FinalWin Prob.pScore
534%86
70
166%91
85
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
86.48182.5
DET logo DET
102.48381.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET70
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASMohammed Layup (10 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)70
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETMaxiell 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)68
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASMohammed Layup (8 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)68
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 266
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 266
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10SASMISS Van Exel 13' Jump Shot66
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19DETHamilton Layup (11 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)66
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:14)66
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot66
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42DETHamilton 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)66
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25DETWallace Tip Shot (14 PTS)66
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 2:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 2:28DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot66
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 2:42DETPISTONS Rebound66
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 2:43DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 2:58DETPISTONS Rebound66
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 2:59DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot66
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 3:14DETPISTONS Rebound66
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 3:16SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot66
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 3:33DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)66
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 3:58SASParker Driving Layup (19 PTS)66
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 4:10DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)64
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q4 - 4:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:13)64
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q4 - 4:13DETMISS Billups Layup64
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q4 - 4:19DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q4 - 4:21SASMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot64
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q4 - 4:40SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q4 - 4:43DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot64
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q4 - 4:54DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)64
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q4 - 4:56DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot64
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q4 - 5:10SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)64
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q4 - 5:10SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q4 - 5:27DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)62
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q4 - 5:57SASMohammed Dunk (6 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)62
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q4 - 6:00SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q4 - 6:02DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot60
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q4 - 6:17DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)60
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q4 - 6:17SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 260
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q4 - 6:17SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q4 - 6:29DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)59
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q4 - 6:32DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)59
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q4 - 6:34DETMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot59
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q4 - 6:42DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)59
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q4 - 6:45SASMISS Parker 8' Hook Shot59
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q4 - 7:16SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q4 - 7:17DETMISS Wallace Layup59
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q4 - 7:33SASMohammed Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T8)59
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q4 - 7:53DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q4 - 7:53DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 259
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q4 - 8:08DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q4 - 8:09SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 159
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q4 - 8:28DETArroyo Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)57
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q4 - 8:45DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q4 - 8:48SASWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)57
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q4 - 8:59DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)57
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q4 - 9:24SASDuncan Tip Shot (16 PTS)57
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q4 - 9:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)55
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q4 - 9:27SASMISS Van Exel Layup55
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q4 - 9:47DETMcDyess Dunk (10 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)55
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q4 - 10:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
10.1%
61
89.9%
Q4 - 10:03SASMISS Duncan 8' Hook Shot55
11.6%
61
88.4%
Q4 - 10:25DETMcDyess Layup (8 PTS)55
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q4 - 10:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
16.0%
59
84.0%
Q4 - 10:39DETMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot55
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q4 - 10:58SASVan Exel 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
16.0%
59
84.0%
Q4 - 11:15DETWallace Tip Shot (8 PTS)53
14.1%
59
85.9%
Q4 - 11:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q4 - 11:18DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot53
19.1%
57
80.9%
Q4 - 11:36DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q4 - 11:39SASMISS Duncan 9' Hook Shot53
17.7%
57
82.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET53
20.1%
57
79.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot53
19.5%
57
80.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)53
17.4%
57
82.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot53
19.5%
