FinalWin Prob.pScore
1333%93
92
467%98
97
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
95.89690.5
MIA logo MIA
103.294100.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL92
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)92
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)92
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 292
7.1%
94
92.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAHEAT Rebound92
5.2%
94
94.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot92
11.5%
94
88.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)92
5.5%
94
94.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot92
11.5%
94
88.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
9.1%
94
90.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0LALMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
12.1%
94
87.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)92
21.7%
94
78.3%
Q4 - 1:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)92
46.0%
91
54.0%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
57.3%
91
42.7%
Q4 - 1:29LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)92
43.7%
91
56.3%
Q4 - 1:29LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 291
40.6%
91
59.4%
Q4 - 1:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)91
44.7%
91
55.3%
Q4 - 1:49MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (18 PTS)91
44.7%
91
55.3%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup91
64.4%
89
35.6%
Q4 - 2:06LALGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)91
53.3%
89
46.7%
Q4 - 2:27MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)88
35.3%
89
64.7%
Q4 - 2:43LALGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)88
40.9%
87
59.1%
Q4 - 3:00MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)85
25.8%
87
74.2%
Q4 - 3:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
30.9%
85
69.1%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 185
43.4%
85
56.6%
Q4 - 3:37LALBryant 22' Jump Shot (37 PTS)85
50.7%
83
49.3%
Q4 - 3:56MIAPosey Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)83
42.2%
83
57.8%
Q4 - 4:25LALParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)83
33.0%
83
67.0%
Q4 - 4:29LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
19.1%
83
80.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS O'Neal Layup80
17.2%
83
82.8%
Q4 - 4:51LALOdom 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
13.5%
83
86.5%
Q4 - 4:53LALOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)78
9.9%
83
90.1%
Q4 - 4:55LALMISS Mihm 7' Jump Bank Shot78
7.6%
83
92.4%
Q4 - 5:14LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup78
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q4 - 5:29LALParker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)78
8.3%
83
91.7%
Q4 - 5:35MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)78
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 6:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)78
8.3%
83
91.7%
Q4 - 6:01LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 2 of 278
9.7%
83
90.3%
Q4 - 6:01LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 278
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q4 - 6:03LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
12.7%
83
87.3%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot78
11.6%
83
88.4%
Q4 - 6:24LALBryant 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)78
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q4 - 6:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)76
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 6:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Payton 6' Hook Shot76
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q4 - 6:45LALPayton STEAL (2 STL)76
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q4 - 6:47LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 6:49LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot76
5.8%
83
94.2%
Q4 - 7:02LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
8.5%
83
91.5%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 176
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q4 - 7:17LALMihm Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)76
10.5%
81
89.5%
Q4 - 7:29MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)76
13.8%
81
86.2%
Q4 - 7:38MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
10.5%
81
89.5%
Q4 - 7:40LALMISS Mihm 9' Jump Bank Shot76
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q4 - 7:49LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)76
13.8%
81
86.2%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup76
12.7%
81
87.3%
Q4 - 8:08LALMihm 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)76
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q4 - 8:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
9.4%
81
90.6%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 274
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q4 - 8:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
9.3%
80
90.7%
Q4 - 8:30LALMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
10.0%
80
90.0%
Q4 - 8:40LALLakers Rebound74
11.8%
80
88.2%
Q4 - 8:41LALMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)74
10.0%
80
90.0%
Q4 - 8:52LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)74
11.7%
80
88.3%
Q4 - 8:54MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot74
10.9%
80
89.1%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
10.0%
80
90.0%
Q4 - 9:08LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 174
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q4 - 9:21MIAPayton Driving Layup (18 PTS)72
8.1%
80
91.9%
Q4 - 9:38LALWalker STEAL (2 STL)72
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q4 - 9:52MIAPayton Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)72
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q4 - 9:56LALWade STEAL (1 STL)72
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMourning Layup (3 PTS)72
19.4%
76
80.6%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
22.9%
74
77.1%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS Wade Layup72
26.1%
74
73.9%
Q4 - 10:27MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
22.9%
74
77.1%
Q4 - 10:29LALWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)72
24.2%
74
75.8%
Q4 - 10:54MIAKapono 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)72
27.5%
74
72.5%
