FinalWin Prob.pScore
640%94
95
760%98
88
ORTG#PossPace
NJN
96.09996.8
MIA logo MIA
91.79698.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0NJN95
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0NJNCarter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)95
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)95
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (51 PTS)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (50 PTS)94
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot93
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (49 PTS)93
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (48 PTS)92
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAKapono Driving Layup (5 PTS)91
98.9%
85
1.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (47 PTS)91
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (46 PTS)90
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)89
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)89
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 0:53.0NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (45 PTS)89
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q4 - 0:53.0NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (44 PTS)88
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)87
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 1:06NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (43 PTS)87
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 1:06NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (42 PTS)86
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 1:07MIAWalker Layup (6 PTS)85
98.6%
78
1.4%
Q4 - 1:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw 2 of 285
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 1:09MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)85
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)85
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 1:20NJNMISS Kidd Free Throw 2 of 285
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 1:20NJNMISS Kidd Free Throw 1 of 285
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 1:24MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)85
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 1:34NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (41 PTS)85
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 1:34NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (40 PTS)84
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 1:47NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
98.0%
75
2.0%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot83
97.6%
75
2.4%
Q4 - 2:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
96.0%
75
4.0%
Q4 - 2:03NJNMISS Krstic Free Throw 2 of 283
96.3%
75
3.7%
Q4 - 2:03NJNKrstic Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)83
97.1%
75
2.9%
Q4 - 2:20NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
96.7%
75
3.3%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot82
95.9%
75
4.1%
Q4 - 2:38NJNCarter 8' Jump Shot (39 PTS)82
93.4%
75
6.6%
Q4 - 2:59MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
89.5%
75
10.5%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 280
90.1%
74
9.9%
Q4 - 3:13NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)80
88.0%
74
12.0%
Q4 - 3:13NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)79
87.3%
74
12.7%
Q4 - 3:20NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
85.2%
74
14.8%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Bank Shot78
82.7%
74
17.3%
Q4 - 3:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)78
72.6%
74
27.4%
Q4 - 3:38NJNMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot78
74.9%
74
25.1%
Q4 - 3:52MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)78
80.0%
74
20.0%
Q4 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
89.5%
71
10.5%
Q4 - 4:14NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
90.6%
71
9.4%
Q4 - 4:36MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)78
92.8%
71
7.2%
Q4 - 4:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)78
94.9%
69
5.1%
Q4 - 4:49NJNMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot78
95.4%
69
4.6%
Q4 - 5:04NJNRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
94.5%
69
5.5%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
93.9%
69
6.1%
Q4 - 5:11NJNPosey STEAL (2 STL)78
92.4%
69
7.6%
Q4 - 5:15NJNRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
94.5%
69
5.5%
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
94.0%
69
6.0%
Q4 - 5:30NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)78
92.5%
69
7.5%
Q4 - 5:30NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)77
92.1%
69
7.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)76
90.1%
69
9.9%
Q4 - 5:55MIAHEAT Rebound76
86.5%
69
13.5%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot76
89.1%
69
10.9%
Q4 - 6:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)76
83.1%
69
16.9%
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot76
86.3%
69
13.7%
Q4 - 6:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)76
83.3%
69
16.7%
Q4 - 6:29NJNMISS Krstic 18' Jump Shot76
84.7%
69
15.3%
Q4 - 6:34NJNNets Rebound76
87.6%
69
12.4%
Q4 - 6:35NJNMISS Jefferson 4' Jump Shot76
84.7%
69
15.3%
Q4 - 6:39NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
87.6%
69
12.4%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot76
86.4%
69
13.6%
Q4 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
83.4%
69
16.6%
Q4 - 6:53NJNMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot76
84.8%
69
15.2%
Q4 - 7:10MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)76
85.1%
69
14.9%
Q4 - 7:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
90.5%
66
9.5%
Q4 - 7:19NJNMISS Padgett 20' Jump Shot76
91.3%
66
8.7%
Q4 - 7:37NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
93.0%
66
7.0%
Q4 - 7:39NJNMISS Vaughn 20' Jump Shot76
91.4%
66
8.6%
Q4 - 7:51MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)76
93.0%