57
80.5%
Q3 - 0:11.0SASDuncan 13' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)53
17.4%
57
82.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)51
14.6%
57
85.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)51
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)49
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 249
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 1:27SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)49
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 1:46SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
10.7%
54
89.3%
Q3 - 1:47DETMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot46
10.2%
54
89.8%
Q3 - 2:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
9.4%
54
90.6%
Q3 - 2:06DETMISS Evans Dunk46
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q3 - 2:11SASBillups STEAL (1 STL)46
9.4%
54
90.6%
Q3 - 2:37DETPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)46
11.2%
54
88.8%
Q3 - 2:50DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q3 - 2:52SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot46
16.1%
51
83.9%
Q3 - 3:09DETEvans Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)46
18.6%
51
81.4%
Q3 - 3:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)46
21.3%
49
78.7%
Q3 - 3:14DETMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
23.6%
49
76.4%
Q3 - 3:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)46
21.3%
49
78.7%
Q3 - 3:28SASMISS Mohammed 14' Hook Shot46
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q3 - 3:33SASSpurs Rebound46
24.6%
49
75.4%
Q3 - 3:34SASMISS Barry Layup46
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q3 - 3:43SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
24.6%
49
75.4%
Q3 - 3:46DETMISS Billups Layup46
23.5%
49
76.5%
Q3 - 3:56SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q3 - 3:56SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
20.4%
49
79.6%
Q3 - 4:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)44
18.8%
49
81.2%
Q3 - 4:13DETMISS Wallace Layup44
17.9%
49
82.1%
Q3 - 4:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)44
15.9%
49
84.1%
Q3 - 4:17DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.9%
49
82.1%
Q3 - 4:23DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
15.9%
49
84.1%
Q3 - 4:25DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot44
17.9%
49
82.1%
Q3 - 4:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
15.9%
49
84.1%
Q3 - 4:31SASWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)44
16.8%
49
83.2%
Q3 - 4:36DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)44
18.8%
49
81.2%
Q3 - 4:58SASMohammed 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
16.0%
49
84.0%
Q3 - 5:08SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
14.5%
49
85.5%
Q3 - 5:10DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot42
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q3 - 5:29SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)42
12.4%
49
87.6%
Q3 - 5:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)40
10.8%
49
89.2%
Q3 - 5:46DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot40
10.2%
49
89.8%
Q3 - 5:48SASWallace STEAL (1 STL)40
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q3 - 6:10DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)40
11.2%
49
88.8%
Q3 - 6:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)40
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q3 - 6:11DETMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot40
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q3 - 6:28DETPISTONS Rebound40
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q3 - 6:29SASMISS Parker Layup40
15.3%
46
84.7%
Q3 - 6:46DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q3 - 7:08SASDuncan Dunk (12 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)40
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q3 - 7:20SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
17.2%
44
82.8%
Q3 - 7:22SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot38
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q3 - 7:35DETWallace Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T8)38
17.2%
44
82.8%
Q3 - 7:59SASParker Layup (12 PTS)38
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q3 - 8:03DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)36
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q3 - 8:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)36
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q3 - 8:18SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot36
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q3 - 8:24SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q3 - 8:25SASMISS Mohammed Layup36
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q3 - 8:40SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q3 - 8:42DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot36
12.9%
44
87.1%
Q3 - 9:03SASDuncan Dunk (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)36
11.8%
44
88.2%
Q3 - 9:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)34
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q3 - 9:19DETMISS Hamilton Layup34
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q3 - 9:32DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q3 - 9:33SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot34
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q3 - 9:52DETWallace 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)34
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q3 - 10:12SASMohammed Tip Shot (2 PTS)34
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q3 - 10:14SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q3 - 10:15SASMISS Duncan Layup32
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q3 - 10:28DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q3 - 10:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)32
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q3 - 10:32DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot32
10.3%
42
89.7%
Q3 - 10:44DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q3 - 10:46SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot32
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q3 - 10:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q3 - 10:57DETMISS Billups Layup32
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q3 - 11:18SASBowen 14' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)32
9.6%
42
90.4%
Q3 - 11:40DETWallace Driving Layup (5 PTS)30
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET30
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)30
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)30
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Parker Layup30
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
11.1%
40
88.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASMISS Barry 13' Running Jump Shot30
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q2 - 1:05DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)30
14.3%
38
85.7%
Q2 - 1:26DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
13.5%
38
86.5%
Q2 - 1:29SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 230
13.6%
38
86.4%
Q2 - 1:29SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
