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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 23, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks49%99101
13SuperSonics51%10098
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
39.8
36.3
34
64%
13
7
1
1
0
1
1
12
15-15
100%
8-18
8-16
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
37.8
29.4
19
65%
2
5
2
1
0
4
0
2
6-8
75%
2-5
4-7
40%
51%
3-6
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
36.7
37.6
20
66%
3
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
4-5
80%
8-13
6-12
62%
50%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
33.4
23.1
8
67%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.5
20.5
27.5
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
17.1
19.7
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
17.0
29.3
7
74%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-3
5-9
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.1
15.7
20.8
8
45%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
43%
0-3
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
7.7
4.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.9
7.2
17.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
7.0
4.1
3
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
3.1
0
0-1
52%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.8
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.9
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
40.0
36.8
16
46%
12
4
2
1
2
2
3
9
2-3
67%
7-14
5-10
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
35.9
39.3
19
43%
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
47%
1-7
14%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
30.9
32.7
9
46%
2
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.6
20.0
30.1
4
67%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.8
14.5
13.4
3
41%
4
0
0
0
0
3
3
1
3-6
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
25.4
20.9
6
75%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
23.4
17.2
15
43%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
3-12
3-6
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
23.1
19.7
20
75%
9
1
0
1
0
0
3
6
2-3
67%
6-7
1-3
86%
45%
2-5
40%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.7
21.3
9.8
6
61%
9
0
1
0
0
2
5
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.9
2.7
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.3
1.9
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 25.9
0.9
13.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.1
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.5
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.