66
7.0%
Q4 - 7:56NJNWade STEAL (2 STL)76
95.7%
63
4.3%
Q4 - 8:10NJNJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot76
95.3%
63
4.7%
Q4 - 8:28MIAHEAT Rebound76
94.5%
63
5.5%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot76
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q4 - 8:48NJNJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)76
94.5%
63
5.5%
Q4 - 9:01MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)76
94.7%
63
5.3%
Q4 - 9:23NJNPadgett 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)76
96.6%
60
3.4%
Q4 - 9:32NJNVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
94.8%
60
5.2%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot73
94.4%
60
5.6%
Q4 - 9:38MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
93.4%
60
6.6%
Q4 - 9:40NJNMISS Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
93.8%
60
6.2%
Q4 - 9:46NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)73
94.8%
60
5.2%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Wade 6' Hook Shot73
94.4%
60
5.6%
Q4 - 10:09NJNJackson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)73
92.1%
60
7.9%
Q4 - 10:34NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)71
90.5%
60
9.5%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot71
89.9%
60
10.1%
Q4 - 10:41MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
88.2%
60
11.8%
Q4 - 10:43NJNMISS Padgett Reverse Layup71
89.0%
60
11.0%
Q4 - 10:57NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)71
90.6%
60
9.4%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot71
89.9%
60
10.1%
Q4 - 11:16MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
87.0%
60
13.0%
Q4 - 11:18NJNMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
87.8%
60
12.2%
Q4 - 11:24NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
89.4%
60
10.6%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot71
88.7%
60
11.3%
Q4 - 11:43NJNJackson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)71
87.0%
60
13.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJN69
84.5%
60
15.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNNets Rebound69
84.5%
60
15.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Vaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
82.4%
60
17.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
82.8%
60
17.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot69
82.0%
60
18.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)69
79.8%
60
20.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0NJNMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 268
79.3%
60
20.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)68
79.9%
60
20.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
83.0%
58
17.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0NJNMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot68
83.9%
58
16.1%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T8)68
84.2%
58
15.8%
Q3 - 1:26NJNJefferson Layup (8 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)68
81.3%
58
18.7%
Q3 - 1:30MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)66
78.3%
58
21.7%
Q3 - 1:52NJNCarter 14' Jump Shot (32 PTS)66
74.7%
58
25.3%
Q3 - 2:06NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
69.2%
58
30.8%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup64
67.9%
58
32.1%
Q3 - 2:28NJNKidd Running Layup (12 PTS)64
64.8%
58
35.2%
Q3 - 2:34NJNJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
60.9%
58
39.1%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
59.4%
58
40.6%
Q3 - 2:54NJNJackson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)62
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 3:05NJNJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
51.3%
58
48.7%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
49.8%
58
50.2%
Q3 - 3:27NJNCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)60
46.5%
58
53.5%
Q3 - 3:48MIAO'Neal Layup (19 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)57
38.0%
58
62.0%
Q3 - 4:00NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)57
42.1%
56
57.9%
Q3 - 4:00NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)56
41.4%
56
58.6%
Q3 - 4:17MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)55
37.9%
56
62.1%
Q3 - 4:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)55
45.7%
53
54.3%
Q3 - 4:41NJNMISS Krstic 6' Hook Shot55
47.3%
53
52.7%
Q3 - 5:01NJNNets Rebound55
50.0%
53
50.0%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot55
48.7%
53
51.3%
Q3 - 5:19NJNCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)55
45.6%
53
54.4%
Q3 - 5:34NJNJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
37.8%
53
62.2%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 252
37.3%
53
62.7%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 252
35.6%
53
64.4%
Q3 - 5:49NJNCarter 13' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)52
33.7%
53
66.3%
Q3 - 6:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)50
30.5%
53
69.5%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 250
31.1%
52
68.9%
Q3 - 6:14NJNCarter 7' Running Hook Shot (20 PTS)50
30.2%
52
69.8%
Q3 - 6:29MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)48
27.2%
52
72.8%
Q3 - 6:29MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)48
28.6%
51
71.4%
Q3 - 6:52NJNCarter Dunk (18 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)48
30.2%
50
69.8%
Q3 - 7:00NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
27.2%
50
72.8%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
26.3%
50
73.7%
Q3 - 7:24NJNRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)46
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q3 - 7:46MIAO'Neal Layup (15 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)43
19.1%
50
80.9%
Q3 - 7:57NJNKrstic 5' Hook Shot (3 PTS)43
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)41
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q3 - 8:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)41
21.6%
46
78.4%
