:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 7:16ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot7
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 7:20ORLMISS Howard Layup7
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 7:25ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 7:27ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot7
42.3%
12
57.7%
Q1 - 7:41ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 7:43MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
41.5%
12
58.5%
Q1 - 8:05ORLHill Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)7
43.4%
12
56.6%
Q1 - 8:08ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 8:10MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot7
45.7%
10
54.3%
Q1 - 8:20ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
47.1%
10
52.9%
Q1 - 8:20ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 27
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 8:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
46.9%
9
53.1%
Q1 - 8:32MILMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot7
47.5%
9
52.5%
Q1 - 8:47ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
49.0%
9
51.0%
Q1 - 8:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
52.5%
6
47.5%
Q1 - 8:49ORLMISS Cato 8' Jump Shot7
54.0%
6
46.0%
Q1 - 9:05MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
52.2%
6
47.8%
Q1 - 9:05MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
51.9%
6
48.1%
Q1 - 9:21ORLBattie 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)5
50.9%
6
49.1%
Q1 - 9:24ORLMAGIC Rebound5
52.2%
4
47.8%
Q1 - 9:25ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot5
53.9%
4
46.1%
Q1 - 9:43MILRedd Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)5
52.2%
4
47.8%
Q1 - 9:52MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
54.6%
4
45.4%
Q1 - 9:54MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot5
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 10:09MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
54.4%
4
45.6%
Q1 - 10:09ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 25
54.1%
4
45.9%
Q1 - 10:09ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 25
52.9%
4
47.1%
Q1 - 10:24MILMagloire Slam Dunk (2 PTS)5
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 10:25MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
50.7%
4
49.3%
Q1 - 10:28MILMISS Ford 14' Running Jump Shot3
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 10:55ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)3
50.7%
4
49.3%
Q1 - 11:14MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 11:34ORLHill 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
48.7%
2
51.3%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Magloire: Tip to Battie0
50.6%
0
49.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.00 50.0%
ORL
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
21
34
62%
ORL
23
33
70%
Midrange
MIL
9
27
33%
ORL
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
ORL
3
4.5
6
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
21
30
70%
ORL
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ford1941%9.5 / 23
M. Redd1743%8.5 / 20
J. Magloire1478%7.0 / 9
B. Simmons1063%5.0 / 8
M. Williams1042%5.0 / 12
T. Kukoc880%4.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric750%3.5 / 7
A. Bogut643%3.0 / 7
J. Welsch2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2162%10.5 / 17
G. Hill2067%10.0 / 15
D. Howard1959%9.5 / 16
H. Turkoglu1458%7.0 / 12
D. Stevenson1267%6.0 / 9
J. Nelson1155%5.5 / 10
T. Battie867%4.0 / 6
K. Cato233%1.0 / 3
M. Kasun125%0.5 / 2
P. Garrity0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
74
+17
-15
91
ORL
79
+13
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.00 50.0%
ORL
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
106.6
MIL 104.5
ORL 121.3 +16.9
Pace
91.6
88.1
MIL 97.6 +15.1
ORL 82.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.6
MIL 14.8 +2.7
ORL 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
49.6%
MIL 46.2%
ORL 55.6% +9.4%
TO %
15.2%
16.2%
MIL 14.1%
ORL 9.8% +4.3%
ORB %
27.4%
28.6%
MIL 37.0% +5.6%
ORL 31.4%
FTrt
32.2
36.9
MIL 38.5 +4.7
ORL 33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
51.4%
MIL 41.2%
ORL 48.8% +7.6%
STL %
7.9%
7.3%
MIL 4.5%
ORL 9.0% +4.5%
BLK %
5.4%
7.2%
MIL 1.4%
ORL 3.3% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
52.5%
MIL 50.0%
ORL 56.8% +6.8%
Rim FG%
54.9%
57.7%
MIL 61.8%
ORL 69.7% +7.9%
Mid FG%
39.6%
41.0%
MIL 33.3%
ORL 41.5% +8.2%
3P %
38.0%
37.6%
MIL 23.5%
ORL 50.0% +26.5%
FT %
73.8%
73.0%
MIL 70.0%
ORL 70.4% +0.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
39.9%
MIL 43.6% +2.3%
ORL 41.3%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
47.2%
MIL 34.6% +16.6%
ORL 51.2%
3P Att. %
20.3%
12.9%
MIL 21.8% +14.3%
ORL 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILORL
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes21.925.9
Points93108
Rebounds4140
Assists1421
Steals48
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (0)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)29 (1)
Field Goals34-7843-80
At-the-Rim FG21-3423-33
Midrange FG9-2717-41
2-Point FG30-6140-74
3-Point FG4-173-6
Free Throws21-3019-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 26
40.9
17
43%
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
6
8-9
89%
3-12
25%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 165 · 23
40.4
19
41%
9
4
1
1
4
2
4
5
6-8
75%
5-15
33%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 235 · 26
35.2
10
63%
2
0
1
0
2
4
1
1
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
31.3
14
78%
9
1
0
0
1
4
3
6
0-2
0%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 260 · 21
24.5
6
43%
6
2
0
0
1
5
5
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 23
26.0
10
42%
2
2
0
0
4
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 37
22.3
8
80%
2
3
0
0
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
8.5
7
50%
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
1-4
25%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 208 · 26
8.0
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 30
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 25
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 38
#8 · F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
50%
41
14
4
1
15
0
17
24
21-30
70%
30-61
49%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.