Q4 - 11:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
32.2%
72
67.8%
Q4 - 11:04LALMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)72
33.7%
72
66.3%
Q4 - 11:20MIAPayton Driving Layup (14 PTS)72
37.3%
72
62.7%
Q4 - 11:35LALWalton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
42.2%
70
57.8%
Q4 - 11:44LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
37.3%
70
62.7%
Q4 - 11:46LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot70
33.7%
70
66.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
37.3%
70
62.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
32.1%
70
67.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
33.7%
70
66.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAWalker Driving Layup (6 PTS)70
36.7%
70
63.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0LALPayton STEAL (1 STL)70
41.7%
68
58.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)70
46.8%
68
53.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 270
48.7%
67
51.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
46.8%
67
53.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0LALMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
48.4%
67
51.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
51.9%
67
48.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0LALMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)70
48.4%
67
51.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
52.0%
67
48.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
50.4%
67
49.6%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHEAT Rebound70
45.6%
67
54.4%
Q3 - 1:12LALMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
47.1%
67
52.9%
Q3 - 1:33MIAPayton 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
50.7%
67
49.3%
Q3 - 1:37MIAHEAT Rebound70
55.4%
65
44.6%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot70
58.9%
65
41.1%
Q3 - 1:57LALCook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)70
55.5%
65
44.5%
Q3 - 2:05LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
44.6%
65
55.4%
Q3 - 2:07LALMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
41.1%
65
58.9%
Q3 - 2:20MIAWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)67
44.6%
65
55.4%
Q3 - 2:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
39.7%
65
60.3%
Q3 - 2:29LALMISS Vujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
41.2%
65
58.8%
Q3 - 2:46MIAPayton 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
44.7%
65
55.3%
Q3 - 2:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
49.0%
63
51.0%
Q3 - 2:59LALMISS Brown Layup67
50.5%
63
49.5%
Q3 - 3:12LALCook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
53.2%
63
46.8%
Q3 - 3:14LALMISS Cook 12' Jump Shot67
49.9%
63
50.1%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)67
53.2%
63
46.8%
Q3 - 3:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
48.4%
63
51.6%
Q3 - 3:38LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
49.9%
63
50.1%
Q3 - 3:49LALBryant Free Throw Technical (33 PTS)67
53.2%
63
46.8%
Q3 - 3:59MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS)66
48.7%
63
51.3%
Q3 - 4:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)66
51.3%
61
48.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot66
54.7%
61
45.3%
Q3 - 4:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)66
51.4%
61
48.6%
Q3 - 4:19LALMISS Brown 7' Jump Shot66
52.9%
61
47.1%
Q3 - 4:35MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T11)66
56.4%
61
43.6%
Q3 - 4:44LALBryant 17' Jump Shot (32 PTS)66
51.5%
61
48.5%
Q3 - 4:54MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
47.8%
61
52.2%
Q3 - 4:54MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q3 - 5:05MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)64
50.8%
59
49.2%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
53.8%
59
46.2%
Q3 - 5:12MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
50.8%
59
49.2%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Williams Layup64
53.9%
59
46.1%
Q3 - 5:19LALWalker STEAL (1 STL)64
50.8%
59
49.2%
Q3 - 5:28LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)64
55.2%
59
44.8%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot64
53.9%
59
46.1%
Q3 - 5:50LALCook 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)64
50.8%
59
49.2%
Q3 - 6:05LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)62
45.9%
59
54.1%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Walker 8' Hook Shot62
44.6%
59
55.4%
Q3 - 6:27LALOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)62
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q3 - 6:31MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)62
46.0%
59
54.0%
Q3 - 6:47LALCook 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)62
41.8%
59
58.2%
Q3 - 7:01LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)60
37.7%
59
62.3%
Q3 - 7:03LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
34.9%
59
65.1%
Q3 - 7:26LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
37.7%
59
62.3%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot60
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 7:40LALOdom Foul Turnover (P2.T11)60
33.7%
59
66.3%
Q3 - 8:01MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)60
37.5%
59
62.5%
Q3 - 8:12LALBryant 12' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS)60
40.6%
57
59.4%
Q3 - 8:24MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)58
37.5%
57
62.5%
Q3 - 8:37LALBryant Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)58
33.6%
57
66.4%
Q3 - 8:47MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
37.5%
57
62.5%
Q3 - 8:47MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
38.1%
56
61.9%
Q3 - 9:02LALCook 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)58
39.9%
55
60.1%
Q3 - 9:15LALLakers Rebound56
36.5%
55
63.5%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
35.5%
55
64.5%
Q3 - 9:38LALMihm Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)56
33.1%
55
66.9%
Q3 - 9:39LALMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
36.6%
55
63.4%
Q3 - 9:40LALMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot56
34.2%
55
65.8%
Q3 - 9:48LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
36.6%
55
63.4%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
35.5%
55
64.5%
Q3 - 10:00LALBryant 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS)56
33.2%
55
66.8%
Q3 - 10:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
29.9%
55
