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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 23, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards28%98112
3Suns72%106111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.8
44.2
28.2
26
56%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
6-7
86%
10-19
5-11
53%
44%
0-1
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
43.5
40.5
41
72%
3
5
1
2
0
5
0
3
5-10
50%
9-15
6-13
60%
45%
6-9
67%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
41.3
39.3
22
51%
13
0
0
1
0
3
3
10
5-6
83%
7-18
6-13
39%
46%
1-1
100%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
31.9
21.9
9
46%
12
3
1
1
0
3
6
6
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.1
27.1
26.7
5
51%
8
0
0
1
0
1
0
8
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.8
19.2
22.9
2
35%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.9
17.0
12.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.4
8.8
21.1
6
75%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
2-2
100%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.6
7.0
2.7
1
57%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.7
17.0
0
2-4
49%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.7
1.6
0
0-0
43%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.4
1.2
0
0-0
40%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.6
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
43.4
38.0
15
63%
2
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
3-4
75%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.6
38.9
39.6
12
55%
9
2
4
2
2
0
1
8
1-2
50%
4-6
6-12
67%
52%
1-4
25%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.2
37.3
16.2
18
68%
7
3
2
0
0
0
1
6
1-3
33%
4-8
1-2
50%
45%
3-4
75%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 31.9
35.6
32.4
27
64%
4
9
0
1
0
2
1
3
7-9
78%
4-9
4-9
44%
52%
4-8
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
24.8
23.3
18
77%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
48%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
23.8
32.6
8
51%
3
3
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
20.1
24.9
9
30%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-13
4-8
23%
47%
1-2
50%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
8.6
9.8
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
7.6
17.0
2
100%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.1
7.4
0
1-2
53%
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.8
2.5
0
0-1
50%
Sharrod Ford
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.1
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.