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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 23, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Warriors22%9085
1Pistons78%9997
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.7
42.8
35.2
14
41%
1
10
0
2
0
3
0
1
0-2
0%
7-15
4-9
47%
43%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
35.1
37.2
14
44%
9
2
1
1
2
2
3
6
1-2
50%
2-10
6-12
20%
47%
3-5
60%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.6
30.1
36.2
11
38%
11
0
0
1
0
1
3
8
2-3
67%
3-10
4-9
30%
44%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.3
23.7
28.9
7
70%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.8
13.1
23.8
2
20%
6
2
0
0
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.3
31.6
5.0
27
85%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
13-15
1-2
87%
46%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.4
30.8
26.5
4
29%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.6
17.9
9.4
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.4
11.6
11.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.7
3.3
15.6
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.2
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Aaron Miles
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.7
3.4
0
0-1
39%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.8
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.3
43.1
33.6
19
53%
6
3
0
1
2
2
0
6
1-2
50%
6-8
4-8
75%
48%
2-9
22%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.2
35.5
34.7
10
50%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
7-7
100%
0-0
4-8
-
46%
1-7
14%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.3
35.3
38.2
15
59%
14
2
2
2
2
0
6
8
1-6
17%
7-10
3-7
70%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.9
33.2
35.9
28
67%
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
12-19
7-14
63%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.8
29.4
34.5
4
25%
1
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
18.6
10.3
4
42%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
17.6
15.5
4
50%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
14.8
13.8
13
66%
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.4
12.5
12.5
0
0%
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.5
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.7
2.7
0
0-0
48%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.8
2.5
0
0-1
49%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.6
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.9
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.