14.7%
38
85.3%
Q2 - 1:39DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 1:39DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 229
13.5%
37
86.5%
Q2 - 2:06SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
13.5%
37
86.5%
Q2 - 2:14SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 2:16DETMISS Delfino Layup29
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 2:27DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
13.5%
37
86.5%
Q2 - 2:29SASMISS Horry 21' Jump Shot29
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 2:49SASSpurs Rebound29
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 2:50DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot29
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 3:11SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)29
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 3:26DETBillups Driving Layup (8 PTS)26
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 3:37SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)26
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 3:41DETWallace Tip Shot (2 PTS)26
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 3:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)26
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q2 - 3:45DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot26
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 4:04DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
15.6%
33
84.4%
Q2 - 4:06SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot26
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 4:32DETBillups 15' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)26
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 4:48SASNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 4:48SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 225
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q2 - 5:02SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q2 - 5:04DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot25
18.4%
31
81.6%
Q2 - 5:15DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 5:17SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot25
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 5:31DETWallace 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q2 - 5:46SASDuncan Driving Dunk (8 PTS)25
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 6:00SASFinley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)23
19.0%
29
81.0%
Q2 - 6:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 6:03DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot22
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q2 - 6:16DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q2 - 6:18DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 6:40DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q2 - 6:42SASMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot22
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q2 - 6:55SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 6:57DETMISS Wallace Layup22
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 7:22SASBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)22
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q2 - 7:38DETEvans Tip Shot (4 PTS)20
15.0%
29
85.0%
Q2 - 7:39DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q2 - 7:41DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot20
17.4%
27
82.6%
Q2 - 8:03SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)20
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q2 - 8:23DETEvans Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)18
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q2 - 8:42SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)18
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q2 - 8:54SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
15.2%
25
84.8%
Q2 - 8:56DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot16
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q2 - 9:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.9%
25
86.1%
Q2 - 9:04SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot16
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q2 - 9:07DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)16
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q2 - 9:34SASVan Exel Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
13.9%
25
86.1%
Q2 - 9:57DETArroyo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q2 - 10:17SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)14
14.1%
23
85.9%
Q2 - 10:33DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)12
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q2 - 10:56SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)12
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q2 - 11:15DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
13.1%
21
86.9%
Q2 - 11:27SASHorry 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)10
12.0%
21
88.0%
Q2 - 11:49DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)8
11.0%
21
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET8
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound8
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot8
14.0%
18
86.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
13.4%
18
86.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETMcDyess Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)8
14.2%
18
85.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)8
15.7%
16
84.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot8
16.0%
16
84.0%
Q1 - 1:00DETPrince Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)8
16.7%
16
83.3%
Q1 - 1:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)8
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 1:05SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
18.8%
14
81.2%
Q1 - 1:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 1:21DETMISS Hamilton 10' Running Jump Shot8
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 1:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)8
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 1:36SASMISS Van Exel 16' Jump Shot8
18.8%
14
81.2%
Q1 - 1:52SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 1:54DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot8
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 2:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 2:08SASMISS Horry 15' Jump Shot8
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 2:23DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 2:23DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 2:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 2:42SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 3:01DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)8
23.1%
12
76.9%
Q1 - 3:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)8
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 3:22SASMISS Parker Layup8
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 3:38SASSpurs Rebound8
26.5%
10
73.5%
Q1 - 3:39DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot8
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 3:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 3:47SASMISS Nesterovic 8' Hook Shot8
