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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 26, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks51%9493
25Magic49%93108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.3
40.9
38.0
17
43%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
8-9
89%
3-12
6-13
25%
47%
1-4
25%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 22.8
40.4
34.5
19
42%
9
4
1
1
1
4
4
5
6-8
75%
5-15
4-8
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.6
35.2
27.0
10
60%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
4-5
3-7
80%
45%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.6
31.3
32.5
14
79%
9
1
0
0
0
1
3
6
0-2
0%
7-8
4-8
88%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.1
24.5
30.4
6
44%
6
2
0
1
0
1
5
1
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.0
26.0
30.1
10
42%
2
2
0
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
45%
0-4
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37.3
22.3
17.1
8
80%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
8.5
7.9
7
52%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
1-4
25%
3-5
1-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.9
8.0
14.9
2
100%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 29.6
1.7
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
1.3
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38.0
2.3
0
0-0
48%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 18.6
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.8
44.0
38.0
21
63%
6
6
2
1
0
3
2
4
5-6
83%
8-14
5-11
57%
46%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.0
38.5
21.9
19
57%
14
0
1
1
0
2
4
10
3-4
75%
8-15
3-7
53%
52%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.2
38.0
33.2
20
67%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
10-15
6-12
67%
50%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.7
30.5
26.5
12
68%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
14.9
30.6
8
71%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-6
67%
2-3
4-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.8
31.2
25.4
14
57%
3
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
3-5
60%
4-8
2-6
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.9
26.1
24.7
11
56%
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.7
6.0
9.2
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.3
5.9
14.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.3
4.8
11.5
2
33%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
10.8
0
1-2
48%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.4
2.0
0
0-1
40%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.0
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.6
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.