Q3 - 8:29NJNMISS Kidd 15' Fadeaway Jumper41
22.5%
46
77.5%
Q3 - 8:48NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
24.7%
46
75.3%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
23.7%
46
76.3%
Q3 - 9:12MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
21.9%
46
78.1%
Q3 - 9:13NJNMISS Carter 5' Jump Shot41
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q3 - 9:14NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
24.6%
46
75.4%
Q3 - 9:15NJNMISS Carter Layup41
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q3 - 9:32NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
24.6%
46
75.4%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot41
23.8%
46
76.2%
Q3 - 9:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
21.9%
46
78.1%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot41
23.8%
46
76.2%
Q3 - 10:00NJNCarter 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)41
21.9%
46
78.1%
Q3 - 10:16MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)39
20.0%
46
80.0%
Q3 - 10:24MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q3 - 10:26NJNHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)39
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q3 - 10:44MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Robinson: Tip to Krstic39
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot39
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q3 - 10:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q3 - 10:52NJNMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot39
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q3 - 10:59NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot39
24.2%
44
75.8%
Q3 - 11:26NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)39
22.4%
44
77.6%
Q3 - 11:41MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)36
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
22.4%
41
77.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)36
22.4%
41
77.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)33
18.4%
41
81.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 233
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
19.0%
40
81.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0NJNMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)33
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0NJNCarter Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)33
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0NJNNets Rebound32
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 1:03NJNKidd Running Layup (7 PTS)32
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 1:08NJNRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup30
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 1:34NJNKidd 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Padgett 2 AST)30
14.2%
40
85.8%
Q2 - 1:40NJNRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot27
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 1:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup27
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 2:01NJNCarter 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)27
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q2 - 2:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)25
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 2:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)25
9.4%
39
90.6%
Q2 - 2:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 2:34NJNMISS Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 2:38NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 2:40NJNMISS Jefferson Dunk25
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 3:05MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)25
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 3:09MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 3:11NJNMISS Carter 20' Fadeaway Jumper25
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 3:33MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)25
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 3:43MIAHEAT Rebound25
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 3:44NJNMISS Krstic 8' Jump Shot25
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 4:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)25
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 4:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)25
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
16.9%
34
83.1%
Q2 - 4:13NJNMISS Krstic 18' Jump Shot25
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 4:32MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)25
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 4:45NJNCarter 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)25
20.4%
32
79.6%
Q2 - 4:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)23
18.6%
32
81.4%
Q2 - 5:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q2 - 5:21NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 223
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q2 - 5:21NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
18.4%
32
81.6%
Q2 - 5:23NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade 21' Fadeaway Jumper22
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 5:42MIAHEAT Rebound22
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 5:43NJNMISS Carter 8' Running Hook Shot22
16.0%
32
84.0%
Q2 - 5:58NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 222
17.0%
32
83.0%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 222
16.3%
32
83.7%
Q2 - 6:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)22
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 6:01NJNMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot22
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 6:21NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)22
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 222
17.5%
32
82.5%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 222
16.8%
32
83.2%