70.1%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 254
31.2%
54
68.8%
Q3 - 10:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)54
29.5%
54
70.5%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Payton 15' Jump Shot54
31.9%
54
68.1%
Q3 - 10:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)54
29.5%
54
70.5%
Q3 - 10:23LALMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
30.5%
54
69.5%
Q3 - 10:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
32.9%
54
67.1%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 254
34.3%
53
65.7%
Q3 - 10:34LALBryant Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)54
32.6%
53
67.4%
Q3 - 10:54LALMihm Dunk (7 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)53
29.5%
53
70.5%
Q3 - 11:05LALBryant Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (25 PTS)51
26.7%
53
73.3%
Q3 - 11:05LALMISS Bryant Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 250
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q3 - 11:15MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)50
24.1%
53
75.9%
Q3 - 11:28LALCook Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
21.5%
53
78.5%
Q3 - 11:28LALCook Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
21.1%
53
78.9%
Q3 - 11:28LALCook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q3 - 11:29LALMISS Mihm 17' Jump Shot48
17.9%
53
82.1%
Q3 - 11:31LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q3 - 11:33LALWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)48
17.9%
53
82.1%
Q3 - 11:35LALMihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q3 - 11:37LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q3 - 11:37LALMISS Mihm Tip Shot48
17.9%
53
82.1%
Q3 - 11:39LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot48
17.9%
53
82.1%
Q3 - 11:47MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)48
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL48
17.2%
53
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALLakers Rebound48
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALMISS Bryant 32' 3PT Jump Shot48
17.9%
53
82.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)48
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
22.2%
51
77.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup48
23.4%
51
76.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)48
22.2%
51
77.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)45
20.0%
49
80.0%
Q2 - 1:00LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 145
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q2 - 1:11LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)43
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 243
17.4%
49
82.6%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 243
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q2 - 1:12MIAHEAT Rebound43
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q2 - 1:13LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
16.9%
49
83.1%
Q2 - 1:17LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)43
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q2 - 1:19LALMISS George 12' Jump Shot43
16.9%
49
83.1%
Q2 - 1:26LALParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot43
17.3%
49
82.7%
Q2 - 1:49LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)43
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q2 - 1:49LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)42
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q2 - 2:04MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T6)41
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q2 - 2:19LALOdom Tip Shot (6 PTS)41
13.4%
49
86.6%
Q2 - 2:20LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)39
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q2 - 2:22LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
11.1%
49
88.9%
Q2 - 2:28LALBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)39
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup39
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 2:42LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)39
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q2 - 2:42LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)38
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q2 - 2:45LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q2 - 2:47MIAMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup37
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 2:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)37
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMISS Wade Slam Dunk37
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 3:03LALParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
8.9%
49
91.1%
Q2 - 3:03LALParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
8.7%
49
91.3%
Q2 - 3:14LALBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)35
8.1%
49
91.9%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot35
7.8%
49
92.2%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
7.1%
49
92.9%
Q2 - 3:23LALMISS Wafer 20' Jump Shot35
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q2 - 3:39MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)35
8.1%
49
91.9%
Q2 - 3:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 3:42LALMISS Brown Tip Shot35
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 3:43LALBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)35
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 3:45LALMISS Wafer 21' Jump Shot35
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 3:52LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)35
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot35
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 4:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)35
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 4:11LALMISS Odom 9' Hook Shot35
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 4:20LALMihm REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot35
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 4:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 4:30LALMISS Bryant Driving Layup35
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 4:38LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot35
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 4:58LALMihm Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)35
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 5:17MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)32