25.2%
10
74.8%
Q1 - 3:58SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
26.5%
10
73.5%
Q1 - 4:00DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 4:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)8
24.3%
10
75.7%
Q1 - 4:07SASMISS Parker 11' Running Jump Shot8
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 4:34SASSpurs Rebound8
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 4:35DETMISS Billups Layup8
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 4:55SASParker Driving Layup (8 PTS)8
24.3%
10
75.7%
Q1 - 5:10SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 5:12SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot6
21.8%
10
78.2%
Q1 - 5:37DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 5:37DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 5:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 5:42DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot6
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 5:53SASWallace STEAL (1 STL)6
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 6:04SASSpurs Rebound6
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 6:05SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot6
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 6:31DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 6:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 6:46SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot6
27.9%
6
72.1%
Q1 - 7:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
28.9%
6
71.1%
Q1 - 7:10DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot6
28.4%
6
71.6%
Q1 - 7:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 7:22SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot6
27.7%
6
72.3%
Q1 - 7:38DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
28.9%
6
71.1%
Q1 - 7:38DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
29.0%
5
71.0%
Q1 - 7:42DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 7:44SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot6
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 7:56DETPrince Layup (2 PTS)6
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 8:10SASParker Palming Turnover (P1.T1)6
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 8:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 8:17DETMISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot6
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 8:47SASParker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 8:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 8:53DETMISS Wallace Alley Oop Dunk4
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 8:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 9:01SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot4
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 9:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 9:27SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot4
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 9:49SASSpurs Rebound4
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 9:50DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot4
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 10:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 10:08SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 24
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 10:08SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 24
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:23DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 10:45SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 10:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 10:52DETMISS Billups Layup2
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 11:04SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 11:20DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)0
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 11:37DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 11:39SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Parker0
28.3%
0
71.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.86 43.2%
DET
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
24
67%
DET
16
29
55%
Midrange
SAS
12
44
27%
DET
13
40
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
DET
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
SAS
8
14
57%
DET
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1948%9.5 / 20
T. Duncan1843%9.0 / 21
N. Mohammed1071%5.0 / 7
B. Bowen975%4.5 / 6
N. Van Exel433%2.0 / 6
M. Finley321%1.5 / 7
R. Horry321%1.5 / 7
B. Barry338%1.5 / 4
R. Nesterovic117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2050%10.0 / 20
R. Wallace1444%7.0 / 16
R. Hamilton1134%5.5 / 16
B. Wallace1063%5.0 / 8
A. McDyess1056%5.0 / 9
T. Prince950%4.5 / 9
M. Evans650%3.0 / 6
C. Arroyo375%1.5 / 2
J. Maxiell250%1.0 / 2
C. Delfino0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
73
+8
-8
81
DET
73
+21
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.86 43.2%
DET
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
110.1
SAS 86.4 +16.0
DET 102.4
Pace
88.8
87.4
SAS 82.5 +1.1
DET 81.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
17.3
SAS 17.4 +0.2
DET 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
49.7%
SAS 41.3%
DET 44.5% +3.2%
TO %
14.8%
12.2%
SAS 9.0% +1.1%
DET 10.1%
ORB %
26.1%
28.9%
SAS 13.3%
DET 42.9% +29.6%
FTrt
29.8
29.7
SAS 18.7
DET 20.7 +2.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
66.1%
SAS 50.0%
DET 50.0%
STL %
7.4%
8.0%
SAS 8.6% +5.0%
DET 3.6%
BLK %
8.4%
9.0%
SAS 2.9%
DET 2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
52.1%
SAS 43.2%
DET 45.2% +2.0%
Rim FG%
61.7%
59.0%
SAS 66.7% +11.5%
DET 55.2%
Mid FG%
39.0%
41.0%
SAS 27.3%
DET 32.5% +5.2%
3P %
38.5%
38.4%
SAS 28.6%
DET 38.5% +9.9%
FT %
70.2%
72.7%
SAS 57.1%
DET 70.6% +13.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
28.3%
SAS 32.0%
DET 35.4% +3.4%
Mid Att. %
41.8%
49.6%
SAS 58.7%
DET 48.8% +9.9%
3P Att. %
21.5%
22.1%
SAS 9.3%
DET 15.9% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDET
Possessions8183
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points7085
Rebounds3057
Assists1517
Steals73
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (4)39 (2)
Field Goals30-7534-82
At-the-Rim FG16-2416-29
Midrange FG12-4413-40
2-Point FG28-6829-69
3-Point FG2-75-13
Free Throws8-1412-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 35
40.5
9
75%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
38.9
19
48%
1
4
3
0
2
1
0
1
5-6
83%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 30
38.6
18
43%
11
1
2
1
2
3
2
9
0-3
0%
9-20
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 33
27.8
3
21%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 30
15.7
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35
23.3
3
21%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
18.4
4
33%
1
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 28
17.1
10
71%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 34
15.8
3
38%
2
1
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 31
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
1.3
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
70
43%
30
15
7
2
8
0
6
24
8-14
57%
28-68
41%
2-7
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.