Q2 - 6:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)22
15.9%
32
84.1%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot22
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 6:39NJNCarter 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
15.9%
32
84.1%
Q2 - 7:03NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
15.4%
32
84.6%
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot20
14.9%
32
85.1%
Q2 - 7:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
13.9%
32
86.1%
Q2 - 7:22NJNMISS Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 7:35NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 120
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 7:54NJNMurray Foul Turnover (P2.T6)20
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 7:59NJNMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18.3%
30
81.7%
Q2 - 8:00MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
16.8%
30
83.2%
Q2 - 8:07NJNMISS Padgett 13' Jump Shot20
17.3%
30
82.7%
Q2 - 8:29NJNJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q2 - 8:38NJNWilliams STEAL (1 STL)20
16.8%
30
83.2%
Q2 - 8:57NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Walker Layup20
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q2 - 9:22NJNPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)20
17.1%
30
82.9%
Q2 - 9:30NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
14.6%
30
85.4%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot17
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q2 - 9:53NJNJackson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)17
13.2%
30
86.8%
Q2 - 10:13NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 115
12.3%
30
87.7%
Q2 - 10:21MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q2 - 10:23NJNMISS Jefferson 17' Fadeaway Jumper15
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)15
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q2 - 10:59MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q2 - 11:01NJNMISS Jackson 13' Fadeaway Jumper15
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q2 - 11:10NJNMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot15
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q2 - 11:26NJNMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)15
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q2 - 11:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q2 - 11:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)12
13.9%
25
86.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJN12
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAHEAT Rebound12
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0NJNMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0NJNPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 212
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.5%
23
83.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0NJNMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)12
16.8%
23
83.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0NJNJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0NJNMISS Jefferson Driving Layup12
16.8%
23
83.2%
Q1 - 1:04NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Walker 8' Hook Shot12
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 1:24NJNPosey STEAL (1 STL)12
16.6%
23
83.4%
Q1 - 1:44MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 1:56NJNPadgett Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)12
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T4)12
20.9%
21
79.1%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot12
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 2:31NJNMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot12
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 2:52MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
20.9%
21
79.1%
Q1 - 2:52MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 2:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup12
23.7%
19
76.3%
Q1 - 2:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 2:59NJNMISS Jefferson Reverse Dunk12
23.1%
19
76.9%
Q1 - 3:24MIAWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 3:45NJNJefferson Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)12
26.1%
17
73.9%
Q1 - 3:48MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 4:03NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)10
22.8%
17
77.2%
Q1 - 4:03NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)9
22.6%
17
77.4%
Q1 - 4:08NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 4:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q1 - 4:18NJNMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q1 - 4:27NJNMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 4:46NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)8
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS O'Neal Layup8
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 4:54MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q1 - 4:56NJNMISS Krstic 19' Jump Shot8
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 5:12NJNRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.9%
17
78.1%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot8
21.5%
17
78.5%
Q1 - 5:32NJNWade STEAL (1 STL)8
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 5:52MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
21.9%
17
78.1%
Q1 - 6:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 6:03NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 6:27MIAO'Neal Layup (9 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)8
25.2%
15
74.8%
Q1 - 6:33MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 6:35NJNMISS Krstic 10' Hook Shot8
27.1%
13
72.9%
Q1 - 6:50NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
28.3%
13
71.7%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot8
27.8%
13
72.2%
Q1 - 7:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
27.0%
13
73.0%
Q1 - 7:07NJNMISS Krstic Free Throw 2 of 28
27.2%
13
72.8%
Q1 - 7:07NJNKrstic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