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q2 - 5:38LALMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)32
10.7%
43
89.3%
Q2 - 5:46LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
11.6%
43
88.4%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot32
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 5:58LALParker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)32
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q2 - 6:04LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
12.0%
43
88.0%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot32
11.6%
43
88.4%
Q2 - 6:20LALMihm 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)32
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)30
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 6:47LALWilliams STEAL (1 STL)30
8.7%
43
91.3%
Q2 - 7:02MIAWalker 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)30
10.3%
43
89.7%
Q2 - 7:18LALGeorge Foul Turnover (P1.T6)30
11.2%
41
88.8%
Q2 - 7:25MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)30
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 7:40LALBryant 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Walton 1 AST)30
11.2%
41
88.8%
Q2 - 8:03MIAPayton Driving Layup (6 PTS)28
10.4%
41
89.6%
Q2 - 8:17LALWalton Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)28
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 8:34MIAPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 8:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 8:53LALMISS Brown 5' Hook Shot28
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 9:12MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)28
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 9:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 9:18MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Posey Layup28
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 9:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 9:30LALMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
16.8%
35
83.2%
Q2 - 9:39MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)28
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q2 - 9:55LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 9:55LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
16.0%
35
84.0%
Q2 - 10:03MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)26
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 10:13MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 10:15LALMISS Walton 7' Jump Shot26
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 10:38MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)26
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 10:51LALLakers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)26
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWade Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)26
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q2 - 11:21MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q2 - 11:22LALMISS Walton 19' Jump Shot26
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 11:39LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
21.0%
31
79.0%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot26
20.5%
31
79.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL26
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
21.0%
31
79.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)26
20.8%
31
79.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)26
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 223
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 2 of 223
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)23
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0LALBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
19.3%
28
80.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot22
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q1 - 1:13MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)22
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q1 - 1:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
22.9%
25
77.1%
Q1 - 1:20LALMISS Odom 15' Turnaround Jump Shot22
23.2%
25
76.8%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWade Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)22
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 1:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q1 - 1:44LALMISS Vujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 2:00MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
27.8%
23
72.2%
Q1 - 2:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
30.0%
21
70.0%
Q1 - 2:08LALMISS Vujacic Driving Layup22
30.6%
21
69.4%
Q1 - 2:11LALBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
31.9%
21
68.1%
Q1 - 2:13LALMISS Bryant 13' Jump Shot22
30.6%
21
69.4%
Q1 - 2:34MIAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
31.9%
21
68.1%
Q1 - 2:52LALBryant 16' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)22
34.1%
19
65.9%
Q1 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
31.7%
19
68.3%
Q1 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)20
32.1%
18
67.9%
Q1 - 3:18LALOdom 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)20
33.5%
17
66.5%
Q1 - 3:30LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot18
31.1%
17
68.9%
Q1 - 3:46LALOdom Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)18
29.6%
17
70.4%
Q1 - 4:09LALBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
31.5%
17
68.5%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 218
31.2%
17
68.8%
Q1 - 4:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
30.0%
17
70.0%
Q1 - 4:30LALCook 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
31.1%
16
68.9%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 4:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot16
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 4:56LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)16
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 4:56LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 215
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 5:00LALBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 5:01LALMISS Bryant 16' Jump Shot15
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 5:16LALBryant Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)15
30.9%
14
69.1%
Q1 - 5:24LALParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
