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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 23, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Jazz40%9090
26Knicks60%9398
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
44.5
31.9
11
45%
9
6
1
1
2
6
1
8
1-3
33%
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
0-3
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.5
36.6
28.2
19
69%
5
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
1-1
100%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.6
28.5
23.7
15
61%
9
2
0
1
0
3
5
4
9-12
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.1
21.3
29.4
8
91%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
8-10
80%
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.5
20.9
30.6
4
34%
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.9
30.0
12.1
13
51%
5
2
1
0
0
5
0
5
3-4
75%
5-9
1-3
56%
43%
0-2
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
22.5
22.8
3
31%
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-6
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
21.8
10.9
11
51%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
1-2
50%
5-10
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.1
5.5
9.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
39%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.8
4.3
10.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
4.2
12.1
4
86%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
9.4
0
1-3
44%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.1
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.8
41.2
35.3
22
64%
0
7
2
1
0
2
0
0
10-12
83%
6-12
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.7
33.5
25.4
8
27%
3
0
2
1
0
1
3
0
4-6
67%
2-7
2-4
29%
44%
0-5
0%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.1
29.8
17.4
1
13%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.5
16.7
27.0
4
69%
4
1
2
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.1
14.9
11.0
8
67%
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
32.3
30.9
28
77%
2
3
2
1
0
4
0
2
6-7
86%
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
4-5
80%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.1
21.9
10.3
6
44%
2
1
3
0
0
4
0
2
0-2
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.1
15.8
10.1
7
74%
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
3
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24.8
15.7
12.4
7
62%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-6
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.6
9.9
27.4
7
61%
3
0
0
1
2
1
2
1
3-4
75%
2-4
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.6
4.6
16.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
3.7
11.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.4
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 20.8
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.