28.1%
13
71.9%
Q1 - 7:15NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
27.2%
13
72.8%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot7
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 7:36MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.5%
13
74.5%
Q1 - 7:38NJNMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot7
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 7:56MIAO'Neal Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)7
27.1%
13
72.9%
Q1 - 8:05NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
28.6%
11
71.4%
Q1 - 8:18MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)4
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 8:33NJNNets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
27.1%
9
72.9%
Q1 - 9:01MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
28.7%
9
71.3%
Q1 - 9:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 9:13NJNMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot4
30.5%
7
69.5%
Q1 - 9:24NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
31.9%
7
68.1%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot4
31.3%
7
68.7%
Q1 - 9:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 9:36NJNMISS Kidd 21' Jump Shot4
30.5%
7
69.5%
Q1 - 9:43NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.9%
7
68.1%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
31.3%
7
68.7%
Q1 - 10:03NJNCarter Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
30.0%
7
70.0%
Q1 - 10:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
28.6%
7
71.4%
Q1 - 10:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
31.5%
4
68.5%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup2
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 10:34NJNKidd 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
31.5%
4
68.5%
Q1 - 10:49MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 10:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 10:56NJNO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 11:11MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 11:11MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
30.3%
3
69.7%
Q1 - 11:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:18NJNMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot0
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 11:37MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 11:47NJNMISS Krstic 18' Jump Shot0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Krstic: Tip to0
36.6%
0
63.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.99 49.5%
MIA
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
7
17
41%
MIA
18
34
53%
Midrange
NJN
14
38
37%
MIA
6
29
21%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
NJN
26
32
81%
MIA
22
35
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter5171%25.5 / 36
J. Kidd1255%6.0 / 11
R. Jefferson831%4.0 / 13
M. Jackson867%4.0 / 6
S. Padgett633%3.0 / 9
N. Krstic417%2.0 / 12
C. Robinson375%1.5 / 2
L. Murray3150%1.5 / 1
J. Vaughn0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2446%12.0 / 26
D. Wade1733%8.5 / 26
A. Walker1246%6.0 / 13
J. Posey1071%5.0 / 7
J. Williams744%3.5 / 8
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
G. Payton583%2.5 / 3
J. Kapono563%2.5 / 4
A. Mourning225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
90
+6
-9
96
MIA
87
+10
-9
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.99 49.5%
MIA
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
108.0
NJN 96.0 +4.3
MIA 91.7
Pace
90.7
92.2
NJN 96.8
MIA 98.2 +1.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.9
NJN 14.9
MIA 14.7 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
51.7%
NJN 44.8% +4.6%
MIA 40.2%
TO %
14.3%
15.0%
NJN 9.9%
MIA 9.3% +0.6%
ORB %
24.2%
26.8%
NJN 8.7%
MIA 14.8% +6.1%
FTrt
34.6
36.3
NJN 41.6
MIA 42.7 +1.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.8%
55.7%
NJN 56.7%
MIA 63.3% +6.6%
STL %
7.5%
6.9%
NJN 4.0%
MIA 5.2% +1.2%
BLK %
5.7%
8.5%
NJN 4.8%
MIA 7.3% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.3%
53.9%
NJN 49.5% +5.1%
MIA 44.4%
Rim FG%
54.3%
64.2%
NJN 41.2%
MIA 52.9% +11.7%
Mid FG%
42.0%
38.9%
NJN 36.8% +16.1%
MIA 20.7%
3P %
33.0%
34.5%
NJN 40.9% +9.3%
MIA 31.6%
FT %
75.8%
70.0%
NJN 81.3% +18.4%
MIA 62.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.9%
39.3%
NJN 22.1%
MIA 41.5% +19.4%
Mid Att. %
44.2%
38.0%
NJN 49.4%
MIA 35.4% +14.0%
3P Att. %
22.9%
22.7%
NJN 28.6% +5.4%
MIA 23.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsNJNMIA
Possessions9996
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points9588
Rebounds5050
Assists1719
Steals45
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)46 (3)42 (3)
Field Goals30-7730-82
At-the-Rim FG7-1718-34
Midrange FG14-386-29
2-Point FG21-5524-63
3-Point FG9-226-19
Free Throws26-3222-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 29
44.2
51
71%
8
4
0
0
2
3
2
6
23-24
96%
11-20
55%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 233 · 26
43.8
8
31%
3
4
0
0
2
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-9
22%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 210 · 33
36.9
12
55%
7
5
3
0
0
3
1
6
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
C · 7'0" 240 · 22
29.9
4
17%
8
0
1
1
0
3
0
8
2-4
50%
1-10
10%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 39
28.6
3
75%
5
0
0
2
1
5
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 253 · 31
19.2
8
67%
6
0
0
0
1
5
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 30
16.9
6
33%
10
2
0
0
1
1
0
10
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-6
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
13.9
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 235 · 33
6.8
3
150%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 190 · 31
· 6'7" 195 · 23
F · 6'8" 205 · 26
#35 · C · 7'0" 255 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
50%
50
17
4
3
9
0
4
46
26-32
81%
21-55
38%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.