29.1%
14
70.9%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup14
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 5:39LALBryant 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)14
27.2%
14
72.8%
Q1 - 5:57MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 6:15MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 6:17LALMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot12
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)12
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 6:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 6:49LALMISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot12
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 7:01LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot12
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 7:23LALCook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 7:39LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 7:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 7:49LALO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)12
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 8:04MIAWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS)12
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 8:15LALBrown Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
33.1%
8
66.9%
Q1 - 8:27MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)10
31.7%
8
68.3%
Q1 - 8:52LALBryant 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)10
34.8%
5
65.2%
Q1 - 9:04MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
33.3%
5
66.7%
Q1 - 9:20LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 9:20LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
34.2%
3
65.8%
Q1 - 9:42LALParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
33.3%
3
66.7%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot6
32.6%
3
67.4%
Q1 - 10:03LALCook 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)6
31.1%
3
68.9%
Q1 - 10:22MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
29.8%
3
70.2%
Q1 - 10:29LALBryant Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
31.1%
1
68.9%
Q1 - 10:35LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.8%
1
70.2%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup2
29.2%
1
70.8%
Q1 - 10:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.0%
1
72.0%
Q1 - 10:58LALMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.5%
1
71.5%
Q1 - 11:06LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.5%
1
70.5%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot2
29.0%
1
71.0%
Q1 - 11:13MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
28.1%
1
71.9%
Q1 - 11:25LALParker 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)2
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 11:37MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:46LALMihm Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Mihm: Tip to Odom0
28.0%
0
72.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.93 46.5%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
9
20
45%
MIA
21
40
53%
Midrange
LAL
21
44
48%
MIA
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
3
4.5
21
14%
21%
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
LAL
23
31
74%
MIA
22
33
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant3751%18.5 / 36
B. Cook1575%7.5 / 10
L. Odom1450%7.0 / 14
C. Mihm956%4.5 / 8
S. Parker758%3.5 / 6
D. George660%3.0 / 5
K. Brown217%1.0 / 6
L. Walton220%1.0 / 5
S. Vujacic0-0.0 / 3
V. Wafer0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Payton2188%10.5 / 12
S. O'Neal1845%9.0 / 20
D. Wade1843%9.0 / 21
J. Williams1447%7.0 / 15
J. Posey857%4.0 / 7
A. Walker643%3.0 / 7
U. Haslem542%2.5 / 6
J. Kapono4100%2.0 / 2
A. Mourning338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
78
+21
-18
99
MIA
77
+17
-17
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.93 46.5%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
108.0
LAL 95.8 +7.4
MIA 103.2
Pace
91.4
92.2
LAL 90.5
MIA 100.0 +9.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.9
LAL 15.9
MIA 14.4 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
51.7%
LAL 40.6%
MIA 46.9% +6.3%
TO %
14.5%
15.0%
LAL 16.2%
MIA 15.2% +1.0%
ORB %
28.8%
26.8%
LAL 37.3% +4.0%
MIA 33.3%
FTrt
32.9
36.3
LAL 36.5
MIA 41.3 +4.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
55.7%
LAL 60.6% +13.4%
MIA 47.2%
STL %
8.3%
6.9%
LAL 5.2%
MIA 6.4% +1.2%
BLK %
6.7%
8.5%
LAL 13.2% +2.3%
MIA 10.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.9%
LAL 46.5%
MIA 51.1% +4.6%
Rim FG%
59.0%
64.2%
LAL 45.0%
MIA 52.5% +7.5%
Mid FG%
40.2%
38.9%
LAL 47.7% +4.8%
MIA 42.9%
3P %
34.9%
34.5%
LAL 14.3%
MIA 25.0% +10.7%
FT %
74.5%
70.0%
LAL 74.2% +7.5%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
39.3%
LAL 23.5%
MIA 50.0% +26.5%
Mid Att. %
42.3%
38.0%
LAL 51.8%
MIA 35.0% +16.8%
3P Att. %
24.0%
22.7%
LAL 24.7% +9.7%
MIA 15.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points9297
Rebounds4947
Assists2017
Steals56
Blocks97
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (2)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)32 (3)
Field Goals33-8536-80
At-the-Rim FG9-2021-40
Midrange FG21-4412-28
2-Point FG30-6433-68
3-Point FG3-213-12
Free Throws23-3122-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 230 · 26
44.4
14
50%
16
6
1
2
4
4
4
12
4-6
67%
5-7
71%
0-5
0%
G · 6'6" 212 · 27
44.3
37
51%
8
6
0
2
3
5
2
6
13-19
68%
12-22
55%
0-8
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
36.4
7
58%
3
4
1
0
2
4
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
20.9
15
75%
2
0
0
2
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
20.7
9
56%
4
0
0
0
4
5
3
1
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 24
27.1
2
17%
7
1
1
0
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
20.8
6
60%
4
1
1
3
2
5
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'7" 195 · 22
13.9
0
0%
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
10.1
2
20%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 209 · 20
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 285 · 18
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23
#9 · G-F · 6'5" 204 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · F · 6'10" 253 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 6'5" 209 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
47%
49
20
5
9
18
0
19
30
23-31
74%
30-64
47%
3-21
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.